Will a Vaccinated Child Develop Measles Symptoms After Exposure?
A healthy child who has received the MMR vaccine will almost certainly NOT develop measles symptoms if exposed to wild-type measles virus, as the vaccine is 95-96% effective after proper dosing. 1, 2
Vaccine Protection Against Wild-Type Measles
The MMR vaccine provides robust protection against developing measles disease after exposure to the actual virus:
- One dose effectiveness: 95% (RR 0.05,95% CI 0.02 to 0.13), meaning only 5% of vaccinated children would develop measles if exposed 2
- Two dose effectiveness: 96% (RR 0.04,95% CI 0.01 to 0.28), providing even stronger protection 2
- Post-exposure prophylaxis effectiveness: 74% when MMR is given after known exposure but before symptom onset 2
The vaccine prevents not only disease in the vaccinated child but also transmission to household contacts, with 81% effectiveness after one dose and 85% after two doses 2.
Distinguishing Vaccine Reactions from Wild-Type Infection
It is critical to understand that vaccine-related symptoms are NOT the same as getting measles from exposure to wild virus:
Vaccine-Related Symptoms (From the Vaccine Itself, Not Exposure)
- Approximately 5% of vaccinated children develop a transient measles-like rash 7-10 days after vaccination 1
- These symptoms occur 5-14 days post-vaccination and include mild fever, conjunctivitis, and rash 3
- This represents limited replication of the attenuated vaccine virus, not wild-type measles infection 3
- These are self-limited reactions to the vaccine components themselves 4
Protection Against Wild-Type Measles After Vaccination
- If a vaccinated child is later exposed to wild-type measles virus in the community, the vaccine-induced immunity prevents infection in 95-96% of cases 2
- The 4-5% who might develop breakthrough measles despite vaccination typically have milder disease 1
Clinical Algorithm for Interpretation
When evaluating a rash in a recently vaccinated child:
Timing is key:
Context matters:
Severity assessment:
Important Caveats
Suboptimal protection may occur in specific populations:
- Adults who received inadequate childhood vaccination or were vaccinated before 12 months of age may have suboptimal protection 1
- Those who received killed measles vaccine (no longer used) require revaccination with two doses of live MMR vaccine 1
- Antibody levels wane over time, with 93.7% maintaining protective measles antibodies at 10 years after the second dose 6
The benefits of vaccination far outweigh the minimal risk of vaccine failure, as natural measles infection carries substantially higher risks of serious complications including encephalopathy (1 per 1,000 cases) compared to the vaccine (1 per 2 million doses). 1, 5