Tamoxifen and Endometrial Cancer Risk
Tamoxifen significantly increases the risk of endometrial cancer, with approximately 2-4 times higher incidence compared to non-users, particularly in postmenopausal women. 1, 2
Evidence of Increased Risk
The association between tamoxifen and uterine cancer is well-documented in multiple guidelines and the FDA label:
- The National Surgical Adjuvant Breast and Bowel Project (NSABP) data shows an incidence of endometrial adenocarcinoma of 2.20 per 1000 women-years for tamoxifen users versus 0.71 for placebo 1
- Uterine sarcoma risk is also elevated at 0.17 per 1000 women-years for tamoxifen users versus 0.0 for placebo 1
- The FDA includes a black box warning highlighting the increased risk of both epithelial endometrial cancer and uterine sarcoma 2
- In the NSABP P-1 trial, women randomized to tamoxifen had a statistically significant increase in endometrial cancer with a risk ratio of 2.48 (95% CI: 1.27-4.92) 2
Risk Factors and Patterns
The risk of endometrial cancer with tamoxifen use varies by:
- Age: Risk is significantly higher in women ≥50 years (RR = 4.01,95% CI: 1.70-10.90) compared to women <49 years (RR = 1.21,95% CI: 0.41-3.60) 1
- Duration: Risk increases with longer duration of tamoxifen use, with women taking tamoxifen for >5 years having 4.06-fold greater odds of developing endometrial cancer 3
- Menopausal status: Postmenopausal women have a substantially higher risk than premenopausal women 4
- Prior estrogen exposure: Women with previous estrogen replacement therapy (ERT) exposure have significantly higher risk when taking tamoxifen 3
- Body weight: Heavier women taking tamoxifen have a stronger risk association than thinner women 3
Mechanism
Tamoxifen has both estrogen antagonist and agonist properties, with its effects varying by tissue type. In the uterus, tamoxifen acts as a partial estrogen agonist, leading to endometrial thickening, stromal changes, polyp formation, and increased risk of endometrial hyperplasia and cancer 5.
Recent Evidence on Premenopausal Women
While historically the risk was thought to be primarily in postmenopausal women, a 2022 longitudinal cohort study of 78,320 premenopausal Korean women with breast cancer found:
- Tamoxifen users had significantly higher risk of endometrial cancer (HR 3.77,95% CI: 3.04-4.66) compared to controls 6
- Incidence of endometrial cancer was 2.01 cases per 1000 person-years among tamoxifen users 6
Clinical Recommendations
Baseline assessment: All women should have a baseline gynecologic assessment before starting tamoxifen 5
Monitoring:
Symptom evaluation:
Management of confirmed endometrial pathology:
Risk-Benefit Considerations
When prescribing tamoxifen, the benefits of breast cancer risk reduction must be weighed against the increased risk of endometrial pathology, particularly in:
- Postmenopausal women with an intact uterus
- Women with prior estrogen replacement therapy
- Obese women
- Women requiring long-term (>5 years) treatment
These higher-risk groups may warrant closer surveillance for endometrial cancer when prescribed tamoxifen 3.