What is the prognosis for a patient with 51% total body surface area (TBSA) burns?

Medical Advisory BoardAll articles are reviewed for accuracy by our Medical Advisory Board
Educational purpose only • Exercise caution as content is pending human review
Article Review Status
Submitted
Under Review
Approved

Last updated: October 26, 2025View editorial policy

Personalize

Help us tailor your experience

Which best describes you? Your choice helps us use language that's most understandable for you.

Prognosis in 51% Burns

A patient with 51% total body surface area (TBSA) burns has a poor prognosis with approximately 50% chance of survival, with high risk of systemic complications and mortality. 1

Mortality Risk Factors

  • Age, TBSA burned, and presence of smoke inhalation are the main risk factors affecting mortality in severe burns 2
  • Burns covering more than 50% TBSA are associated with mortality rates of approximately 84.6% according to recent retrospective studies 3
  • Patients with a 78% TBSA burn have a 50% chance of survival, suggesting that at 51% TBSA, survival chances are somewhat better but still concerning 1
  • The presence of inhalation injury significantly worsens prognosis and increases mortality risk 2
  • Development of acute kidney failure during the first week increases mortality risk significantly (OR 5.47) 4

Expected Complications

Respiratory Complications

  • Respiratory complications occur in approximately 95.6% of patients with >50% TBSA burns 3
  • Patients with facial burns and inhalation injury should be closely monitored for glottis edema and respiratory distress 2
  • Intubation should be considered if the patient has very extensive burns (TBSA >40%) along with deep circular neck burns or symptoms of airway obstruction 2

Cardiovascular Complications

  • Cardiocirculatory complications occur in 93.4% of patients with >50% TBSA burns 3
  • Hypovolemic shock is common and requires aggressive fluid resuscitation 2
  • Fluid requirements are frequently underestimated; for adults with >50% TBSA burns, at least 2 liters of fluid are recommended in the first hour 5

Metabolic and Other Systemic Complications

  • Metabolic complications occur in 84.6% of patients with >50% TBSA burns 3
  • Hematological complications (74.7%), renal complications (64.8%), and hepatic complications (59.3%) are common 3
  • Infectious complications occur in 38.4% of cases with >50% TBSA burns 3
  • Fungal infections are a significant concern, with Aspergillus and Candida being the most common pathogens 6

Management Priorities to Improve Prognosis

Specialized Care

  • Patients with >20% TBSA burns in adults should be referred to a specialized burn center immediately 2, 7
  • Direct admission to a burn center is associated with better survival and decreased morbidity 2
  • Telemedicine consultation with burn specialists should be utilized if immediate transfer is not possible 2

Fluid Resuscitation

  • Proper fluid resuscitation is critical in the first 24-48 hours 2
  • Balanced crystalloid solutions are recommended for initial fluid resuscitation 2
  • For adults with >50% TBSA burns, at least 2 liters of fluid are recommended in the first hour 5

Respiratory Support

  • Early intubation should be considered for patients with extensive burns (>40% TBSA) if they also have deep circular neck burns or symptoms of airway obstruction 2
  • Mechanical ventilation parameters should be chosen to avoid barotrauma 5

Infection Prevention

  • Systemic antibiotic prophylaxis in the first 4-14 days has been shown to reduce mortality by nearly half in burn patients 2
  • Early surgical excision of necrotic tissue and wound coverage are essential to reduce infection risk 5

Exclusion Criteria for ICU Admission During Mass Casualty Events

  • According to triage protocols, patients with severe burns meeting specific criteria may be excluded from ICU admission during mass casualty events 2
  • These criteria include burns with >40% TBSA affected in patients >60 years of age, or burns with inhalation injury 2
  • This information is relevant for disaster planning but should not affect standard care decisions outside of mass casualty scenarios 2

Long-term Considerations

  • Survivors of extensive burns face significant functional limitations and may require prolonged rehabilitation 7
  • Nutritional support is crucial as severe burn patients have very high metabolic demands 5
  • Early surgical excision and skin grafting significantly reduce morbidity, mortality, and length of hospital stay 2

References

Research

Burns.

Critical care nursing clinics of North America, 2013

Guideline

Guideline Directed Topic Overview

Dr.Oracle Medical Advisory Board & Editors, 2025

Research

[Systemic complications of extended burns].

Annales de chirurgie plastique et esthetique, 2001

Research

Incidence of systemic fungal infection and related mortality following severe burns.

Burns : journal of the International Society for Burn Injuries, 2008

Guideline

Burn Classification and Management

Praxis Medical Insights: Practical Summaries of Clinical Guidelines, 2025

Professional Medical Disclaimer

This information is intended for healthcare professionals. Any medical decision-making should rely on clinical judgment and independently verified information. The content provided herein does not replace professional discretion and should be considered supplementary to established clinical guidelines. Healthcare providers should verify all information against primary literature and current practice standards before application in patient care. Dr.Oracle assumes no liability for clinical decisions based on this content.

Have a follow-up question?

Our Medical A.I. is used by practicing medical doctors at top research institutions around the world. Ask any follow up question and get world-class guideline-backed answers instantly.