Risk Assessment Scores for Perioperative Anesthesia Complications
The Revised Cardiac Risk Index (RCRI) combined with the American Society of Anesthesiologists Physical Status (ASA-PS) classification should be used as the primary risk stratification tools for assessing intraoperative and postoperative anesthesia complications in adult patients with comorbidities. 1, 2
Primary Risk Stratification Tools
Revised Cardiac Risk Index (RCRI)
- The RCRI is the most extensively validated and ACC/AHA-endorsed tool for cardiac risk assessment, comprising six independent predictors: ischemic heart disease, heart failure, cerebrovascular disease, insulin-dependent diabetes, preoperative creatinine >2 mg/dL (>170 mmol/L), and high-risk surgery 3, 1, 2
- Risk stratification by RCRI score: 0-1 points = Low risk (<1% major adverse cardiac events [MACE]), 2 points = Moderate risk, ≥3 points = High risk 1, 4, 2
- Important caveat: RCRI performs poorly in vascular surgery populations; consider alternative tools like the NSQIP calculator for these patients 1, 2
American Society of Anesthesiologists Physical Status (ASA-PS) Classification
- ASA-PS is an independent predictor of both medical complications and mortality across all surgical procedures 1, 5
- Classification: Class I (completely healthy), Class II (mild systemic disease), Class III (severe systemic disease not incapacitating), Class IV (incapacitating disease threatening life), Class V (moribund patient not expected to survive 24 hours) 3
- Odds ratios for complications range from 2.05 to 63.25 and for mortality from 5.77 to 2011.92 as ASA class increases from 2 to 5 5
- ASA-PS combined with surgeon risk estimates achieves discrimination (AUC 0.84) equivalent to complex clinical data-based models 6
Advanced Risk Calculators
NSQIP Surgical Risk Calculator
- The American College of Surgeons NSQIP calculator may offer superior discrimination compared to RCRI, particularly for procedure-specific risk assessment 1, 4, 2
- Uses 21 patient-specific variables and the specific CPT code to calculate percentage risk of MACE, death, and 8 other outcomes 1
- Shows a median delta c-statistic of 0.11 higher than RCRI for predicting myocardial infarction and cardiac arrest 1
- Available as an interactive online tool at surgicalriskcalculator.com 3
NSQIP MICA (Myocardial Infarction or Cardiac Arrest) Model
- Built on data from >200,000 patients across 180 hospitals, validated on separate dataset 3
- Five predictors: type of surgery, functional status, elevated creatinine (>1.5 mg/dL), ASA class, and age 3
- Performed better than Lee index (RCRI) overall, though with some reduction in performance for vascular patients 3
AUB-HAS2 Cardiovascular Risk Index
- Easily calculated tool stratifying patients into low (score 0-1), intermediate (score 2-3), and high risk (score >3) based on 6 clinical elements 4, 2
Complementary Assessment Tools
Functional Capacity Assessment
- Duke Activity Status Index (DASI) should be combined with risk scores for enhanced stratification 1, 4, 2
- Poor functional capacity (inability to achieve 4 METs) indicates increased risk of perioperative adverse cardiovascular events 4, 2
- Functional capacity is a reliable predictor of both perioperative and long-term cardiac events 2
Biomarker-Enhanced Risk Stratification
- For patients with RCRI ≥2, measuring preoperative NT-proBNP and/or troponin enhances risk prediction, with combination providing median delta c-statistic improvement of 0.12 over RCRI alone 1
- B-type natriuretic peptide (BNP) levels provide additional risk stratification beyond standard risk scores 4, 2
Pulmonary Risk Assessment
Procedure-Related Risk Factors
- High-risk procedures for pulmonary complications include: aortic aneurysm repair, thoracic surgery, upper abdominal surgery, neurosurgery, head and neck surgery, and vascular surgery 3
- Prolonged surgery duration (3-4 hours) is an independent predictor with pooled odds ratio of 2.14 3
- General anesthesia carries odds ratio of 1.83 for pulmonary complications compared to regional techniques 3
- Emergency surgery has odds ratio of 2.21 for pulmonary complications 3
Patient-Related Pulmonary Risk Factors
- Impaired sensorium, abnormal chest examination findings, alcohol use, and weight loss modestly increase pulmonary complication risk 3
- Asthma is NOT a risk factor for postoperative pulmonary complications based on good evidence 3
- Obesity shows no significant difference in pulmonary complication rates (6.3% obese vs 7.0% nonobese) 3
Age-Specific Risk Considerations
- Age is a powerful independent predictor: patients 66-85 years have OR 2.67 for delirium, patients >85 years have OR 6.24 for delirium compared to those ≤65 years 1
- Male sex independently increases risk (OR 1.28) compared to female sex 1
- BMI <18.5 substantially increases delirium risk (OR 2.25) 1
Practical Application Algorithm
For Low-Risk Patients (RCRI 0-1, ASA I-II)
- Proceed with standard intraoperative monitoring 4, 2
- Obtain 12-lead ECG only if recent chest pain or ischemic equivalent present 1
For Moderate-Risk Patients (RCRI 2, ASA III)
- Obtain preoperative 12-lead ECG 1
- Consider functional capacity assessment with DASI 1, 4
- Consider biomarker assessment (NT-proBNP/troponin) 1
For High-Risk Patients (RCRI ≥3, ASA IV-V)
- Implement comprehensive cardiac monitoring 4, 2
- Obtain preoperative ECG and assess left ventricular function if heart failure history or dyspnea of unknown origin 1
- Measure NT-proBNP and troponin for enhanced risk stratification 1
- Consider surveillance for myocardial injury after noncardiac surgery (MINS) 4
- For ASA-PS V patients specifically, add SAPS II score (highest sensitivity 77.3%, AUC 0.784) or APACHE II score (AUC 0.681) for additional mortality prediction 7
Critical Pitfalls to Avoid
- Do not rely on RCRI alone for vascular surgery patients—use NSQIP calculator or Gupta score instead 1, 2
- Emergency surgery increases cardiac risk regardless of RCRI score; focus on immediate perioperative optimization rather than extensive testing 1
- Do not order routine spirometry for risk assessment—it does not translate into effective risk prediction for individual patients and is not superior to history and physical examination 3
- No single risk score has been definitively proven superior for all populations; combining multiple tools (RCRI + ASA-PS + functional capacity) provides more comprehensive stratification than any single tool 4, 2