What is the prognosis and treatment for multiple myeloma?

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Last updated: October 27, 2025View editorial policy

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Multiple Myeloma Prognosis and Treatment

The prognosis for multiple myeloma varies significantly based on staging and risk factors, with median survival now approaching 5-7 years with modern therapies, though some patients may survive 10 years or longer even with conventional chemotherapy. 1, 2

Prognostic Factors

  • The International Staging System (ISS) is a powerful three-stage classification based on serum β2-microglobulin and albumin levels, with ISS stage III associated with poorest outcomes 3
  • Cytogenetic abnormalities detected by FISH are major prognostic factors, with t(4;14), deletion(17p), and t(14;16) associated with poorer outcomes 3
  • The Revised International Staging System combines β2-microglobulin, albumin, and LDH with cytogenetic features to provide more accurate survival estimates - patients with stage I disease have a median 5-year survival of 82% 4
  • Additional biological parameters with prognostic importance include C-reactive protein, LDH, and chromosome 1 abnormalities 3, 5

Diagnostic Criteria

  • Diagnosis requires ≥10% clonal bone marrow plasma cells or biopsy-proven plasmacytoma plus myeloma-defining events 3
  • Myeloma-defining events include:
    • CRAB criteria: hypercalcemia, renal insufficiency, anemia, or bone lesions 3, 6
    • Biomarkers of malignancy: ≥60% clonal bone marrow plasma cells, involved/uninvolved serum free light chain ratio >100, or >1 focal lesion on MRI 3
  • Essential diagnostic tests include serum and urine protein electrophoresis with immunofixation, serum free light chain assay, bone marrow examination, and imaging studies 3, 7

Treatment Approach Based on Patient Characteristics

Smoldering (Asymptomatic) Myeloma

  • Observation without immediate treatment is recommended 3, 6
  • Regular monitoring every 3-6 months with laboratory tests 8

Symptomatic Myeloma in Elderly Patients (>65 years)

  • Standard treatment has evolved from melphalan-prednisone to combination therapies 3
  • Current regimens include melphalan-prednisone with thalidomide or other novel agents like bortezomib or lenalidomide 3
  • Long-term bisphosphonate administration reduces skeletal events 3, 6

Symptomatic Myeloma in Younger Patients (<65 years)

  • High-dose therapy with autologous stem cell transplantation (ASCT) is the standard treatment for eligible patients 3, 4
  • Induction therapy typically includes a proteasome inhibitor (bortezomib), an immunomodulatory agent (lenalidomide), and dexamethasone 4
  • Melphalan 200 mg/m² is the preferred preparative regimen before autologous transplantation 3
  • Double ASCT may benefit some patients, though only one study shows overall survival benefit 3

Novel Therapies and Recent Advances

  • Daratumumab (anti-CD38 monoclonal antibody) in combination with lenalidomide and dexamethasone has shown significant improvement in progression-free survival and overall survival in newly diagnosed patients ineligible for transplant 9
  • Bispecific antibodies and CAR-T cell therapies are emerging as promising immunotherapy approaches 10
  • The introduction of immunomodulatory drugs, monoclonal antibodies, and proteasome inhibitors has significantly improved remission duration and overall survival 10

Follow-Up and Monitoring

  • Regular laboratory monitoring (every 3-6 months) including complete blood count, serum chemistry, quantitative immunoglobulins, serum protein electrophoresis, and free light chain assay 8
  • Annual bone survey or as clinically indicated 8
  • More frequent monitoring for progressive or relapsed disease 8

Common Pitfalls to Avoid

  • Failure to obtain cytogenetic analysis, which provides crucial prognostic information 3, 6
  • Missing early signs of disease progression by inadequate monitoring 8
  • Not utilizing appropriate imaging to detect extramedullary disease 8
  • Overlooking the potential for long-term survival even with conventional therapy in patients with favorable prognostic factors 2

References

Research

Bone Tumors: Multiple Myeloma.

FP essentials, 2020

Research

Long-term survival in multiple myeloma: a single-center experience.

Clinical and experimental medicine, 2008

Guideline

Guideline Directed Topic Overview

Dr.Oracle Medical Advisory Board & Editors, 2025

Research

Prognostic features of multiple myeloma.

Best practice & research. Clinical haematology, 2005

Guideline

Multiple Myeloma Diagnosis and Treatment

Praxis Medical Insights: Practical Summaries of Clinical Guidelines, 2025

Guideline

Multiple Myeloma Diagnosis and Treatment

Praxis Medical Insights: Practical Summaries of Clinical Guidelines, 2025

Guideline

Multiple Myeloma Follow-Up Protocol

Praxis Medical Insights: Practical Summaries of Clinical Guidelines, 2025

Research

New therapies in multiple myeloma: benefits and limitations.

Polish archives of internal medicine, 2025

Professional Medical Disclaimer

This information is intended for healthcare professionals. Any medical decision-making should rely on clinical judgment and independently verified information. The content provided herein does not replace professional discretion and should be considered supplementary to established clinical guidelines. Healthcare providers should verify all information against primary literature and current practice standards before application in patient care. Dr.Oracle assumes no liability for clinical decisions based on this content.

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