What is the residual risk of syndrome in a patient with a low-risk Non-Invasive Prenatal Screening (NIPS)?

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Last updated: February 18, 2025View editorial policy

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From the Guidelines

A patient with a low-risk Non-Invasive Prenatal Screening (NIPS) result still has a residual risk of approximately 0.1-1.2% for common chromosomal syndromes such as Down syndrome, Trisomy 13, and Trisomy 18 1.

Key Points to Consider

  • The detection rate for fetal trisomy 21 (T21) using NIPS is 98.8% with a corresponding false-positive rate (FPR) of 0.04% 1.
  • The positive predictive value (PPV) of NIPS for T21 is 91.8% 1, while the PPVs for T18 and T13 are lower, at 65.8% and 37.2% respectively 1.
  • Certain pregnancy factors, such as a vanishing twin gestation, can interfere with the performance and interpretation of NIPS 1.

Recommendations for Patients with Low-Risk NIPS Results

  • Patients with a low-risk NIPS result should continue with standard prenatal care and consider additional diagnostic testing, such as a detailed anatomy ultrasound and possibly invasive testing like amniocentesis or chorionic villus sampling, if clinically indicated.
  • It is essential to counsel patients that a low-risk NIPS result does not completely eliminate the risk of chromosomal abnormalities, and additional testing may be necessary to confirm the results 1.

Important Considerations

  • The American College of Medical Genetics and Genomics (ACMG) recommends NIPS over traditional screening methods for all pregnant patients with singleton gestation for fetal trisomies 21,18, and 13 1.
  • The ACMG also notes that NIPS has consistently higher screening performance in the detection of fetal T21/18/13 in singleton pregnancies than any of the traditional screening approaches 1.

From the Research

Residual Risk of Syndrome in Low-Risk NIPS

The residual risk of syndrome in a patient with a low-risk Non-Invasive Prenatal Screening (NIPS) result is a critical consideration in prenatal care. Several studies have investigated this issue, providing insights into the limitations of NIPS and the potential for false-negative results.

False-Negative Results in Low-Risk NIPS

  • A study published in 2023 2 reported four cases of trisomy 18 in patients who had received low-risk NIPS results, highlighting the possibility of false-negative results due to placental mosaicism or other factors.
  • Another study from 2020 3 analyzed false-negative results in low-risk NIPS cases and found that mosaicism was a major contributor to these errors.
  • These findings suggest that NIPS is not foolproof and that patients with low-risk results may still be at risk for certain syndromes.

Residual Risk of Clinically Significant Copy Number Variations

  • A 2024 study 4 evaluated the residual risk of clinically significant copy number variations in fetuses with nasal bone absence or hypoplasia after excluding NIPS-detectable findings.
  • The study found that the residual risk of clinically significant copy number variations was higher in fetuses with non-isolated nasal bone absence or hypoplasia compared to those with isolated findings.
  • These results highlight the importance of considering the residual risk of syndrome in patients with low-risk NIPS results, particularly in cases with additional risk factors.

Patient Perception of Residual Risk

  • A 2016 study 5 investigated patient perception of residual risk after receiving a negative NIPS result and found that the majority of participants understood the residual risk.
  • However, the study also noted that individuals with less formal education may require alternative communication strategies to ensure understanding of the limitations of NIPS.
  • This highlights the need for clear and effective communication of residual risk to patients with low-risk NIPS results.

Limitations of NIPS

  • A 2018 study 6 discussed the limitations of NIPS, including the potential for false-positive and false-negative results.
  • The study proposed a method for improving the accuracy of NIPS by incorporating a cell-free fetal DNA size selection step.
  • These findings emphasize the importance of understanding the limitations of NIPS and the need for ongoing research to improve the accuracy and reliability of this screening tool.

Professional Medical Disclaimer

This information is intended for healthcare professionals. Any medical decision-making should rely on clinical judgment and independently verified information. The content provided herein does not replace professional discretion and should be considered supplementary to established clinical guidelines. Healthcare providers should verify all information against primary literature and current practice standards before application in patient care. Dr.Oracle assumes no liability for clinical decisions based on this content.

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