Interpretation of Rivaroxaban Noninferiority Trial Results for Pulmonary Embolism Treatment
Rivaroxaban is noninferior in efficacy to enoxaparin or a vitamin K antagonist (VKA) for treating pulmonary embolism, based on the hazard ratio of 1.12 (95% CI, 0.75-1.68) falling within the prespecified noninferiority margin of 2.0.
Understanding Noninferiority Trial Results
Noninferiority trials are designed to determine whether a new treatment is not unacceptably worse than a standard treatment. In this case:
- The prespecified noninferiority margin was 2.0 for the primary efficacy outcome
- The observed hazard ratio was 1.12 (95% CI, 0.75-1.68)
- Since the upper bound of the confidence interval (1.68) is less than the noninferiority margin (2.0), rivaroxaban meets the criteria for noninferiority
Key Concepts in Interpreting Noninferiority Trials:
- The upper bound of the confidence interval must be less than the prespecified noninferiority margin
- A hazard ratio of 1.0 would indicate identical efficacy between treatments
- The observed hazard ratio of 1.12 suggests a small, non-significant increase in events with rivaroxaban
Evidence Supporting Noninferiority
The EINSTEIN-PE trial, a large randomized controlled trial, demonstrated that rivaroxaban (15 mg twice daily for 3 weeks, followed by 20 mg once daily) was noninferior to standard therapy with enoxaparin followed by VKA for treating pulmonary embolism 1. This trial specifically showed:
- Primary efficacy outcome (recurrent VTE) occurred in 2.1% of rivaroxaban patients vs. 1.8% in standard therapy group
- The hazard ratio of 1.12 (95% CI, 0.75-1.68) met the prespecified noninferiority criterion (P=0.003 for noninferiority) 1
The 2014 European Society of Cardiology (ESC) guidelines confirm that "rivaroxaban was non-inferior to standard therapy for the primary efficacy outcome of recurrent symptomatic VTE (HR 1.12; 95% CI 0.75–1.68)" 2.
Safety Profile Comparison
Importantly, rivaroxaban demonstrated a favorable safety profile compared to standard therapy:
- Major bleeding occurred in 1.1% of rivaroxaban patients vs. 2.2% in the standard therapy group (HR 0.49; 95% CI 0.31–0.79; P=0.003) 1
- The principal safety outcome (major or clinically relevant non-major bleeding) was similar between groups (10.3% vs. 11.4%; HR 0.90; 95% CI 0.76-1.07) 1
Practical Implications
The noninferiority of rivaroxaban to standard therapy offers several clinical advantages:
- Single-drug approach without need for initial parenteral anticoagulation
- Fixed dosing without routine coagulation monitoring
- Potential for reduced hospital length of stay (mean reduction of 1.6 days) 3, 4
- Reduced risk of major bleeding events 1, 5
Limitations and Considerations
When interpreting these results, consider:
- The noninferiority margin of 2.0 may seem large, but was deemed clinically acceptable by regulatory authorities
- The study was open-label (not blinded), which could introduce bias in subjective outcomes
- Patients with severe renal impairment (CrCl <30 mL/min) were excluded 6
- Special populations like cancer patients were underrepresented in the trial 2
Conclusion
Based on the hazard ratio of 1.12 (95% CI, 0.75-1.68) falling well within the prespecified noninferiority margin of 2.0, rivaroxaban is noninferior in efficacy to standard therapy with enoxaparin/VKA for treating pulmonary embolism, with the added benefit of a reduced risk of major bleeding.