Can circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) tests be used for diagnosing or monitoring metastatic castration-resistant prostate cancer (mCRPC)?

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Last updated: December 11, 2025View editorial policy

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Can ctDNA Testing Be Used for mCRPC?

Yes, circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) testing can and should be used for metastatic castration-resistant prostate cancer (mCRPC), specifically for somatic genomic profiling to guide biomarker-directed therapies, though it has important limitations for monitoring that preclude routine use for treatment response assessment. 1

When to Use ctDNA Testing in mCRPC

Initial Somatic Testing

  • All mCRPC patients being considered for biomarker-directed systemic treatment should undergo somatic testing with next-generation sequencing technologies. 1
  • ctDNA is the preferred specimen when there is no accessible metastatic site to biopsy or for sequential testing. 1
  • However, archival tissue samples are preferred for initial testing, and in settings of minimal disease burden with low ctDNA fraction, metastatic biopsy is preferred over ctDNA. 1

Sequential Testing

  • Sequential somatic testing may be offered when there has been a meaningful change in the patient's status or treatment plan, especially when prior tests were negative or uninformative (e.g., insufficient or low tumor content). 1
  • ctDNA is preferred for this sequential testing scenario. 1

Clinical Utility: What ctDNA Can Identify

Actionable Therapeutic Targets

  • ctDNA testing identifies mutations in homologous recombination repair (HRR) genes including BRCA1, BRCA2, ATM, PALB2, FANCA, RAD51D, CHEK2, and CDK12 that predict response to PARP inhibitors. 1
  • Patients with pathogenic somatic alterations in BRCA1 and BRCA2 are candidates for PARP inhibitor monotherapy, PARP inhibitor with androgen receptor pathway inhibitor combination therapy, and platinum-based agents. 1
  • ctDNA can detect microsatellite instability-high (MSI-H) or deficient mismatch repair (dMMR) status, which predicts response to pembrolizumab. 1
  • Tumor mutation burden (TMB) testing via ctDNA can inform possible use of pembrolizumab in later lines of therapy. 1

Prognostic Information

  • ctDNA fraction strongly predicts overall survival and progression-free survival independent of therapeutic context and outperforms established clinical prognostic factors. 2
  • ctDNA-positive patients (59% in one phase 3 trial) have significantly worse median overall survival than ctDNA-negative patients (29.0 months vs. 47.4 months). 3
  • Higher ctDNA levels correlate with serum and radiographic metrics of disease burden and are highest in patients with liver metastases. 2

Critical Limitations and Pitfalls

Not for Routine Treatment Monitoring

  • There are insufficient data to recommend routine use of ctDNA to monitor response to therapy among patients with mCRPC. 1
  • Neither measurement of dynamic changes in ctDNA as a marker of treatment responsiveness nor identification of specific mutations to direct therapy has been prospectively shown to improve patient outcomes over standard imaging-based detection of tumor progression. 1

False Negatives from Low Tumor Content

  • Low ctDNA fraction is a major limitation, particularly after androgen deprivation therapy (ADT), which rapidly reduces ctDNA availability (median 11% before treatment vs. 1.0% after short-term ADT). 4
  • In settings of minimal disease burden with low ctDNA fraction, metastatic biopsy is preferred over ctDNA. 1
  • Approximately 41% of mCRPC patients may be ctDNA-negative, limiting the utility of liquid biopsy in these cases. 3

Technical Considerations

  • Assays must correct for clonal hematopoiesis of indeterminate potential (CHIP) and germline variants to avoid false positives. 5
  • Optimal assay design requires adequate plasma volume and appropriate sequencing depth. 5

Complementary Role with Tissue Testing

  • Combined ctDNA and tissue analysis identifies potential driver alterations in 94% of patients, whereas ctDNA or prostate biopsy alone is insufficient in 36% of cases. 4
  • The optimal approach for biomarker development should utilize both tissue and liquid biopsy at diagnosis, as neither captures clinically relevant somatic alterations in all patients. 4
  • Concordance for mutation detection between matched ctDNA and tissue samples is approximately 80%. 4

Practical Algorithm for ctDNA Use in mCRPC

  1. At mCRPC diagnosis: Obtain metastatic lesion biopsy for somatic testing if accessible; if not accessible, use ctDNA. 1

  2. If initial tissue testing was negative or uninformative: Consider ctDNA testing, recognizing that combined approaches detect alterations in more patients. 1, 4

  3. At disease progression or treatment change: Consider sequential ctDNA testing, particularly when metastatic biopsy is not feasible. 1

  4. If ctDNA fraction is low (<5-10%): Consider metastatic biopsy instead, as low ctDNA may yield false-negative results. 1, 2

  5. Do NOT use ctDNA for routine treatment response monitoring: Continue standard PSA monitoring every 3-6 months and conventional imaging every 6-12 months. 1

Professional Medical Disclaimer

This information is intended for healthcare professionals. Any medical decision-making should rely on clinical judgment and independently verified information. The content provided herein does not replace professional discretion and should be considered supplementary to established clinical guidelines. Healthcare providers should verify all information against primary literature and current practice standards before application in patient care. Dr.Oracle assumes no liability for clinical decisions based on this content.

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