COVID-19 Antiviral Therapy Recommendations
Primary Recommendation
For non-hospitalized patients with COVID-19 at high risk of hospitalization, nirmatrelvir/ritonavir (Paxlovid) is the first-line antiviral therapy and should be initiated within 5 days of symptom onset. 1, 2
Risk Stratification for Treatment
High-Risk Patients (Strong Indication for Antivirals)
- Age ≥65 years 3
- Immunocompromised status (including hematological malignancies, transplant recipients) 1, 3
- Multiple comorbidities 3
- Unvaccinated or vaccine non-responders 1
Moderate-Risk Patients (Conditional Indication)
- Patients with some risk factors but lower baseline hospitalization risk 1
- Consider treatment on case-by-case basis weighing drug interactions 1
Low-Risk Patients (Not Recommended)
- Young, healthy individuals without risk factors 1
- Treatment provides trivial benefit and is not recommended 1
First-Line Antiviral: Nirmatrelvir/Ritonavir (Paxlovid)
Efficacy Data
- Reduces hospitalization by 26-39% in real-world studies 4, 5
- Reduces mortality by 61-73% 4, 5
- Absolute risk reduction: 0.9% for hospitalization, 0.2% for death 4
- Effectiveness maintained in vaccinated patients and against Omicron variants 4
Dosing
- Standard dose: 300 mg nirmatrelvir (two 150 mg tablets) + 100 mg ritonavir (one tablet) twice daily for 5 days 2
- Moderate renal impairment (eGFR 30-59 mL/min): 150 mg nirmatrelvir + 100 mg ritonavir twice daily 2
- Severe renal impairment (eGFR <30 mL/min): 300 mg nirmatrelvir + 100 mg ritonavir once on Day 1, then 150 mg nirmatrelvir + 100 mg ritonavir once daily Days 2-5 2
- Initiate within 5 days of symptom onset 1, 2
Critical Drug Interactions
Ritonavir is a potent CYP3A inhibitor causing potentially life-threatening drug interactions. 2
Contraindicated medications include: 2
- Drugs highly dependent on CYP3A clearance where elevated levels cause serious reactions
- Potent CYP3A inducers that reduce nirmatrelvir/ritonavir levels
Use the Liverpool COVID-19 drug interaction tool before prescribing 1
Contraindications
- Severe hepatic impairment (Child-Pugh Class C) 2
- History of clinically significant hypersensitivity to nirmatrelvir or ritonavir 2
- Concomitant use of contraindicated medications 2
Alternative Antiviral Options
Remdesivir (Second-Line)
- Indicated when nirmatrelvir/ritonavir contraindicated or unavailable 1, 3
- Demonstrates faster recovery rates, particularly in patients with low-flow oxygen requirements 3
- Major limitation: requires intravenous administration 1, 3
- Preferred over molnupiravir due to better efficacy and no safety concerns 1
Molnupiravir (Third-Line)
- Use only when nirmatrelvir/ritonavir and remdesivir are contraindicated or unavailable 1
- Reduced hospitalization/death by 6.8% vs 9.7% in trials 3
- Inferior to nirmatrelvir/ritonavir in indirect comparisons (moderate certainty) 1
- Safety concerns exist regarding potential mutagenicity 1
Special Populations: Hematological Malignancies
For immunocompromised patients with hematological malignancies: 1
- High-titer convalescent plasma may be considered
- Inhaled interferon beta-1a may be considered
- Prolonged viral replication may warrant extended antiviral therapy 1
Combination Therapy
Do not combine antiviral therapies—there is no evidence of benefit. 1
For severe/critical COVID-19 requiring oxygen, combine antivirals with immunomodulatory therapy: 1
- Dexamethasone 6 mg daily for 10 days 1
- Consider adding tocilizumab or baricitinib to corticosteroids 1
Common Pitfalls to Avoid
Timing Errors
- Must initiate within 5 days of symptom onset—efficacy diminishes after this window 1, 2
- Do not delay treatment waiting for test results if clinical suspicion is high
Drug Interaction Oversights
- Always check drug interactions before prescribing nirmatrelvir/ritonavir—ritonavir causes numerous serious interactions 1, 2
- Consider temporary discontinuation of interacting medications during 5-day treatment course 1
Inappropriate Use
- Do not use hydroxychloroquine—no benefit and may worsen outcomes 1
- Do not use lopinavir/ritonavir alone—ineffective and causes adverse effects 1
- Do not use corticosteroids in non-severe disease—may prolong viral clearance 1
Rebound Concerns
- SARS-CoV-2 rebound occurs with similar frequency in treated and untreated patients 6
- Rebound symptoms are mild with no reported hospitalizations or deaths 6
- Potential for rebound should NOT deter prescribing lifesaving antivirals 6
Pregnant and Breastfeeding Patients
Pregnant and breastfeeding individuals with non-severe COVID-19 at high risk may consider nirmatrelvir/ritonavir. 1
- No serious adverse reactions reported in WHO Vigibase to date 1
- Uncertainty exists, but potential benefits outweigh theoretical risks in high-risk patients 1
Hospitalized Patients
Non-Severe Disease (No Oxygen Requirement)
No evidence supports immunomodulatory therapy initiation 1
Requiring Supplemental Oxygen
Systemic corticosteroids (dexamethasone) are the cornerstone of therapy and decrease mortality 1
Add tocilizumab to corticosteroids—reduces disease progression and mortality 1
Consider adding baricitinib or tofacitinib to corticosteroids—may decrease progression and mortality 1