What is the risk of missing a subarachnoid hemorrhage (SAH) in a 45-year-old female with a rapid onset headache and a normal computed tomography (CT) head scan 7 hours after symptom onset?

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From the Guidelines

The risk of missing a subarachnoid hemorrhage (SAH) in a 45-year-old female with a rapid onset headache and a normal CT head scan performed 7 hours after symptom onset is approximately 2-5%, and therefore, a lumbar puncture is necessary to rule out SAH. Given her presentation with a thunderclap headache, this patient should still be considered at risk for SAH despite the normal CT scan result. The next appropriate step would be to perform a lumbar puncture to analyze the cerebrospinal fluid for xanthochromia or red blood cells, which can detect SAH even when CT is negative, as recommended by the American Heart Association/American Stroke Association in their 2023 guideline for the management of patients with aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage 1. Modern multidetector CT scanners have improved sensitivity (around 95-98%) for detecting SAH within the first 6-12 hours, but they still miss a small but significant percentage of cases, particularly those with small bleeds. The sensitivity of CT decreases further with time from symptom onset, dropping to about 50% at one week, as blood in the subarachnoid space gets diluted and reabsorbed over time. For this patient, given the potentially devastating consequences of a missed SAH, additional testing is warranted despite the normal CT result. Some guidelines, such as the Canadian Stroke Best Practice Recommendations, suggest that a lumbar puncture may not be required if a third-generation or higher CT scan is performed within six hours of onset of headache and read as normal by a neuroradiologist 1. However, in this case, the CT scan was performed 7 hours after symptom onset, and the patient's clinical presentation warrants further evaluation. Therefore, a lumbar puncture is the most appropriate next step to rule out SAH, as it can detect xanthochromia or red blood cells in the cerebrospinal fluid, which is a sensitive and specific test for SAH, with a sensitivity of 100% and specificity of 95.2% 1.

From the Research

Risk of Missing a Subarachnoid Hemorrhage

The risk of missing a subarachnoid hemorrhage (SAH) in a 45-year-old female with a rapid onset headache and a normal computed tomography (CT) head scan 7 hours after symptom onset can be assessed based on the sensitivity and specificity of CT scans and lumbar puncture (LP) tests.

  • The sensitivity of modern multislice CT for subarachnoid haemorrhage at incremental timepoints after headache onset is high, with a sensitivity of 99.6% for aneurysmal SAH and 99.0% for all SAH at 48 hours after headache onset 2.
  • A normal CT head scan within 6 hours of headache onset is highly sensitive for the detection of SAH, but the sensitivity may decrease beyond this time frame 3.
  • However, a study found that a normal head CT has a very high negative predictive value to exclude SAH when carried out within 24 hours from ictus, provided a 3rd generation CT scanner is utilized, and the scan is reported by a neuroradiologist 4.
  • LP is often performed if the CT is negative for blood beyond 6 hours of headache onset, but the yield of LP for diagnosing SAH in adults with nontraumatic headache after a normal head CT is very low, with a number needed to diagnose of 151 5.
  • The risk of LP-related complications is higher than the risk of SAH diagnosis, with 5.96% of patients experiencing an LP-related complication, including low-pressure headaches, pain at the LP site, and contaminated CSF cultures 5.

Diagnostic Accuracy of CT Scans and LP Tests

  • The diagnostic accuracy of CT scans and LP tests for SAH can be assessed based on their sensitivity, specificity, and positive and negative predictive values.
  • A study found that CSF-xanthochromia testing using the revised UK-NEQAS method has a sensitivity of 100%, specificity of 98.1%, positive predictive value of 65.9%, and negative predictive value of 100% for diagnosing SAH 6.
  • Another study found that noncontrast cranial CT within 6 hours of headache onset accurately rules in and rules out SAH, with a likelihood ratio of 230 and 0.01, respectively 3.
  • The diagnostic accuracy of LP tests, including CSF xanthochromia analysis, is lower than that of CT scans, with a likelihood ratio of 5.7 and 0.21 for a threshold RBC count of 1,000 × 10(6) /L 3.

Professional Medical Disclaimer

This information is intended for healthcare professionals. Any medical decision-making should rely on clinical judgment and independently verified information. The content provided herein does not replace professional discretion and should be considered supplementary to established clinical guidelines. Healthcare providers should verify all information against primary literature and current practice standards before application in patient care. Dr.Oracle assumes no liability for clinical decisions based on this content.

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