PES Score for Predicting Pseudomonas Infection in CAP
Direct Answer
The PES score (Pseudomonas aeruginosa, Extended-spectrum β-lactamase Enterobacteriaceae, and methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus) demonstrates good accuracy for predicting drug-resistant pathogens in CAP, with an area under the curve of 0.81 in validation studies, but should be used primarily as a rule-out tool given its high negative predictive value (96-98%) rather than as the sole determinant for empirical antipseudomonal therapy. 1
PES Score Performance Characteristics
Validation Study Results
- In the Valencia cohort of 1,024 CAP patients, the PES score achieved an AUC of 0.81 (95% CI: 0.74-0.88) for predicting PES microorganisms 1
- At a cutoff of ≥5 points, the score demonstrated 72% sensitivity, 74% specificity, and a 98% negative predictive value 1
- In the ICU cohort from Mataró, the optimal cutoff was lower at ≥4 points, which improved sensitivity to 86% for critically ill patients 1
- Only 5-6% of CAP cases were actually caused by PES pathogens in these validation cohorts 1
Clinical Limitations
- The PES score leads to substantial overtreatment rates of 26-35% when used as the sole decision-making tool 1
- Current guideline-recommended risk factors only detect approximately one-third of patients who actually have P. aeruginosa CAP 2
- In a large study of 62,689 pneumonia patients, 67.8% of those with confirmed P. aeruginosa CAP had no documented traditional risk factors 2
Recommended Antibiotic Strategy Based on Risk Assessment
For ICU Patients with Risk Factors for Pseudomonas
Use an antipseudomonal β-lactam (piperacillin-tazobactam, cefepime, imipenem, or meropenem) PLUS either ciprofloxacin or levofloxacin 750 mg 3
Alternative three-drug regimen:
- Antipseudomonal β-lactam PLUS aminoglycoside PLUS either azithromycin or a respiratory fluoroquinolone 3
For Non-ICU Hospitalized Patients
- Standard therapy: β-lactam plus macrolide OR respiratory fluoroquinolone 3, 4
- Add antipseudomonal coverage only if PES score ≥5 or specific risk factors present 1
Risk Factors Warranting Antipseudomonal Coverage
Structural Lung Disease and Prior Antibiotic Exposure
- Bronchiectasis or severe COPD with frequent exacerbations requiring steroids and/or antibiotics 3
- Prior antibiotic therapy within 3 months 3
- Chronic alcoholism (risk for Klebsiella and other gram-negatives) 3
Clinical Presentation Indicators
- Gram-negative rods on sputum Gram stain or tracheal aspirate 3
- End-stage renal disease 3
- Mechanical ventilation requirement 3
- Hemodynamic instability requiring vasopressors 3
Critical Clinical Pearls
Mortality Impact of Appropriate Coverage
- Empirical antipseudomonal therapy within 48 hours reduces 30-day mortality by 58% (HR 0.42,95% CI: 0.23-0.76) in patients with confirmed P. aeruginosa CAP 2
- This mortality benefit persists even in patients without traditional risk factors (HR 0.40,95% CI: 0.21-0.76) 2
- Modifying initially inadequate therapy after culture results does not improve outcomes 5
Monotherapy vs. Combination Therapy Controversy
- Despite guideline recommendations for combination therapy, recent evidence suggests antipseudomonal monotherapy may be associated with lower mortality than combination therapy in older adults (aOR 1.54 for combination therapy, 95% CI: 1.43-1.66) 6
- However, combination therapy remains recommended for severe CAP to prevent inappropriate initial therapy and resistance emergence 3, 5
Practical Algorithm for PES Score Application
Step 1: Calculate PES Score
- If PES score <5 in non-ICU patients: Use standard CAP therapy without antipseudomonal coverage 1
- If PES score ≥5 or ≥4 in ICU patients: Proceed to Step 2 1
Step 2: Assess Additional Clinical Factors
- Review sputum Gram stain if available 3
- Evaluate for structural lung disease, recent antibiotics, or severe COPD 3
- Consider local antibiogram and resistance patterns 5
Step 3: Initiate Empirical Therapy
- For confirmed risk factors or PES score meeting threshold: Start antipseudomonal β-lactam plus fluoroquinolone or aminoglycoside within 48 hours 3, 2
- For penicillin allergy: Substitute aztreonam for β-lactam 3
Step 4: De-escalation Strategy
- Narrow therapy once culture results available (typically 48-72 hours) 3
- Continue aminoglycoside only if P. aeruginosa confirmed 3, 7
- Total duration: 7-14 days for nosocomial pneumonia, 7-10 days for CAP 7
Common Pitfalls to Avoid
- Do not rely solely on traditional risk factors to exclude Pseudomonas—they miss two-thirds of cases 2
- Avoid using PES score as the only criterion for antipseudomonal therapy, as this leads to excessive overtreatment 1
- Do not delay appropriate antipseudomonal coverage in critically ill patients while awaiting culture results 2
- Remember that the negative predictive value (96-98%) is the PES score's strongest feature—use it to confidently exclude antipseudomonal coverage when score is low 1