What are the causes of polycythemia in a patient with no JAK2 (Janus kinase 2) mutation?

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Causes of Polycythemia Other Than JAK2

In patients without JAK2 mutations, polycythemia is caused by secondary (hypoxia-driven or hypoxia-independent) or hereditary conditions, with the most common being chronic hypoxia from smoking, lung disease, or sleep apnea. 1, 2

Primary Diagnostic Framework

When JAK2 mutation testing is negative, immediately measure serum erythropoietin (EPO) levels to guide your differential diagnosis 2, 3:

Low or Normal EPO (Suggests Primary Myeloproliferative Disease)

  • Consider JAK2 exon 12 mutations - present in approximately 3-5% of polycythemia vera cases that are JAK2 V617F negative 1
  • EPO receptor (EPOR) mutations - cause hereditary erythrocytosis with subnormal EPO levels 1, 3, 4
  • Proceed with bone marrow biopsy showing panmyelosis with trilineage growth if clinical suspicion for PV remains high 1

Elevated or High-Normal EPO (Suggests Secondary Polycythemia)

Hypoxia-Driven Causes

  • Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) - the most common pulmonary cause 2, 5
  • Smoker's polycythemia - caused by chronic carbon monoxide exposure binding hemoglobin with 200-250 times greater affinity than oxygen, creating functional hypoxia; resolves with smoking cessation 1, 2
  • Sleep apnea and hypoventilation syndromes 2
  • Cyanotic congenital heart disease with right-to-left shunts 1, 2
  • High-altitude habitation 1, 6
  • Renal artery stenosis causing peripheral hypoxia 1, 3

Hypoxia-Independent Causes

  • EPO-producing tumors: renal cell carcinoma, hepatocellular carcinoma, uterine leiomyomas, pheochromocytoma, meningioma, parathyroid carcinoma 1, 2, 3
  • Post-renal transplant erythrocytosis (PRTE) 1, 2
  • Exogenous erythropoietic drugs: testosterone/androgen preparations, recombinant EPO, sodium-glucose cotransporter-2 inhibitors 2, 3

Hereditary/Congenital Causes

  • High oxygen-affinity hemoglobinopathies - autosomal dominant, causes low P50 (oxygen pressure at 50% hemoglobin saturation) 1, 6, 3
  • 2,3-bisphosphoglycerate (2,3-BPG) mutase deficiency - causes low P50 1, 6, 3
  • Oxygen sensing pathway mutations: HIF2A, PHD2, VHL genes (including Chuvash polycythemia) 2, 3, 4
  • PIEZO1 mutations 3
  • Methemoglobinemia 3

Critical Diagnostic Algorithm

Step 1: Confirm true polycythemia (increased red cell mass) versus relative polycythemia from plasma volume depletion (dehydration, diuretics, burns) 2

Step 2: Obtain detailed smoking history - smoker's polycythemia is the most common secondary cause and resolves with cessation 1, 2

Step 3: Measure serum EPO level 2, 3:

  • If low/normal: Test for JAK2 exon 12 mutations, consider EPOR mutations, proceed to bone marrow biopsy 1, 3
  • If elevated: Proceed to Step 4

Step 4: Assess for hypoxia 2, 3:

  • Arterial blood gas or pulse oximetry
  • Carboxyhemoglobin level in smokers
  • Sleep study if clinically indicated
  • Chest X-ray for chronic lung disease

Step 5: If hypoxia absent, screen for EPO-producing tumors 2:

  • Abdominal ultrasound or CT for renal cell carcinoma, hepatocellular carcinoma
  • Review medication history for testosterone, EPO, SGLT2 inhibitors

Step 6: If acquired causes excluded and family history positive, consider hereditary erythrocytosis 3, 4:

  • Measure P50 (low suggests high oxygen-affinity hemoglobin or 2,3-BPG deficiency)
  • Hemoglobin electrophoresis
  • Germline mutation screening (HIF2A, PHD2, VHL, EPOR, PIEZO1)

Critical Pitfalls to Avoid

Do not assume COPD explains erythrocytosis without excluding JAK2 mutations - patients can have both conditions simultaneously, and missing polycythemia vera leads to inadequate thrombosis prevention 5

Beware of "normal" EPO levels in chronic hypoxic states - EPO may normalize after hemoglobin stabilizes at a compensatory higher level, potentially mimicking polycythemia vera 2

Do not overlook smoking as a reversible cause - smoker's polycythemia is a real condition with risk reduction beginning within 1 year of cessation and return to baseline after 5 years 2

Avoid aggressive phlebotomy in secondary polycythemia - this risks iron depletion, decreased oxygen-carrying capacity, and paradoxically increased stroke risk, particularly in cyanotic heart disease and high oxygen-affinity hemoglobinopathies 1, 2

Do not miss post-renal transplant erythrocytosis - this condition is distinctly associated with increased thrombosis risk and responds to ACE inhibitors or angiotensin II receptor blockers 1

Consider parathyroid carcinoma when evaluating EPO-producing tumors, especially if hyperparathyroidism is present 2

References

Guideline

Guideline Directed Topic Overview

Dr.Oracle Medical Advisory Board & Editors, 2025

Guideline

Secondary Polycythemia Diagnosis and Management

Praxis Medical Insights: Practical Summaries of Clinical Guidelines, 2026

Research

Congenital and acquired polycythemias.

Deutsches Arzteblatt international, 2008

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This information is intended for healthcare professionals. Any medical decision-making should rely on clinical judgment and independently verified information. The content provided herein does not replace professional discretion and should be considered supplementary to established clinical guidelines. Healthcare providers should verify all information against primary literature and current practice standards before application in patient care. Dr.Oracle assumes no liability for clinical decisions based on this content.

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