What Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) score qualifies a patient for liver transplantation?

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MELD Score Qualification for Liver Transplantation

A MELD score ≥15 is the minimum threshold recommended for listing patients for liver transplantation, as this corresponds to a 5-year transplant benefit of 12 months of life gain. 1, 2

Understanding MELD Score and Transplant Qualification

The Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) score is the primary tool used for determining liver transplant priority. It predicts short-term mortality risk in patients with cirrhosis and guides organ allocation based on objective laboratory tests including:

  • Bilirubin
  • International Normalized Ratio (INR)
  • Creatinine 1

Key MELD Thresholds:

  • MELD <14: Patients have better 1-year survival without transplantation than with it 1
  • MELD ≥15: Minimum listing criteria for patients with end-stage liver disease 2, 1
  • MELD >30: Represents extremely high mortality risk (52.6-71.3%) and requires urgent consideration 1

Clinical Decision Algorithm

  1. Early Referral (MELD >10):

    • Consider liver transplantation evaluation when the first major complication of cirrhosis occurs (ascites, variceal bleeding, hepatic encephalopathy) 1
  2. Listing Decision (MELD ≥15):

    • This is the threshold at which transplant benefit emerges
    • Corresponds to a 5-year transplant benefit of 12 months of life gain 2
    • Patients below this threshold generally have better survival without transplantation 1
  3. Priority Stratification:

    • Higher MELD scores receive greater priority for organ allocation
    • MELD scores correlate with the following mortality risks:
      • 10-19: 6% mortality risk
      • 20-29: 19.6% mortality risk
      • 30-39: 52.6% mortality risk
      • 40+: 71.3% mortality risk 1

Important Considerations and Caveats

Risk Factors Beyond MELD

Even with MELD ≤15, certain factors increase mortality risk and may warrant consideration for transplantation:

  • Severe hypoalbuminemia
  • Hepatorenal syndrome
  • Hepatic hydrothorax 3

Post-Transplant Outcomes

  • MELD scores correlate inversely with post-transplant survival
  • Very high MELD scores (>25) are associated with poorer post-transplant outcomes, with maximum impact during the first year 1, 4
  • This creates a clinical dilemma: patients with the highest MELD scores have the highest waitlist mortality but potentially worse post-transplant outcomes

Monitoring Requirements

  • Regular monitoring of MELD score is essential as it can change over time
  • Reassessment every 3-6 months in stable patients
  • More frequent monitoring (every 1-3 months) if there are signs of clinical deterioration 1

Special Populations

  • Status 1A patients (acute liver failure): Typically prioritized over chronic liver disease patients regardless of MELD score 5
  • Hepatitis C patients: Those with very high MELD scores (>24) may have poorer outcomes post-transplant 6
  • Female patients: May have worse outcomes than males with the same MELD score, particularly in the creatinine-dominant subtype 1

In summary, while a MELD score ≥15 is the standard threshold for liver transplant listing, the decision must consider additional risk factors, expected post-transplant outcomes, and the specific clinical circumstances of each patient.

References

Guideline

Liver Transplantation Guidelines

Praxis Medical Insights: Practical Summaries of Clinical Guidelines, 2025

Guideline

Guideline Directed Topic Overview

Dr.Oracle Medical Advisory Board & Editors, 2025

Research

Mortality Risk Factors Among Patients With Cirrhosis and a Low Model for End-Stage Liver Disease Sodium Score (≤15): An Analysis of Liver Transplant Allocation Policy Using Aggregated Electronic Health Record Data.

American journal of transplantation : official journal of the American Society of Transplantation and the American Society of Transplant Surgeons, 2017

Research

MELD and prediction of post-liver transplantation survival.

Liver transplantation : official publication of the American Association for the Study of Liver Diseases and the International Liver Transplantation Society, 2006

Research

Pretransplant MELD score as a predictor of outcome after liver transplantation for chronic hepatitis C.

American journal of transplantation : official journal of the American Society of Transplantation and the American Society of Transplant Surgeons, 2003

Professional Medical Disclaimer

This information is intended for healthcare professionals. Any medical decision-making should rely on clinical judgment and independently verified information. The content provided herein does not replace professional discretion and should be considered supplementary to established clinical guidelines. Healthcare providers should verify all information against primary literature and current practice standards before application in patient care. Dr.Oracle assumes no liability for clinical decisions based on this content.

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