What is the prognosis for a patient with pulmonary stenosis?

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Last updated: January 17, 2026View editorial policy

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Prognosis of Pulmonary Stenosis

The prognosis of pulmonary stenosis is excellent, particularly for mild disease which rarely progresses and for moderate-to-severe disease after successful intervention, with patients achieving normal life expectancy and low rates of cardiovascular complications when appropriately managed. 1

Prognosis by Disease Severity

Mild Pulmonary Stenosis (Peak Gradient <36 mmHg)

  • Mild pulmonary stenosis has a benign natural history with minimal progression over decades. 1
  • 96% of patients with initial transpulmonary gradient <25 mmHg remained free of cardiac operation over a 25-year follow-up period. 1
  • Patients with gradients below 40 mmHg at diagnosis remain stable and require no treatment, with follow-up intervals extending to 2 years or more. 2
  • Intervention is not usually necessary for mild disease, and patients maintain reassuring long-term outcomes. 1

Moderate Pulmonary Stenosis (Peak Gradient 36-64 mmHg)

  • Patients with moderate stenosis have variable but generally good long-term outcomes, whether managed conservatively or with intervention. 1
  • Some patients progress to require intervention in adulthood due to worsening stenosis or development of significant pulmonary regurgitation after earlier procedures. 1
  • Most patients followed medically or surgically had mild obstruction by Doppler echocardiography at long-term follow-up. 1

Severe Pulmonary Stenosis (Peak Gradient ≥64 mmHg)

  • Severe pulmonary stenosis treated with balloon valvuloplasty or surgery has excellent prognosis with very low recurrence rates over 22-30 years. 1
  • Patients usually require intervention in childhood but have good prognosis into adulthood after successful treatment. 1
  • Long-term follow-up (20-30 years) after surgical repair demonstrates excellent outcomes with low mortality. 1

Post-Intervention Outcomes

After Balloon Valvuloplasty

  • Early and midterm results (up to 10 years) suggest long-term outcomes similar to surgical valvotomy, with little or no recurrence. 1
  • Balloon valvuloplasty is safe and effective in reducing pulmonary valve gradient and improving symptoms in most patients. 1
  • Some pulmonary regurgitation almost invariably occurs after valvuloplasty but is rarely clinically important. 1

After Surgical Repair

  • At 27 years median follow-up after surgical repair, 84.8% of patients remained in NYHA functional class I. 3
  • Long-term mortality after surgical treatment is low, with 95% survival in one surgical series over extended follow-up. 4
  • Freedom from cardiac operation was excellent in the Natural History Study cohort over 25 years. 1

Complications and Reintervention Rates

Need for Reintervention

  • 38.6% of patients required reintervention during long-term follow-up, primarily pulmonary valve replacement (17.7%) for pulmonary regurgitation. 3
  • Freedom from reintervention decreases significantly after 20 years from initial repair. 4
  • Pulmonary valve replacement due to pulmonary regurgitation is the most common reintervention (67% of cases). 4

Cardiovascular Complications

  • 12% of patients experienced at least one cardiovascular complication during long-term follow-up. 3
  • Supraventricular arrhythmias occurred in 8.2% of patients, heart failure in 3.8%, and stroke in 3.2%. 3
  • Infective endocarditis is uncommon, with an incidence of only 0.94 per 10,000 patient-years. 1

Residual Hemodynamic Abnormalities

  • 45% of surgically treated patients develop moderate-to-severe pulmonary regurgitation, 38% have right ventricular dilatation, and 40% have tricuspid regurgitation. 4
  • Among patients with pulmonary regurgitation after surgical valvotomy, 87% had evidence by Doppler echocardiography, though RV systolic dysfunction was uncommon (9%). 1
  • Secondary infundibular obstruction may occur after successful valve dilation but frequently regresses over time without treatment. 1

Risk Factors for Poor Outcomes

Predictors of Cardiovascular Complications

  • Older age at time of pulmonary stenosis repair (HR 1.08 per year) and presence of cyanosis before repair (HR 5.23) are independent predictors of cardiovascular complications. 3
  • These patients merit stricter long-term surveillance and follow-up. 3

Special Considerations

  • Sudden death is very unusual in pulmonary stenosis, even with severe obstruction, particularly in asymptomatic patients with good exercise tolerance. 1
  • Prognosis deteriorates if severe obstruction remains untreated long-term, potentially leading to tricuspid regurgitation and right ventricular failure. 1
  • Patients with patent foramen ovale and severe stenosis face increased risk of paradoxical emboli due to right-to-left shunting. 1, 5

Long-Term Surveillance Requirements

Lifelong follow-up is essential even after successful intervention, as patients are not "cured" despite excellent functional outcomes. 4

  • Serial echocardiography every 5-10 years is recommended for monitoring progressive valve stenosis or regurgitation, RV hypertrophy, heart failure, and arrhythmias. 1
  • Patients require ongoing cardiac follow-up to detect late complications including progressive pulmonary regurgitation, RV dysfunction, and arrhythmias. 1

References

Guideline

Guideline Directed Topic Overview

Dr.Oracle Medical Advisory Board & Editors, 2025

Research

Determinants of long-term outcome of repaired pulmonary valve stenosis.

Revista espanola de cardiologia (English ed.), 2020

Guideline

Pulmonary Valve Stenosis and Paradoxical Embolism Risk

Praxis Medical Insights: Practical Summaries of Clinical Guidelines, 2025

Professional Medical Disclaimer

This information is intended for healthcare professionals. Any medical decision-making should rely on clinical judgment and independently verified information. The content provided herein does not replace professional discretion and should be considered supplementary to established clinical guidelines. Healthcare providers should verify all information against primary literature and current practice standards before application in patient care. Dr.Oracle assumes no liability for clinical decisions based on this content.

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