Management of Elevated D-dimer Without Clinical Suspicion of Pulmonary Embolism
An elevated D-dimer without clinical suspicion of pulmonary embolism should not trigger further diagnostic imaging, as clinical probability assessment must always precede and guide the interpretation of D-dimer results.
Clinical Probability Assessment is Essential
- Clinical probability assessment using validated tools (Wells score, Geneva score) or clinician gestalt is the mandatory first step in evaluating suspected PE, not D-dimer testing 1
- D-dimer testing should only be performed after clinical probability has been assessed, as knowledge of D-dimer results before clinical assessment can inappropriately bias the clinician's assessment 2
- The European Society of Cardiology and American College of Physicians both emphasize that clinical probability stratification determines the subsequent testing strategy 1, 3
Proper Sequence for PE Evaluation
Clinical probability assessment first:
D-dimer testing only after clinical assessment:
Imaging decisions based on combined assessment:
Pitfalls of Isolated D-dimer Testing
- D-dimer has high negative predictive value but poor positive predictive value (as low as 53%) 4
- The specificity of D-dimer decreases with age, dropping to only 10% in patients >80 years 1
- Ordering D-dimer without clinical suspicion leads to unnecessary imaging and potential harm 3
- When D-dimer is known before clinical assessment, physicians tend to inappropriately increase their clinical probability assessment 2
Management of Incidental Elevated D-dimer
For patients with elevated D-dimer but no clinical suspicion of PE:
- Perform a thorough clinical assessment using validated tools 3
- If clinical probability is low and patient meets all PERC criteria, no further testing is needed 3
- If clinical probability is low/intermediate but PERC criteria not met, consider alternative causes of elevated D-dimer 1
- Only proceed to imaging if clinical assessment suggests PE is possible 3
Common non-PE causes of elevated D-dimer:
Safety Considerations
- The negative predictive value of a normal D-dimer with low clinical probability is excellent (99.5%) 5
- However, the negative predictive value decreases significantly with higher clinical probability (only 90.7% in patients with likely clinical probability) 6
- The 3-month thromboembolic risk in patients with normal D-dimer and low/moderate clinical probability is very low (0-0.6%) 5, 7
Key Practice Points
- Never order D-dimer without first assessing clinical probability 3, 1
- Never proceed directly to CTPA based solely on elevated D-dimer without clinical suspicion 3
- Clinical assessment should always guide interpretation of D-dimer results, not vice versa 2
- When D-dimer is elevated but clinical suspicion is absent, focus on clinical assessment rather than reflexively ordering imaging 1