Incidence of T1N0M0 Neuroendocrine Tumors
The specific incidence of NETs classified as T1N0M0 or below is not directly reported in population-based registries, but can be estimated from overall NET incidence data combined with stage distribution patterns showing that approximately 7-15% of NETs present at stage I (which includes T1N0M0), translating to roughly 0.1-0.25 per 100,000 population annually.
Overall NET Incidence Context
The baseline incidence of all NETs has increased substantially over recent decades:
- Overall NET incidence reached 5.25 per 100,000 population per year by 2004 in the United States, representing a significant increase from 3.0 per 100,000 in earlier years 1
- The prevalence of NETs has been calculated at 35 per 100,000 population per year, with over 100,000 individuals living with NETs in the United States 1
- This rising incidence is primarily attributed to improved detection methods and diagnostic protocols rather than true increases in disease occurrence 1
Site-Specific Incidence Patterns
The distribution of NETs by anatomical site provides important context:
- Lung NETs: Combined incidence of 1.57 per 100,000 inhabitants, with typical carcinoids comprising 1-2% and atypical carcinoids only 0.1-0.2% of all pulmonary neoplasms 1
- Small intestinal NETs: 0.95 per 100,000 per year 1
- Rectal NETs: 0.86 per 100,000 per year 1
- Pancreatic NETs: 0.32 per 100,000 per year 1
- Gastric NETs: 0.30 per 100,000 per year 1
Stage Distribution at Presentation
The critical limitation is that most NETs present at advanced stages, making T1N0M0 tumors relatively uncommon:
- In midgut and hindgut NETs, only 7% present as stage I (which would include T1N0M0), with 8% as stage II, 19% as stage III, and 66% as stage IV 2
- Stage I patients demonstrate 100% 5-year survival, highlighting the excellent prognosis of truly localized disease 2
- The majority of NETs are diagnosed with either regional lymph node involvement or distant metastases already present 2, 3
Estimating T1N0M0 Incidence
Based on the available data:
- If overall NET incidence is 5.25 per 100,000 and approximately 7-15% present as stage I (depending on primary site), the estimated incidence of T1N0M0 NETs would be approximately 0.37-0.79 per 100,000 population annually
- This estimate varies significantly by primary tumor location, as appendiceal NETs have much lower metastatic rates (5% nodal, 2% hepatic) compared to ileal NETs (60% nodal, 30% hepatic) 4
- Bronchial carcinoids show relatively favorable early-stage presentation, with lower metastatic rates (15% nodal, 5% hepatic) compared to gastrointestinal sites 4
Important Clinical Caveats
Several factors complicate precise incidence determination:
- Many small, localized NETs are discovered incidentally during procedures performed for other indications, leading to potential underreporting in registry data 1
- The definition of T1 varies by anatomical site in the TNM classification system, making cross-site comparisons challenging 5, 2
- Improved imaging techniques (particularly somatostatin receptor imaging) are detecting smaller, earlier-stage tumors that would have been missed previously 1
- Population-based registries like SEER do not always capture complete TNM staging data for all cases, particularly for older diagnoses 3, 6