Risk Factors for Pulmonary Embolism
Pulmonary embolism results from the interaction between patient-related (usually permanent) and setting-related (usually temporary) risk factors, with major trauma, surgery, lower-limb fractures, cancer, and immobilization representing the strongest provoking factors. 1
Strong Provoking Factors (Temporary)
The following represent the highest-risk temporary factors that dramatically increase PE risk:
- Major trauma and surgery are among the strongest provoking factors for venous thromboembolism 1
- Lower-limb fractures and joint replacements (hip or knee) carry particularly high risk 1, 2
- Spinal cord injury is a strong provoking factor 1
- Recent immobilization or major surgery within the preceding weeks 1
- Myocardial infarction within the previous 3 months significantly increases risk 2
- Hospitalization for heart failure or atrial fibrillation/flutter within the previous 3 months 2
Major Patient-Related Risk Factors (Often Permanent)
These factors represent ongoing or recurrent risk:
- Cancer is a well-recognized predisposing factor, with pancreatic cancer, hematological malignancies, lung cancer, gastric cancer, and brain cancer carrying the highest risk 1
- Previous venous thromboembolism (DVT or PE) is a strong risk factor for recurrence 1, 2
- Clinical deep vein thrombosis at presentation 1
- Pregnancy and the postpartum period, particularly with operative delivery 1
Cardiorespiratory and Medical Conditions
- Congestive cardiac failure and chronic symptomatic cardiorespiratory disease (including irreversible airways disease) 1
- Congenital heart disease 1
- Stroke and other neurological diseases causing lower limb immobility (brain tumor, acute spinal injury) 1
Hormonal and Medication-Related Factors
The risk varies substantially by formulation and generation:
- Combined oral contraceptives (containing both estrogen and progestogen) increase VTE risk approximately 2- to 6-fold over baseline 1, 2
- Third-generation combined oral contraceptives (containing desogestrel or gestodene) carry higher VTE risk than second-generation formulations (levonorgestrel or norgestrel) 1
- Hormone replacement therapy in postmenopausal women, with risk varying widely by formulation 1
- Hormone-releasing intrauterine devices and progesterone-only pills (at contraceptive doses) are NOT associated with significant VTE risk increase 1
Other Significant Risk Factors
- Infection is a common trigger for VTE 1
- Blood transfusion and erythropoiesis-stimulating agents are associated with increased VTE risk 1
- Age over 40 years (risk increases exponentially with age) 1, 2
- Obesity has been confirmed as an independent risk factor 1
- Central venous catheters 1
- Prolonged air travel due to lower limb immobility 1
Risk Stratification for Clinical Practice
When assessing PE probability, the British Thoracic Society recommends scoring patients based on:
Score +1 if other diagnoses are unlikely (on clinical grounds and after basic investigations) 1
Score +1 if a major risk factor is present:
- Recent immobilization or major surgery
- Recent lower limb trauma and/or surgery
- Clinical deep vein thrombosis
- Previous proven DVT or PE
- Pregnancy or postpartum
- Major medical illness 1
Important Clinical Caveats
- PE is rare if age <40 with no risk factors 1
- Oestrogens are only a minor risk factor when considered in isolation 1
- Over 70% of cases of fatal or non-fatal proven PE have proximal thrombus, even though this is usually clinically undetectable 1
- The incidence of venous thromboembolism is particularly high when there are multiple risk factors present simultaneously 1
- Inherited thrombophilia should be considered in those without another apparent explanation, though it is unusual for these to present as unheralded PE 1
Preventive Measures
Pharmacological and physical measures to reduce postoperative DVT risk in high-risk patients have achieved substantial reduction in fatal PE incidence, though wide variations in practice exist and protocols may be overlooked in emergency surgery patients 1
- Consider initial assessment of provoking risk factors for the index PE at an early stage (immobility, surgery, cancer, intercurrent illness) since this determines duration of anticoagulation 1
- Screening for malignancy should have mechanisms in place to review results within a prompt time frame when performed 1