What are the risk factors and preventive measures for pulmonary embolism (PE)?

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Last updated: November 17, 2025View editorial policy

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Risk Factors for Pulmonary Embolism

Pulmonary embolism results from the interaction between patient-related (usually permanent) and setting-related (usually temporary) risk factors, with major trauma, surgery, lower-limb fractures, cancer, and immobilization representing the strongest provoking factors. 1

Strong Provoking Factors (Temporary)

The following represent the highest-risk temporary factors that dramatically increase PE risk:

  • Major trauma and surgery are among the strongest provoking factors for venous thromboembolism 1
  • Lower-limb fractures and joint replacements (hip or knee) carry particularly high risk 1, 2
  • Spinal cord injury is a strong provoking factor 1
  • Recent immobilization or major surgery within the preceding weeks 1
  • Myocardial infarction within the previous 3 months significantly increases risk 2
  • Hospitalization for heart failure or atrial fibrillation/flutter within the previous 3 months 2

Major Patient-Related Risk Factors (Often Permanent)

These factors represent ongoing or recurrent risk:

  • Cancer is a well-recognized predisposing factor, with pancreatic cancer, hematological malignancies, lung cancer, gastric cancer, and brain cancer carrying the highest risk 1
  • Previous venous thromboembolism (DVT or PE) is a strong risk factor for recurrence 1, 2
  • Clinical deep vein thrombosis at presentation 1
  • Pregnancy and the postpartum period, particularly with operative delivery 1

Cardiorespiratory and Medical Conditions

  • Congestive cardiac failure and chronic symptomatic cardiorespiratory disease (including irreversible airways disease) 1
  • Congenital heart disease 1
  • Stroke and other neurological diseases causing lower limb immobility (brain tumor, acute spinal injury) 1

Hormonal and Medication-Related Factors

The risk varies substantially by formulation and generation:

  • Combined oral contraceptives (containing both estrogen and progestogen) increase VTE risk approximately 2- to 6-fold over baseline 1, 2
  • Third-generation combined oral contraceptives (containing desogestrel or gestodene) carry higher VTE risk than second-generation formulations (levonorgestrel or norgestrel) 1
  • Hormone replacement therapy in postmenopausal women, with risk varying widely by formulation 1
  • Hormone-releasing intrauterine devices and progesterone-only pills (at contraceptive doses) are NOT associated with significant VTE risk increase 1

Other Significant Risk Factors

  • Infection is a common trigger for VTE 1
  • Blood transfusion and erythropoiesis-stimulating agents are associated with increased VTE risk 1
  • Age over 40 years (risk increases exponentially with age) 1, 2
  • Obesity has been confirmed as an independent risk factor 1
  • Central venous catheters 1
  • Prolonged air travel due to lower limb immobility 1

Risk Stratification for Clinical Practice

When assessing PE probability, the British Thoracic Society recommends scoring patients based on:

Score +1 if other diagnoses are unlikely (on clinical grounds and after basic investigations) 1

Score +1 if a major risk factor is present:

  • Recent immobilization or major surgery
  • Recent lower limb trauma and/or surgery
  • Clinical deep vein thrombosis
  • Previous proven DVT or PE
  • Pregnancy or postpartum
  • Major medical illness 1

Important Clinical Caveats

  • PE is rare if age <40 with no risk factors 1
  • Oestrogens are only a minor risk factor when considered in isolation 1
  • Over 70% of cases of fatal or non-fatal proven PE have proximal thrombus, even though this is usually clinically undetectable 1
  • The incidence of venous thromboembolism is particularly high when there are multiple risk factors present simultaneously 1
  • Inherited thrombophilia should be considered in those without another apparent explanation, though it is unusual for these to present as unheralded PE 1

Preventive Measures

Pharmacological and physical measures to reduce postoperative DVT risk in high-risk patients have achieved substantial reduction in fatal PE incidence, though wide variations in practice exist and protocols may be overlooked in emergency surgery patients 1

  • Consider initial assessment of provoking risk factors for the index PE at an early stage (immobility, surgery, cancer, intercurrent illness) since this determines duration of anticoagulation 1
  • Screening for malignancy should have mechanisms in place to review results within a prompt time frame when performed 1

References

Guideline

Guideline Directed Topic Overview

Dr.Oracle Medical Advisory Board & Editors, 2025

Guideline

Pulmonary Embolism Risk Factors and Management

Praxis Medical Insights: Practical Summaries of Clinical Guidelines, 2025

Professional Medical Disclaimer

This information is intended for healthcare professionals. Any medical decision-making should rely on clinical judgment and independently verified information. The content provided herein does not replace professional discretion and should be considered supplementary to established clinical guidelines. Healthcare providers should verify all information against primary literature and current practice standards before application in patient care. Dr.Oracle assumes no liability for clinical decisions based on this content.

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