Risk Factors for Migraine
Migraine risk factors span non-modifiable demographic characteristics and critically important modifiable factors, with obesity, medication overuse, and poor sleep being the most actionable targets for preventing disease progression from episodic to chronic migraine.
Non-Modifiable Risk Factors
- Female sex is a major risk factor, with hormonal fluctuations playing a central role—menstruation is a particularly important trigger for many women who experience exclusively or frequently menstruation-related attacks 1
- Age-related patterns show migraine prevalence increases during adolescence, though it often remits with older age 1
- Family history substantially increases individual risk 1
- Race and ethnicity represent fixed demographic factors that influence migraine susceptibility 2
Critical Modifiable Risk Factors
Obesity and Metabolic Factors (Highest Priority)
- Obesity is the single most critical modifiable risk factor for transformation from episodic to chronic migraine and must be aggressively addressed 1, 3
- Weight loss is particularly crucial in obese patients, making topiramate an especially beneficial preventive choice due to its weight loss effect 1
- Metabolism-related comorbidities represent established risk factors for migraine progression 4
Medication Overuse (Most Severe Complication)
- Medication overuse headache (MOH) is the most severe complication and risk factor for chronic migraine, occurring when acute medications are used ≥10 days per month 1
- Acute medication use must be strictly limited to no more than twice weekly to prevent medication overuse headache 1, 3
- MOH frequently mimics chronic migraine and requires withdrawal of overused medications before initiating preventive therapy 3
- Poorly optimized acute headache treatment represents good evidence as a risk factor for progression 4
Sleep Disturbances
- Poor sleep quality and irregular sleep patterns are major predisposing factors that increase susceptibility to migraine attacks 1
- Regular sleep schedules should be emphasized as a core intervention 1
- Sleep disorders beyond poor sleep hygiene require specific treatment 1, 4
Physical Activity and Sedentary Behavior
- Poor physical fitness is a predisposing factor that increases attack susceptibility 1
- Physical inactivity represents an established risk factor with good evidence 4
- Regular exercise (40 minutes three times weekly) is as effective as topiramate or relaxation therapy for migraine prevention 1
Stress and Psychological Factors
- Stress management through cognitive-behavioral therapy, biofeedback, and relaxation techniques should be offered to all patients 1
- Stressful life events are identified remediable risk factors for progression 2
- Selected psychiatric symptoms have good evidence as risk factors for migraine progression 4
Dietary and Lifestyle Factors
- Eating regularly and maintaining adequate hydration are essential preventive measures 1
- Former/current high caffeine intake represents a risk factor with good evidence 4
- Avoiding excessive caffeine, alcohol, and nicotine is recommended 1
- Tobacco use is an established risk factor for progression 4
Migraine Disease Characteristics as Risk Factors
- Frequency of migraine attacks itself is an identified remediable risk factor—higher baseline attack frequency predicts progression 2, 4
- Cutaneous allodynia has good evidence as a risk factor for progression 4
- Personal triggers, when not properly managed, contribute to progression risk 4
Comorbidities as Risk Factors
Psychiatric Conditions
- Depression and anxiety are significant comorbidities that increase migraine risk and must be identified and treated, as their management directly improves migraine outcomes 1, 3
- Depression is specifically identified as a remediable risk factor 2
Pain Conditions
- Extra-cephalic chronic pain conditions have good evidence as risk factors for progression 4
- Chronic pain conditions represent overlapping comorbidities that worsen migraine burden 1
Cardiovascular and Respiratory
- Cardiovascular disease and cardiovascular risk factors are important considerations, particularly in older patients 1
- Respiratory conditions are established risk factors for progression 4
Other Medical Comorbidities
- Neurological and autoimmune diseases represent proposed biological risk factors 5
- Hormonal imbalances contribute to migraine development 5
Socioeconomic Factors
- Financial constraints have good evidence as a risk factor for migraine progression 4
Critical Clinical Pitfall
- Do not overemphasize trigger avoidance, as this can lead to unnecessary avoidance behavior that damages quality of life 1
- The focus should be on modifiable risk factors with the strongest evidence: obesity, medication overuse patterns, sleep hygiene, and regular physical activity rather than obsessive trigger avoidance