COVID-19 Vaccine Safety: Recent Surveillance Findings
The most recent 2024-2025 COVID-19 vaccines (targeting JN.1 and KP.2 strains) have identified two new statistical safety signals during surveillance: Guillain-Barré syndrome in adults ≥65 years and ischemic stroke in adults ≥50 years, though evidence remains inconclusive whether these represent actual risks, and any theoretical risk must be weighed against substantial benefits in preventing COVID-19 complications including stroke itself. 1
New Safety Signals Identified in 2023-2024 Season
The CDC's Vaccine Safety Datalink (VSD) surveillance identified two prespecified safety signals for mRNA COVID-19 vaccines that had not been previously observed: 1
Guillain-Barré syndrome (GBS) emerged as a signal among persons aged ≥65 years during the 2023-2024 vaccine season 1
Ischemic stroke was detected among adults aged ≥50 years 1
Context: Known Safety Profile
Established Adverse Events
The pre-specified adverse events that continue to be monitored include: 1
Myocarditis and pericarditis remain the most well-established serious adverse events, particularly after mRNA vaccines 1
Anaphylaxis occurs at extremely low rates (0.0003% or 2.5-4.7 cases per million doses) 2, 4
Overall Safety Assessment
- The certainty of evidence for prespecified adverse events remains low for adults and adolescents, and very low for infants and children 1
- Most adverse events are mild to moderate (grade 1-2), with the most common being injection site pain, fatigue, myalgia, headache, and fever 2, 3
- Serious adverse event rates remain extremely low across all vaccine platforms 4
Critical Risk-Benefit Analysis
The benefits of COVID-19 vaccination substantially outweigh any identified or theoretical risks: 1
- For every 1 million males aged 12-29 years receiving a second mRNA dose, while 39-47 myocarditis cases would be expected, vaccination would prevent 560 hospitalizations, 138 ICU admissions, and 6 deaths 2, 3
- Any real or theoretical risk of vaccine adverse events, including the new stroke signal, must be placed in context that COVID-19 itself causes stroke and other serious complications 1
Clinical Implications for Practice
Surveillance and Reporting Requirements
Vaccination providers are required to report to VAERS: 1
- Vaccine administration errors
- Serious adverse events
- Cases of multisystem inflammatory syndrome
- Cases of myocarditis or pericarditis
- COVID-19 cases resulting in hospitalization or death after vaccination
Evaluation of Concerning Symptoms
For chest pain occurring early after mRNA vaccination: 2, 3
- Obtain ECG, cardiac troponin, and echocardiogram
- If myocarditis is suspected, obtain cardiology consultation and consider cardiac MRI
For neurological symptoms post-vaccination:
- Maintain heightened awareness for GBS symptoms in adults ≥65 years 1
- Evaluate stroke symptoms promptly in adults ≥50 years, recognizing that COVID-19 infection itself carries stroke risk 1
Current Recommendations Remain Unchanged
Despite these surveillance signals, ACIP continues to recommend 2024-2025 COVID-19 vaccination for all persons aged ≥6 months to target currently circulating strains and provide protection against severe illness and death. 1, 5