Research Proposal Topic: Comparative Effectiveness of Triple Therapy Combinations in Type 2 Diabetes
Primary Research Question
Investigate whether triple therapy with metformin + SGLT2 inhibitor + GLP-1 agonist reduces all-cause mortality and major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) compared to metformin + sulfonylurea + insulin in patients with type 2 diabetes who have failed dual therapy, with specific focus on patients with established cardiovascular disease or chronic kidney disease.
Rationale and Evidence Gaps
Current State of Evidence
- Dual therapy is well-established: All dual-regimen combination therapies reduce HbA1c by approximately 1 additional percentage point compared with monotherapy 1
- Newer agents show mortality benefits: SGLT2 inhibitors (RR 0.86,95% CI 0.80-0.93) and GLP-1 agonists (RR 0.88,95% CI 0.83-0.94) reduce all-cause mortality compared with usual care, while DPP-4 inhibitors, tirzepatide, and insulin do not differ from usual care 1
- Cardiovascular benefits are agent-specific: SGLT2 inhibitors reduce heart failure hospitalization and CKD progression, while GLP-1 agonists reduce stroke compared with usual care 1
Critical Knowledge Gap
- Triple therapy combinations are understudied: Current guidelines recommend stepwise addition of medications 1, but there is insufficient direct comparative evidence on which triple therapy combinations optimize mortality, cardiovascular outcomes, and quality of life 1
- Older combinations may be harmful: Sulfonylureas as add-on therapy to metformin are associated with increased all-cause mortality (HR 1.44,95% CI 1.12-1.84) and major hypoglycemic episodes (HR 2.78,95% CI 1.66-4.66) compared with other oral agents 2
- Conflicting mortality data exists: One study showed combination sulfonylurea-metformin increased cardiovascular mortality (OR 1.73,95% CI 1.17-2.55) 3, while another showed decreased all-cause mortality (RR 0.77,95% CI 0.70-0.85) 4
Proposed Study Design
Population
- Adults with type 2 diabetes inadequately controlled (HbA1c ≥8.0%) on metformin plus one additional agent for ≥3 months 1
- Enriched for high-risk patients: established ASCVD, heart failure, or CKD (eGFR 30-60 mL/min/1.73m²) 1
- Minimum sample size: 2,000 participants per arm based on prior cardiovascular outcome trials 1
Intervention Arms
- Modern triple therapy: Metformin + SGLT2 inhibitor + GLP-1 agonist
- Traditional triple therapy: Metformin + sulfonylurea + basal insulin
Primary Outcomes (Prioritizing Mortality and Morbidity)
- Co-primary endpoints:
- Minimum follow-up: 52 weeks, ideally 2-3 years 1
Secondary Outcomes
- Heart failure hospitalization 1
- CKD progression (≥40% decline in eGFR or progression to ESRD) 1
- Severe hypoglycemia requiring assistance 2
- Quality of life measures 1
- Body weight change 1, 5
- HbA1c reduction 1
Clinical Significance
Why This Matters Now
- Guidelines prioritize cardiovascular outcomes: For patients with ASCVD, heart failure, or CKD, SGLT2 inhibitors or GLP-1 agonists with demonstrated cardiovascular benefit should be added regardless of HbA1c level 6, 7
- Cost-effectiveness is uncertain: While newer agents are more expensive, their mortality benefits may justify costs if triple therapy proves superior 1
- Real-world practice lags evidence: Many patients still receive sulfonylurea-insulin combinations despite safety concerns 2, 3
Expected Impact
This trial would directly inform whether clinicians should preferentially use modern triple therapy (metformin + SGLT2i + GLP-1 agonist) over traditional combinations in high-risk patients, potentially preventing cardiovascular deaths and hypoglycemic episodes while improving quality of life 1, 2.