Prognosis of Pulmonary Stenosis
The prognosis of pulmonary stenosis is excellent, particularly for mild disease which rarely progresses and for moderate-to-severe disease after successful intervention, with patients achieving normal life expectancy and low rates of cardiovascular complications when appropriately managed. 1
Prognosis by Disease Severity
Mild Pulmonary Stenosis (Peak Gradient <36 mmHg)
- Mild pulmonary stenosis has a benign natural history with minimal progression over decades. 1
- 96% of patients with initial transpulmonary gradient <25 mmHg remained free of cardiac operation over a 25-year follow-up period. 1
- Patients with gradients below 40 mmHg at diagnosis remain stable and require no treatment, with follow-up intervals extending to 2 years or more. 2
- Intervention is not usually necessary for mild disease, and patients maintain reassuring long-term outcomes. 1
Moderate Pulmonary Stenosis (Peak Gradient 36-64 mmHg)
- Patients with moderate stenosis have variable but generally good long-term outcomes, whether managed conservatively or with intervention. 1
- Some patients progress to require intervention in adulthood due to worsening stenosis or development of significant pulmonary regurgitation after earlier procedures. 1
- Most patients followed medically or surgically had mild obstruction by Doppler echocardiography at long-term follow-up. 1
Severe Pulmonary Stenosis (Peak Gradient ≥64 mmHg)
- Severe pulmonary stenosis treated with balloon valvuloplasty or surgery has excellent prognosis with very low recurrence rates over 22-30 years. 1
- Patients usually require intervention in childhood but have good prognosis into adulthood after successful treatment. 1
- Long-term follow-up (20-30 years) after surgical repair demonstrates excellent outcomes with low mortality. 1
Post-Intervention Outcomes
After Balloon Valvuloplasty
- Early and midterm results (up to 10 years) suggest long-term outcomes similar to surgical valvotomy, with little or no recurrence. 1
- Balloon valvuloplasty is safe and effective in reducing pulmonary valve gradient and improving symptoms in most patients. 1
- Some pulmonary regurgitation almost invariably occurs after valvuloplasty but is rarely clinically important. 1
After Surgical Repair
- At 27 years median follow-up after surgical repair, 84.8% of patients remained in NYHA functional class I. 3
- Long-term mortality after surgical treatment is low, with 95% survival in one surgical series over extended follow-up. 4
- Freedom from cardiac operation was excellent in the Natural History Study cohort over 25 years. 1
Complications and Reintervention Rates
Need for Reintervention
- 38.6% of patients required reintervention during long-term follow-up, primarily pulmonary valve replacement (17.7%) for pulmonary regurgitation. 3
- Freedom from reintervention decreases significantly after 20 years from initial repair. 4
- Pulmonary valve replacement due to pulmonary regurgitation is the most common reintervention (67% of cases). 4
Cardiovascular Complications
- 12% of patients experienced at least one cardiovascular complication during long-term follow-up. 3
- Supraventricular arrhythmias occurred in 8.2% of patients, heart failure in 3.8%, and stroke in 3.2%. 3
- Infective endocarditis is uncommon, with an incidence of only 0.94 per 10,000 patient-years. 1
Residual Hemodynamic Abnormalities
- 45% of surgically treated patients develop moderate-to-severe pulmonary regurgitation, 38% have right ventricular dilatation, and 40% have tricuspid regurgitation. 4
- Among patients with pulmonary regurgitation after surgical valvotomy, 87% had evidence by Doppler echocardiography, though RV systolic dysfunction was uncommon (9%). 1
- Secondary infundibular obstruction may occur after successful valve dilation but frequently regresses over time without treatment. 1
Risk Factors for Poor Outcomes
Predictors of Cardiovascular Complications
- Older age at time of pulmonary stenosis repair (HR 1.08 per year) and presence of cyanosis before repair (HR 5.23) are independent predictors of cardiovascular complications. 3
- These patients merit stricter long-term surveillance and follow-up. 3
Special Considerations
- Sudden death is very unusual in pulmonary stenosis, even with severe obstruction, particularly in asymptomatic patients with good exercise tolerance. 1
- Prognosis deteriorates if severe obstruction remains untreated long-term, potentially leading to tricuspid regurgitation and right ventricular failure. 1
- Patients with patent foramen ovale and severe stenosis face increased risk of paradoxical emboli due to right-to-left shunting. 1, 5
Long-Term Surveillance Requirements
Lifelong follow-up is essential even after successful intervention, as patients are not "cured" despite excellent functional outcomes. 4
- Serial echocardiography every 5-10 years is recommended for monitoring progressive valve stenosis or regurgitation, RV hypertrophy, heart failure, and arrhythmias. 1
- Patients require ongoing cardiac follow-up to detect late complications including progressive pulmonary regurgitation, RV dysfunction, and arrhythmias. 1