What are the risk factors for Myelodysplastic Syndromes (MDS)?

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Last updated: August 1, 2025View editorial policy

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Risk Factors for Myelodysplastic Syndromes (MDS)

The etiology of MDS is known in only about 15% of cases, with most cases being idiopathic, while established risk factors include age, prior chemotherapy exposure, radiation, environmental toxins like benzene, and genetic predisposition. 1

Age and Demographic Factors

  • Age: MDS predominantly affects the elderly, with a median age at diagnosis of approximately 70 years 2
  • Gender: Higher incidence in males compared to females (yearly incidence rates of approximately 5.4 vs 2.9 per 100,000) 3
  • Incidence: Approximately 4 cases/100,000 inhabitants/year, increasing to 40-50/100,000 in patients aged ≥70 years 2
  • Ethnic variations: In Asian populations, MDS tends to occur at earlier ages, presents more often with hypocellular marrow, and has a lower incidence of 5q deletion syndrome but higher frequency of trisomy 8 2

Genetic Predisposition

Inherited Syndromes

  • Inherited predisposition is seen in one-third of pediatric MDS cases 1
  • Less frequent in adults but should be assessed in young adults with MDS and families with multiple cases of MDS, AML, or aplastic anemia 1
  • Associated genetic conditions include:
    • Down syndrome
    • Fanconi anemia
    • Neurofibromatosis 2, 1

Specific Gene Mutations

  • Germline mutations identified in familial cases include:
    • DDX41
    • GATA2
    • RUNX1
    • ANKRD26
    • ETV6
    • Telomerase complex genes (TERC, TERT) 2, 1

Environmental and Occupational Exposures

Chemical Exposures

  • Benzene and its derivatives: Significantly increases risk of developing MDS (OR = 1.48,95% CI: 1.00-2.19) 1, 4
  • Agricultural and industrial work: Higher incidence reported in these occupations 2, 1

Lifestyle Factors

  • Tobacco smoking: Former smoking status associated with increased risk of de novo MDS (OR = 1.45,95% CI: 1.10-1.93) 1, 4

Medical Treatment-Related Factors

Previous Therapies

  • Chemotherapy agents:
    • Alkylating agents
    • Purine analogues 2, 1
  • Radiotherapy or ionizing radiation 2, 1

Secondary MDS Characteristics

  • Cases occurring after chemotherapy (therapy-related MDS) generally have poor prognostic factors
  • Often present with complex cytogenetic abnormalities involving chromosomes 5,7, and/or 17p 2, 1

Medical Conditions

  • Autoimmune diseases: Personal history associated with increased risk (OR = 1.34,95% CI: 0.99-1.82) 4
  • Previous malignancies:
    • De novo MDS cases more commonly have history of solid tumors
    • Therapy-related MDS cases more commonly have history of hematologic malignancies 4

Pathophysiological Mechanisms

MDS develops through a multi-step process involving:

  • Cytogenetic changes and/or gene mutations
  • Abnormalities of the bone marrow microenvironment
  • Widespread gene hypermethylation at advanced stages 2, 1

Clinical Implications

Understanding risk factors is crucial for:

  • Early identification of high-risk individuals
  • Appropriate monitoring of patients with predisposing conditions
  • Potential prevention strategies in occupational settings
  • Genetic counseling for families with inherited predisposition

When evaluating patients with cytopenias, a thorough assessment of these risk factors can help guide diagnostic workup and determine the likelihood of MDS versus other causes of bone marrow failure.

References

Guideline

Etiology and Epidemiology of Myelodysplastic Syndromes (MDS)

Praxis Medical Insights: Practical Summaries of Clinical Guidelines, 2025

Guideline

Guideline Directed Topic Overview

Dr.Oracle Medical Advisory Board & Editors, 2025

Professional Medical Disclaimer

This information is intended for healthcare professionals. Any medical decision-making should rely on clinical judgment and independently verified information. The content provided herein does not replace professional discretion and should be considered supplementary to established clinical guidelines. Healthcare providers should verify all information against primary literature and current practice standards before application in patient care. Dr.Oracle assumes no liability for clinical decisions based on this content.

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