Risk Factors for Tuberculosis
HIV infection is the single most powerful risk factor for developing active TB, with rates of 35-162 cases per 1000 person-years—representing up to a 170-fold increased risk compared to the general population. 1
Highest-Risk Immunocompromised Conditions
HIV/AIDS (The Dominant Risk Factor)
- HIV-infected individuals with positive tuberculin tests have an annual TB risk of 45 cases per 1000 person-years, compared to 1.1 per 1000 in the general population 1
- HIV-coinfected injection drug users face even greater risk at 76 cases per 1000 person-years 1
- Risk remains elevated indefinitely in HIV patients due to progressive immunosuppression, unlike immunocompetent persons where risk declines after 2 years 1
- Mortality is significantly higher in HIV-positive TB patients, particularly those with very low CD4+ counts who present with disseminated disease 1, 2
Other Severe Immunocompromising Conditions
- Silicosis carries approximately 30-fold increased risk (68 cases per 1000 person-years), requiring extended treatment duration of 8-12 months due to impaired drug penetration and macrophage dysfunction 1
- Chronic renal failure with hemodialysis: 10-25 times greater risk than general population 1
- Solid organ transplant recipients: 15-fold increased risk 1
- Stem cell transplant recipients: 8-12-fold increased risk 1
Diabetes Mellitus
- Diabetic patients have 2-4-fold increased TB risk, with even higher risk in insulin-dependent or poorly controlled diabetes 1
- The American Thoracic Society identifies diabetes as a key risk factor due to its high prevalence in the U.S. population 1
- Standard TB regimens remain adequate, though rifampin reduces serum levels of sulfonylurea oral hypoglycemics requiring dose adjustment 1, 2
Immunosuppressive Medications
TNF-α Antagonists
- All three licensed TNF-α antagonists (infliximab, etanercept, adalimumab) carry 5-7-fold increased TB risk 1
- Screening for latent TB is mandatory before initiating these agents 1
Corticosteroids
- Prednisone ≥15 mg/day for 2-4 weeks represents the threshold dose that suppresses tuberculin reactivity and predisposes to TB reactivation 1
- Higher doses for prolonged periods carry greater reactivation risk, especially in high-risk populations 1
Other Immunosuppressive Therapy
- Hematologic malignancies (leukemia, lymphoma, Hodgkin's disease) increase risk 1, 3
- Head/neck carcinomas and lung cancer are associated with active TB 1
Recent TB Infection and Prior Disease
- Infection within 1 year: 12.9 cases per 1000 person-years—representing the highest risk period after initial infection 1
- Infection 1-7 years past: 1.6 cases per 1000 person-years 1
- Radiographic fibrotic lesions consistent with prior healed TB: 2.0-13.6 cases per 1000 person-years 1
- Among immunocompetent persons, approximately 50% of the 5-10% lifetime risk occurs within the first 2 years after infection 1
Malnutrition and Weight Loss
- Being >15% underweight carries 2.6 cases per 1000 person-years—more than double the risk of normal weight individuals 1
- Underweight by 10-14%: 2.0 cases per 1000 person-years 1
- Overweight by >5%: 0.7 cases per 1000 person-years (protective effect) 1
- Gastrectomy with malabsorption and jejunoileal bypass increase risk through weight loss mechanisms 1
Injection Drug Use
- HIV-seronegative injection drug users: 10 cases per 1000 person-years 1
- This elevated risk reflects increased transmission, more recent infection, and the immunologic effects of drug use itself 1
Additional Medical Conditions
- Chronic peptic ulcer disease with malnutrition 1, 3
- Chronic malabsorption syndromes 1, 3
- Carcinomas of oropharynx and upper GI tract preventing adequate nutrition 1, 3
- End-stage renal disease 1, 3
Epidemiologic and Social Risk Factors
- Close contacts of newly diagnosed infectious TB cases (≥5 mm tuberculin test threshold) 1, 3
- Recent immigrants from high-prevalence countries 1, 3
- Residents of congregate settings: homeless shelters, correctional facilities, nursing homes 1
- Healthcare workers with TB exposure 1
Age-Related Considerations
- Infants <2 years face particularly high risk for life-threatening tuberculous meningitis or miliary TB 1
- All children <4 years with >10 mm tuberculin reaction are candidates for preventive therapy 3
- Older age >60 years increases susceptibility 1
Substance Use
- Smoking: 45 pack-years or heavy smoking increases risk 1, 4
- Alcohol use increases risk, though difficult to isolate from other confounding factors 1
Critical Clinical Pitfall
The presence of multiple risk factors compounds TB risk exponentially rather than additively—for example, an HIV-positive injection drug user with diabetes faces dramatically higher risk than any single factor alone would predict. 1 Screen aggressively and maintain high clinical suspicion in patients with any combination of these conditions.