What is the treatment mortality rate of hematopoietic stem cell transplantations (HSCT) in patients with varying demographics and disease statuses?

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Treatment Mortality Rates in Hematopoietic Stem Cell Transplantation

Treatment-related mortality (TRM) in HSCT varies substantially by transplant type, conditioning intensity, and timing of assessment, with contemporary data showing day-100 TRM rates of 1.9% for autologous HSCT and 6.1% for allogeneic HSCT, though rates increase significantly over longer follow-up periods. 1

Defining Treatment-Related Mortality

TRM encompasses death from any cause other than disease relapse or progression, including deaths from organ toxicity, conditioning regimen complications, infections, and graft-versus-host disease (GVHD). 1 This metric is critical for evaluating the safety profile of the transplant procedure itself, separate from disease control. 1

Contemporary Mortality Rates by Time Point

Early Mortality (Day 100)

  • Autologous HSCT: 1.9% TRM 1
  • Allogeneic HSCT: 6.1% TRM 1
  • Reduced-toxicity conditioning in pediatrics: 3% TRM by day 100 2

Intermediate and Long-Term Mortality

  • 1-year TRM: Ranges from 13.6% in reduced-toxicity pediatric cohorts 2 to 21-36% depending on conditioning intensity and donor source 3
  • 5-year outcomes: Mortality from infections, GVHD, and toxicity actually increases at 5 years compared to earlier timepoints 4

Critical Risk Factors Affecting TRM

Conditioning Intensity

Myeloablative conditioning carries substantially higher TRM than reduced-intensity conditioning (RIC). 1 Historical myeloablative regimens were associated with TRM rates of 40-45%, while contemporary RIC has achieved TRM rates under 3% in selected populations. 1 Patients over 60 years should receive RIC regimens rather than myeloablative conditioning due to 50% transplant-related mortality with myeloablative approaches in this age group. 3

Age-Related Mortality

Patients >13-16 years have significantly higher TRM rates compared to younger patients. 1, 5 However, age alone should not be an exclusionary factor, as comorbidities and disease status are equally critical determinants. 6, 3

Disease-Specific Mortality Patterns

Myelodysplastic Syndromes (MDS):

  • Lower-risk patients (WPSS score) achieve 5-year overall survival of 80% following allogeneic HSCT 6
  • Survival declines progressively with increasing WPSS scores: 65% (intermediate), 40% (high risk), and 15% (very high risk) 6
  • Non-relapse mortality in older adults (60-70 years) with RIC shows no increase compared to younger patients 6

Philadelphia Chromosome-Positive Acute Lymphoblastic Leukemia (Ph+ ALL):

  • TRM rates of 17% with allogeneic HSCT and 0% with autologous HSCT at 5 years 6
  • Treatment-related mortality of 27-32% reported in various phase II studies combining imatinib with HSCT 6
  • Matched sibling allogeneic HSCT: 27% TRM; matched unrelated donor HSCT: 39% TRM 6

Temporal Trends in Mortality

Mortality from all causes has decreased significantly over time. After autologous HSCT, mortality decreased across all post-transplant phases when comparing 1980-2001 to 2002-2015 cohorts. 4 After allogeneic HSCT, mortality from infections, GVHD, and toxicity decreased up to 1 year, though deaths from relapse increased in all post-transplant phases. 4

Major Causes of Treatment-Related Death

The leading causes of excess deaths in rank order are: 7

  • Second malignancies and recurrent disease
  • Infections (particularly of unknown origin) 4
  • Chronic GVHD 4
  • Respiratory diseases 7
  • Cardiovascular diseases 7

Infections of unknown origin remain the main cause of infectious deaths. 4 While lethal bacterial and fungal infections decreased from earlier to more recent cohorts, unknown or mixed infections did not show similar improvement. 4

Special Population Considerations

Older Adults (≥60 Years)

A prospective trial of 372 patients aged 60-75 years with nonmyeloablative conditioning showed no association between age and non-relapse mortality, overall survival, or progression-free survival. 6 Comorbidities and disease status, rather than age alone, should determine eligibility. 6

Pediatric Patients

Reduced-toxicity conditioning in 100 consecutive pediatric recipients demonstrated 3% TRM by day 100 and 13.6% for the entire study period. 2 However, primary graft failure occurred in 16% overall, with significantly higher rates (31.4%) after umbilical cord blood transplantation. 2

Inborn Errors of Immunity (Adolescents/Adults)

In 329 patients aged 15-62.5 years, overall survival at 5 years was 71% with TRM contributing to the mortality burden. 8 Neither age nor donor type significantly affected outcomes, but the number of IEI-associated complications did. 8

Long-Term Survival Context

Patients surviving 5 years without disease recurrence have an 80.4% estimated survival at 20 years post-transplant. 7 However, mortality rates remain 4- to 9-fold higher than the general population for at least 30 years after transplantation, yielding an estimated 30% lower life expectancy. 7

Common Pitfalls to Avoid

  • Do not use myeloablative conditioning in patients over 60 years, as RIC provides equivalent efficacy with substantially lower toxicity 3
  • Do not exclude patients based solely on age, as multivariate analyses demonstrate that comorbidity burden and disease status are more predictive than chronological age 6, 3
  • Do not underestimate late mortality risk, as TRM from infections and GVHD actually increases at 5 years compared to earlier timepoints 4
  • Recognize that chemotherapy-naive umbilical cord blood transplant recipients have significantly higher graft failure rates (46.7% vs 9.5%), which impacts overall mortality 2

References

Guideline

Transplant-Related Mortality in Hematopoietic Stem Cell Transplantation

Praxis Medical Insights: Practical Summaries of Clinical Guidelines, 2025

Guideline

Survival Rates and Considerations for Bone Marrow Transplant in Older Adults

Praxis Medical Insights: Practical Summaries of Clinical Guidelines, 2026

Guideline

Engraftment Probability in Hematopoietic Stem Cell Transplantation

Praxis Medical Insights: Practical Summaries of Clinical Guidelines, 2026

Guideline

Guideline Directed Topic Overview

Dr.Oracle Medical Advisory Board & Editors, 2025

Research

Life expectancy in patients surviving more than 5 years after hematopoietic cell transplantation.

Journal of clinical oncology : official journal of the American Society of Clinical Oncology, 2010

Professional Medical Disclaimer

This information is intended for healthcare professionals. Any medical decision-making should rely on clinical judgment and independently verified information. The content provided herein does not replace professional discretion and should be considered supplementary to established clinical guidelines. Healthcare providers should verify all information against primary literature and current practice standards before application in patient care. Dr.Oracle assumes no liability for clinical decisions based on this content.

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