Risk Factors for Fatty Liver Disease
The major risk factors for nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) include obesity, type 2 diabetes mellitus, dyslipidemia, and metabolic syndrome, with obesity being the strongest predictor—prevalence exceeds 90% in patients undergoing bariatric surgery. 1
Metabolic Risk Factors
Obesity and Body Composition
- Excessive BMI and visceral obesity are the most well-documented risk factors for NAFLD, with prevalence rates exceeding 90% in severely obese patients undergoing bariatric surgery 1
- Up to 5% of bariatric surgery patients may have unsuspected cirrhosis at the time of surgery 1
- Sarcopenia increases NAFLD risk approximately four-fold, independent of obesity or metabolic syndrome, and when combined with NAFLD, increases advanced fibrosis risk by 1.8 times 1
Diabetes and Insulin Resistance
- Type 2 diabetes mellitus carries a 60-75% prevalence of NAFLD 1, 2
- In one ultrasonographic study, 69% of diabetic patients had NAFLD, and among those with fatty infiltration who underwent biopsy, 87% had histologic confirmation 1
- Insulin resistance syndromes, including lipoatrophic diabetes, significantly increase NAFLD risk 1
Dyslipidemia
- High serum triglycerides and low HDL cholesterol are very common in NAFLD patients 1
- The prevalence of NAFLD in individuals with dyslipidemia attending lipid clinics is approximately 50% 1, 2
Metabolic Syndrome
- Metabolic syndrome confers a 50% prevalence of NAFLD 1, 2
- The presence of two or more metabolic risk factors (central obesity, hypertriglyceridemia, low HDL, hypertension, prediabetes) substantially increases risk 1
Demographic Risk Factors
Age
- NAFLD prevalence increases progressively with age 1
- Older patients with NAFLD have increased likelihood of disease progression to advanced fibrosis and higher mortality rates 1
Sex
- Male gender is an independent risk factor for fatty liver disease 1
- In a study of 26,527 subjects, NAFLD prevalence was 31% in men versus 16% in women 1
Ethnicity
- Hispanic individuals have significantly higher prevalence of NAFLD compared to non-Hispanic whites 1
- Non-Hispanic blacks have significantly lower prevalence compared to non-Hispanic whites 1
- American-Indian and Alaskan-Native populations show lower prevalence (0.6-2.2%), though this may be underestimated due to lack of histologic definition 1
Endocrine and Metabolic Disorders
Several endocrine conditions independently increase NAFLD risk beyond their association with obesity: 1
- Hypothyroidism increases NAFLD prevalence by 1.6 times 1
- Polycystic ovary syndrome increases incidence approximately 2.2 times 1
- Hypogonadism is an independent risk factor 1
- Hypopituitarism increases NAFLD risk 1
- Obstructive sleep apnea is associated with increased NAFLD prevalence 1
Lifestyle and Behavioral Factors
Physical Activity
- Decreased physical activity increases both prevalence and incidence of NAFLD 1
- Sedentary lifestyle contributes to disease development independent of other metabolic factors 1
Alcohol Consumption
- While NAFLD is defined by absence of harmful alcohol consumption, even low alcohol intake can double the risk for adverse liver-related outcomes in patients with existing NAFLD 3
- Alcohol synergistically worsens liver damage when combined with other metabolic risk factors 4, 5
Weight Loss History
- Severe rapid weight loss, especially in initially obese individuals, can precipitate NAFLD 1
Genetic Factors
Genetic polymorphisms play a major role in NAFLD susceptibility and progression: 1
- PNPLA3 (patatin-like phospholipase domain-containing 3) single nucleotide polymorphisms significantly affect disease development and progression 1
- TM6SF2 (transmembrane 6 superfamily member 2) variants influence disease severity 1
- In Korean populations, SAMM50 (sorting and assembly machinery component 50) is associated with NAFLD prevalence and severity 1
Medication-Induced Risk
Certain medications are associated with secondary hepatic steatosis and should be avoided when possible: 1, 3
- Corticosteroids 1, 3
- Amiodarone 1, 3
- Methotrexate 1, 3
- Tamoxifen 1, 3
- Valproate (causes microvesicular steatosis) 1
Other Associated Conditions
Additional conditions that increase NAFLD prevalence include: 1
Clinical Implications
When evaluating patients for NAFLD risk, prioritize screening in those with: 1
- Type 2 diabetes (regardless of other risk factors) 1
- Two or more metabolic risk factors 1
- Steatosis on any imaging modality or elevated aminotransferases 1
- Persistent unexplained elevation of serum alanine aminotransferase 1
Common pitfall: Failing to recognize that cardiovascular disease, not liver disease, is the leading cause of death in NAFLD patients before cirrhosis develops, making comprehensive cardiovascular risk assessment essential 3, 2