PCO2 Cutoff to Start Non-Invasive Ventilation
NIV should be initiated when PaCO2 ≥6.5 kPa (approximately 49 mmHg) persists after one hour of optimal medical therapy, accompanied by pH <7.35 and respiratory rate >23 breaths/min. 1
Primary Threshold Criteria
The British Thoracic Society/Intensive Care Society (BTS/ICS) 2016 guidelines provide the definitive Grade A recommendation for NIV initiation 1:
- PaCO2 ≥6.5 kPa (49 mmHg)
- pH <7.35
- Respiratory rate >23 breaths/min
- All three criteria must persist or develop after 60 minutes of optimal medical therapy
This represents an evolution from older thresholds. Previous guidelines used PaCO2 >6.0 kPa (45 mmHg), but the guideline development group recognized that PaCO2 between 6.0-6.5 kPa contributes minimally to acidosis in type 2 respiratory failure 1.
Intermediate Zone: PaCO2 6.0-6.5 kPa
For patients with PaCO2 between 6.0-6.5 kPa (45-49 mmHg), NIV should be considered rather than automatically initiated (Grade D recommendation) 1. During this window:
- Provide optimal medical care and controlled-flow oxygen
- Monitor closely with repeat arterial blood gas analysis
- Approximately 20% of acute exacerbations of COPD will normalize pH with medical therapy alone when oxygen saturation is targeted to 88-92% 1
This approach limits inappropriate NIV use in patients with significant metabolic acidosis contribution rather than pure respiratory acidosis 1.
Critical Context and Caveats
Severity stratification matters for location of care 1:
- Patients with pH <7.30 (H+ >50 nmol/l) should receive NIV in HDU/ICU settings
- Patients with pH <7.25 (H+ >56 nmol/l) respond less well and require higher dependency monitoring 1
The older 2002 BTS guideline used a lower threshold of PaCO2 >45 mmol/l (approximately 6.0 kPa) 1, but this has been superseded by the 2016 update specifically to avoid overuse in mixed acidosis 1.
Disease-specific considerations 2:
- The primary evidence base derives from COPD exacerbations 1
- For acute exacerbation of COPD with pH 7.25-7.35, NIV has Grade 1A evidence 2
- For pH <7.25 with PaCO2 ≥45 mmHg, attempt NIV before intubation unless immediate intubation required (Grade 2A) 2
- NIV should NOT be used routinely in normocapnic or mildly hypercapnic patients without acidosis (pH >7.35) 2
Practical Algorithm
- Initial assessment: Obtain arterial blood gas on presentation
- If PaCO2 ≥6.5 kPa AND pH <7.35 AND RR >23: Initiate optimal medical therapy
- Repeat ABG after 60 minutes of treatment
- If criteria persist: Start NIV (Grade A recommendation) 1
- If PaCO2 6.0-6.5 kPa: Continue medical therapy with close monitoring; consider NIV based on clinical trajectory 1
- Reassess at 1-2 hours on NIV: If PaCO2 and pH worsen, consider intubation 1
The emphasis on waiting one hour after optimal medical therapy prevents premature NIV initiation in patients who will improve with bronchodilators, steroids, and controlled oxygen alone 1.