What are the primary risk factors for developing tuberculosis (TB), especially in patients with compromised immune systems, such as those with Human Immunodeficiency Virus/Acquired Immunodeficiency Syndrome (HIV/AIDS) or diabetes?

Medical Advisory BoardAll articles are reviewed for accuracy by our Medical Advisory Board
Educational purpose only • Exercise caution as content is pending human review
Article Review Status
Submitted
Under Review
Approved

Last updated: January 28, 2026View editorial policy

Personalize

Help us tailor your experience

Which best describes you? Your choice helps us use language that's most understandable for you.

Risk Factors for Tuberculosis

HIV infection is the single most powerful risk factor for developing active TB, with rates of 35-162 cases per 1000 person-years—representing up to a 170-fold increased risk compared to the general population. 1

Highest-Risk Immunocompromised Conditions

HIV/AIDS (The Dominant Risk Factor)

  • HIV-infected individuals with positive tuberculin tests have an annual TB risk of 45 cases per 1000 person-years, compared to 1.1 per 1000 in the general population 1
  • HIV-coinfected injection drug users face even greater risk at 76 cases per 1000 person-years 1
  • Risk remains elevated indefinitely in HIV patients due to progressive immunosuppression, unlike immunocompetent persons where risk declines after 2 years 1
  • Mortality is significantly higher in HIV-positive TB patients, particularly those with very low CD4+ counts who present with disseminated disease 1, 2

Other Severe Immunocompromising Conditions

  • Silicosis carries approximately 30-fold increased risk (68 cases per 1000 person-years), requiring extended treatment duration of 8-12 months due to impaired drug penetration and macrophage dysfunction 1
  • Chronic renal failure with hemodialysis: 10-25 times greater risk than general population 1
  • Solid organ transplant recipients: 15-fold increased risk 1
  • Stem cell transplant recipients: 8-12-fold increased risk 1

Diabetes Mellitus

  • Diabetic patients have 2-4-fold increased TB risk, with even higher risk in insulin-dependent or poorly controlled diabetes 1
  • The American Thoracic Society identifies diabetes as a key risk factor due to its high prevalence in the U.S. population 1
  • Standard TB regimens remain adequate, though rifampin reduces serum levels of sulfonylurea oral hypoglycemics requiring dose adjustment 1, 2

Immunosuppressive Medications

TNF-α Antagonists

  • All three licensed TNF-α antagonists (infliximab, etanercept, adalimumab) carry 5-7-fold increased TB risk 1
  • Screening for latent TB is mandatory before initiating these agents 1

Corticosteroids

  • Prednisone ≥15 mg/day for 2-4 weeks represents the threshold dose that suppresses tuberculin reactivity and predisposes to TB reactivation 1
  • Higher doses for prolonged periods carry greater reactivation risk, especially in high-risk populations 1

Other Immunosuppressive Therapy

  • Hematologic malignancies (leukemia, lymphoma, Hodgkin's disease) increase risk 1, 3
  • Head/neck carcinomas and lung cancer are associated with active TB 1

Recent TB Infection and Prior Disease

  • Infection within 1 year: 12.9 cases per 1000 person-years—representing the highest risk period after initial infection 1
  • Infection 1-7 years past: 1.6 cases per 1000 person-years 1
  • Radiographic fibrotic lesions consistent with prior healed TB: 2.0-13.6 cases per 1000 person-years 1
  • Among immunocompetent persons, approximately 50% of the 5-10% lifetime risk occurs within the first 2 years after infection 1

Malnutrition and Weight Loss

  • Being >15% underweight carries 2.6 cases per 1000 person-years—more than double the risk of normal weight individuals 1
  • Underweight by 10-14%: 2.0 cases per 1000 person-years 1
  • Overweight by >5%: 0.7 cases per 1000 person-years (protective effect) 1
  • Gastrectomy with malabsorption and jejunoileal bypass increase risk through weight loss mechanisms 1

Injection Drug Use

  • HIV-seronegative injection drug users: 10 cases per 1000 person-years 1
  • This elevated risk reflects increased transmission, more recent infection, and the immunologic effects of drug use itself 1

Additional Medical Conditions

  • Chronic peptic ulcer disease with malnutrition 1, 3
  • Chronic malabsorption syndromes 1, 3
  • Carcinomas of oropharynx and upper GI tract preventing adequate nutrition 1, 3
  • End-stage renal disease 1, 3

Epidemiologic and Social Risk Factors

  • Close contacts of newly diagnosed infectious TB cases (≥5 mm tuberculin test threshold) 1, 3
  • Recent immigrants from high-prevalence countries 1, 3
  • Residents of congregate settings: homeless shelters, correctional facilities, nursing homes 1
  • Healthcare workers with TB exposure 1

Age-Related Considerations

  • Infants <2 years face particularly high risk for life-threatening tuberculous meningitis or miliary TB 1
  • All children <4 years with >10 mm tuberculin reaction are candidates for preventive therapy 3
  • Older age >60 years increases susceptibility 1

Substance Use

  • Smoking: 45 pack-years or heavy smoking increases risk 1, 4
  • Alcohol use increases risk, though difficult to isolate from other confounding factors 1

Critical Clinical Pitfall

The presence of multiple risk factors compounds TB risk exponentially rather than additively—for example, an HIV-positive injection drug user with diabetes faces dramatically higher risk than any single factor alone would predict. 1 Screen aggressively and maintain high clinical suspicion in patients with any combination of these conditions.

References

Guideline

Guideline Directed Topic Overview

Dr.Oracle Medical Advisory Board & Editors, 2025

Guideline

Complications of Tuberculosis

Praxis Medical Insights: Practical Summaries of Clinical Guidelines, 2026

Professional Medical Disclaimer

This information is intended for healthcare professionals. Any medical decision-making should rely on clinical judgment and independently verified information. The content provided herein does not replace professional discretion and should be considered supplementary to established clinical guidelines. Healthcare providers should verify all information against primary literature and current practice standards before application in patient care. Dr.Oracle assumes no liability for clinical decisions based on this content.

Have a follow-up question?

Our Medical A.I. is used by practicing medical doctors at top research institutions around the world. Ask any follow up question and get world-class guideline-backed answers instantly.