What are the risk factors for fatty liver disease?

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Last updated: November 7, 2025View editorial policy

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Risk Factors for Fatty Liver Disease

The major risk factors for nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) include obesity, type 2 diabetes mellitus, dyslipidemia, and metabolic syndrome, with obesity being the strongest predictor—prevalence exceeds 90% in patients undergoing bariatric surgery. 1

Metabolic Risk Factors

Obesity and Body Composition

  • Excessive BMI and visceral obesity are the most well-documented risk factors for NAFLD, with prevalence rates exceeding 90% in severely obese patients undergoing bariatric surgery 1
  • Up to 5% of bariatric surgery patients may have unsuspected cirrhosis at the time of surgery 1
  • Sarcopenia increases NAFLD risk approximately four-fold, independent of obesity or metabolic syndrome, and when combined with NAFLD, increases advanced fibrosis risk by 1.8 times 1

Diabetes and Insulin Resistance

  • Type 2 diabetes mellitus carries a 60-75% prevalence of NAFLD 1, 2
  • In one ultrasonographic study, 69% of diabetic patients had NAFLD, and among those with fatty infiltration who underwent biopsy, 87% had histologic confirmation 1
  • Insulin resistance syndromes, including lipoatrophic diabetes, significantly increase NAFLD risk 1

Dyslipidemia

  • High serum triglycerides and low HDL cholesterol are very common in NAFLD patients 1
  • The prevalence of NAFLD in individuals with dyslipidemia attending lipid clinics is approximately 50% 1, 2

Metabolic Syndrome

  • Metabolic syndrome confers a 50% prevalence of NAFLD 1, 2
  • The presence of two or more metabolic risk factors (central obesity, hypertriglyceridemia, low HDL, hypertension, prediabetes) substantially increases risk 1

Demographic Risk Factors

Age

  • NAFLD prevalence increases progressively with age 1
  • Older patients with NAFLD have increased likelihood of disease progression to advanced fibrosis and higher mortality rates 1

Sex

  • Male gender is an independent risk factor for fatty liver disease 1
  • In a study of 26,527 subjects, NAFLD prevalence was 31% in men versus 16% in women 1

Ethnicity

  • Hispanic individuals have significantly higher prevalence of NAFLD compared to non-Hispanic whites 1
  • Non-Hispanic blacks have significantly lower prevalence compared to non-Hispanic whites 1
  • American-Indian and Alaskan-Native populations show lower prevalence (0.6-2.2%), though this may be underestimated due to lack of histologic definition 1

Endocrine and Metabolic Disorders

Several endocrine conditions independently increase NAFLD risk beyond their association with obesity: 1

  • Hypothyroidism increases NAFLD prevalence by 1.6 times 1
  • Polycystic ovary syndrome increases incidence approximately 2.2 times 1
  • Hypogonadism is an independent risk factor 1
  • Hypopituitarism increases NAFLD risk 1
  • Obstructive sleep apnea is associated with increased NAFLD prevalence 1

Lifestyle and Behavioral Factors

Physical Activity

  • Decreased physical activity increases both prevalence and incidence of NAFLD 1
  • Sedentary lifestyle contributes to disease development independent of other metabolic factors 1

Alcohol Consumption

  • While NAFLD is defined by absence of harmful alcohol consumption, even low alcohol intake can double the risk for adverse liver-related outcomes in patients with existing NAFLD 3
  • Alcohol synergistically worsens liver damage when combined with other metabolic risk factors 4, 5

Weight Loss History

  • Severe rapid weight loss, especially in initially obese individuals, can precipitate NAFLD 1

Genetic Factors

Genetic polymorphisms play a major role in NAFLD susceptibility and progression: 1

  • PNPLA3 (patatin-like phospholipase domain-containing 3) single nucleotide polymorphisms significantly affect disease development and progression 1
  • TM6SF2 (transmembrane 6 superfamily member 2) variants influence disease severity 1
  • In Korean populations, SAMM50 (sorting and assembly machinery component 50) is associated with NAFLD prevalence and severity 1

Medication-Induced Risk

Certain medications are associated with secondary hepatic steatosis and should be avoided when possible: 1, 3

  • Corticosteroids 1, 3
  • Amiodarone 1, 3
  • Methotrexate 1, 3
  • Tamoxifen 1, 3
  • Valproate (causes microvesicular steatosis) 1

Other Associated Conditions

Additional conditions that increase NAFLD prevalence include: 1

  • Pancreatoduodenal resection 1
  • Psoriasis 1

Clinical Implications

When evaluating patients for NAFLD risk, prioritize screening in those with: 1

  • Type 2 diabetes (regardless of other risk factors) 1
  • Two or more metabolic risk factors 1
  • Steatosis on any imaging modality or elevated aminotransferases 1
  • Persistent unexplained elevation of serum alanine aminotransferase 1

Common pitfall: Failing to recognize that cardiovascular disease, not liver disease, is the leading cause of death in NAFLD patients before cirrhosis develops, making comprehensive cardiovascular risk assessment essential 3, 2

References

Guideline

Guideline Directed Topic Overview

Dr.Oracle Medical Advisory Board & Editors, 2025

Guideline

NASH-Associated Chronic Liver Disease Complications

Praxis Medical Insights: Practical Summaries of Clinical Guidelines, 2025

Guideline

Management of Moderate to Severe Fatty Liver Disease

Praxis Medical Insights: Practical Summaries of Clinical Guidelines, 2025

Research

Alcohol Induces More Severe Fatty Liver Disease by Influencing Cholesterol Metabolism.

Evidence-based complementary and alternative medicine : eCAM, 2019

Professional Medical Disclaimer

This information is intended for healthcare professionals. Any medical decision-making should rely on clinical judgment and independently verified information. The content provided herein does not replace professional discretion and should be considered supplementary to established clinical guidelines. Healthcare providers should verify all information against primary literature and current practice standards before application in patient care. Dr.Oracle assumes no liability for clinical decisions based on this content.

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