When to Stop Mammogram Screening for Breast Cancer
Women should discontinue screening mammography when they have a life expectancy of less than 10 years, typically around age 75 or older, or when they have significant comorbid conditions that limit life expectancy. 1
Age-Based Recommendations for Discontinuing Mammography
- Most guidelines recommend discontinuing screening mammography when a woman's life expectancy is less than 10 years, as the benefits of screening take approximately 11 years to manifest 1
- The U.S. Preventive Services Task Force (USPSTF) concludes there is insufficient evidence to assess the balance of benefits and harms of screening mammography in women 75 years or older 1, 2
- The American Cancer Society recommends that women continue screening mammography as long as their overall health is good and they have a life expectancy of 10 years or more 1
- The American College of Physicians explicitly recommends discontinuing screening for breast cancer in average-risk women aged 75 years or older 1
Life Expectancy Considerations
- Among women aged 70 years with no comorbid conditions, life expectancy is approximately 19 years, while those with serious comorbid conditions have a life expectancy of approximately 11 years 1
- For women aged 75 years with no comorbid conditions, life expectancy is approximately 15 years, while those with serious comorbid conditions have a life expectancy of approximately 9 years 1
- Moderate comorbid conditions that may impact life expectancy include cardiovascular disease, paralysis, and diabetes 1
- Severe comorbid conditions that significantly reduce life expectancy include AIDS, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, liver disease, chronic renal failure, dementia, congestive heart failure, and combinations of moderate comorbid conditions 1
Benefits and Harms of Continuing Screening in Older Women
Benefits:
- CISNET models suggest that biennial mammography screening may potentially continue to offer a net benefit after age 74 years among those with no or low comorbidity 1
- Observational studies favor extending screening mammography to older women who have a life expectancy of more than 10 years 3
- Modeling studies estimate 2 fewer breast cancer deaths per 1,000 women in their 70s who continue biennial screening for 10 years 3
Harms:
- Potential harms of continued screening over 10 years include false-positive mammograms in approximately 200 per 1,000 women screened 3
- Overdiagnosis (finding breast cancer that would not have clinically surfaced otherwise) occurs in approximately 13 per 1,000 women screened over 10 years 3
- Unnecessary biopsies, anxiety, and overtreatment are additional potential harms 1
Decision-Making Algorithm for Older Women
Assess life expectancy:
If life expectancy is greater than 10 years:
If life expectancy is less than 10 years:
For women with severe comorbidities regardless of age:
- Discontinue mammography screening if comorbidities significantly limit life expectancy 1
Special Considerations
- For women who have been regularly screened, the decision to stop should incorporate risk for cancer death, competing risks for other causes of death, and the individual's values and preferences 1
- The long time lag (approximately 11 years) between mammography and reduction in breast cancer mortality should be considered when making decisions about stopping screening 1, 3
- Women with limited life expectancy due to comorbid conditions (such as chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, heart failure, end-stage liver disease, end-stage renal failure, or dementia) should discontinue screening regardless of age 1
Common Pitfalls in Decision-Making
- Using chronological age alone rather than life expectancy to determine when to stop screening 1, 3
- Continuing screening in women with severe comorbidities who are unlikely to benefit 1
- Failing to consider patient preferences and values in the decision-making process 1, 3
- Not recognizing that the benefits of screening take years to manifest, while the harms are immediate 1, 3