What is the risk of developing an ectopic pregnancy in a subsequent pregnancy for a woman with a history of ectopic pregnancy?

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Last updated: December 25, 2025View editorial policy

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Risk of Recurrent Ectopic Pregnancy

A woman with a previous ectopic pregnancy has a 10-20% risk of developing another ectopic pregnancy in her next pregnancy, with most studies reporting recurrence rates between 13-29%. 1

Understanding the Recurrence Risk

The elevated risk stems from two primary mechanisms 2:

  • Persistent tubal damage from the original ectopic pregnancy itself
  • Effects of surgical management that may have further compromised tubal function
  • Continuation of underlying risk factors that caused the initial ectopic pregnancy

Context: Why This Risk Matters

Previous ectopic pregnancy ranks among the highest risk factors for recurrence, alongside tubal surgery and pelvic inflammatory disease 2. This is clinically significant because:

  • Ectopic pregnancy accounts for 9% of pregnancy-related maternal deaths in the United States 2
  • It remains the most common cause of maternal death and serious morbidity in the first trimester 2
  • The risk is cumulative—each episode of pelvic inflammatory disease doubles the risk due to progressive tubal occlusion 1

Clinical Implications for Management

Women with prior ectopic pregnancy require heightened surveillance in all subsequent pregnancies because the cumulative risk factors persist 1. Specifically:

  • Early ultrasound confirmation of intrauterine pregnancy location is essential 3
  • Serial beta-hCG monitoring may be warranted if initial ultrasound is indeterminate 3, 4
  • Consider the diagnosis of ectopic pregnancy in any patient presenting with vaginal bleeding or lower abdominal pain before intrauterine pregnancy is confirmed 3

Important Caveat About Combined Hormonal Contraceptives

Paradoxically, combined hormonal contraceptives (pills, patch, ring) are classified as Category 1 (no restriction) for women with past ectopic pregnancy 5. This is because these methods protect against pregnancy in general, including ectopic gestation, by preventing ovulation 5.

Additional Risk Factors to Consider

The risk may be higher if the patient has 2, 6:

  • History of tubal surgery (including sterilization procedures)—the highest risk category
  • Recurrent pelvic inflammatory disease—risk doubles with each episode
  • Current or planned use of assisted reproductive technology—increases risk to approximately 1 in 1,000-3,900 pregnancies 2
  • Smoking 3, 4

References

Guideline

Risk of Recurrent Ectopic Pregnancy

Praxis Medical Insights: Practical Summaries of Clinical Guidelines, 2025

Guideline

Ectopic Pregnancy Risk Factors

Praxis Medical Insights: Practical Summaries of Clinical Guidelines, 2025

Research

Ectopic Pregnancy: Diagnosis and Management.

American family physician, 2020

Research

Suspected ectopic pregnancy.

Obstetrics and gynecology, 2006

Guideline

Guideline Directed Topic Overview

Dr.Oracle Medical Advisory Board & Editors, 2025

Research

The ectopic pregnancy, a diagnostic and therapeutic challenge.

Journal of medicine and life, 2008

Professional Medical Disclaimer

This information is intended for healthcare professionals. Any medical decision-making should rely on clinical judgment and independently verified information. The content provided herein does not replace professional discretion and should be considered supplementary to established clinical guidelines. Healthcare providers should verify all information against primary literature and current practice standards before application in patient care. Dr.Oracle assumes no liability for clinical decisions based on this content.

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