What percentage of men with metastatic prostate cancer die from causes unrelated to prostate cancer when the overall survival (OS) rate is 38 percent at 5 years?

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Last updated: November 12, 2025View editorial policy

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Mortality from Non-Prostate Cancer Causes in Metastatic Disease

When overall survival is 38% at 5 years in men with metastatic prostate cancer, approximately 13-17% of deaths are from causes unrelated to prostate cancer, meaning roughly 78% of deaths are prostate cancer-specific.

Evidence-Based Mortality Breakdown

The most relevant data comes from a large cohort study examining causes of death in metastatic prostate cancer patients:

  • In men with metastatic prostate cancer, 77.8% of deaths were from prostate cancer itself, while 16.7% were from non-cancer causes and 5.5% from other cancers 1

  • Among non-cancer deaths, cardiovascular diseases were the leading cause (standardized mortality ratio 1.34), followed by chronic obstructive pulmonary disease and cerebrovascular diseases 1

Calculating Non-Prostate Cancer Deaths

Using the 38% 5-year survival rate scenario:

  • If 62% died within 5 years (100% - 38% = 62% mortality)
  • Approximately 78% of these deaths were prostate cancer-related (based on the 77.8% figure) 1
  • This means roughly 48% died from prostate cancer (62% × 0.78)
  • Therefore, approximately 14% died from other causes (62% - 48%)

Temporal Patterns of Death

  • Most deaths (59%) occur within 2 years of metastatic diagnosis, with 31.6% occurring 2-5 years after diagnosis 1

  • The proportion of non-prostate cancer deaths increases with longer survival, as patients who live longer have more opportunity to die from competing causes 1, 2

Risk Factors for Non-Prostate Cancer Death

Patients more likely to die from causes other than prostate cancer include those with:

  • Concurrent cardiovascular disease at diagnosis - the strongest predictor of non-cancer death 2
  • Older age at diagnosis (>75 years) 2
  • Less advanced disease stage at presentation 2
  • White race compared to Black race 2

Clinical Context

  • In historical cohorts with longer follow-up, approximately 46% of men with prostate cancer died from causes other than prostate cancer, though this included all stages 2

  • For metastatic disease specifically, the proportion dying from prostate cancer is substantially higher (approximately 78%) compared to localized disease 1

  • Cardiovascular disease accounts for the majority of non-cancer deaths, with a 34% higher mortality rate than the age-matched general population 1

Professional Medical Disclaimer

This information is intended for healthcare professionals. Any medical decision-making should rely on clinical judgment and independently verified information. The content provided herein does not replace professional discretion and should be considered supplementary to established clinical guidelines. Healthcare providers should verify all information against primary literature and current practice standards before application in patient care. Dr.Oracle assumes no liability for clinical decisions based on this content.

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