What is the ROX index (ratio of SpO₂/FiO₂ to respiratory rate) in oxygen therapy?

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Last updated: February 9, 2026View editorial policy

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What is the ROX Index in Oxygen Therapy?

The ROX index is a simple bedside calculation—SpO₂/FiO₂ divided by respiratory rate—that predicts whether high-flow nasal cannula (HFNC) therapy will succeed or fail in patients with acute hypoxemic respiratory failure, helping clinicians decide when to continue HFNC versus escalating to intubation. 1

Definition and Calculation

The ROX index is calculated as:

ROX = (SpO₂/FiO₂) / Respiratory Rate

Where:

  • SpO₂ is oxygen saturation measured by pulse oximetry (as a percentage, not decimal)
  • FiO₂ is the fraction of inspired oxygen (expressed as a decimal, e.g., 0.60 for 60%)
  • Respiratory rate is breaths per minute 1, 2

For example, a patient with SpO₂ 95%, FiO₂ 0.50, and respiratory rate 25 breaths/min would have a ROX index of (95/0.50)/25 = 7.6 1

Clinical Application and Timing

The ROX index should be calculated at 2,6, and 12 hours after initiating HFNC therapy, with prediction accuracy improving over time—the 12-hour measurement provides the most reliable prediction of treatment outcome. 2

Interpretation Thresholds for Pneumonia/Hypoxemic Respiratory Failure:

  • ROX ≥ 4.88 at 12 hours: Strongly predicts HFNC success; continue therapy 1, 2
  • ROX < 3.85 at 12 hours: High risk of HFNC failure; strongly consider intubation 2
  • ROX < 2.85 at 2 hours: Very high risk of failure; prepare for intubation 2
  • ROX < 3.47 at 6 hours: High risk of failure; escalate monitoring 2

The hazard ratio for intubation with ROX ≥ 4.88 at 12 hours is 0.291 (95% CI 0.161-0.524), meaning patients meeting this threshold have approximately 70% lower risk of requiring mechanical ventilation 2

Disease-Specific Considerations

COPD Exacerbations:

For COPD patients on HFNC or NIV, higher ROX thresholds are required—a ROX > 6.88 provides optimal sensitivity (62%) and specificity (57%) for predicting treatment success, compared to the 4.88 threshold used in pneumonia. 3

This critical difference exists because COPD patients have different respiratory mechanics and often baseline hypercapnia, making the standard pneumonia-derived cutoffs less accurate 3

Modified ROX Indices:

Two variations have been studied:

  • ROX-HR index: (ROX index / heart rate) × 100, which may provide earlier prediction of failure, particularly in post-extubation patients 4

    • ROX-HR > 6.80 at 10 hours predicts success in acute respiratory failure 4
    • ROX-HR > 8.00 at 10 hours predicts success post-extubation 4
  • mROX index: Uses PaO₂ instead of SpO₂ in the calculation (PaO₂/FiO₂ / respiratory rate), which may have higher predictive accuracy at 2 hours (AUROC 0.73 vs 0.68 for standard ROX) 5

    • Baseline mROX > 7.1 showed 100% specificity for HFNC success 5

Clinical Decision Algorithm

When initiating HFNC for acute hypoxemic respiratory failure:

  1. Calculate baseline ROX index before starting HFNC 2
  2. Initiate HFNC per standard protocols (typically 40-60 L/min flow, FiO₂ titrated to SpO₂ ≥ 92%) 6
  3. Recalculate ROX at 2,6, and 12 hours 2
  4. If ROX < 2.85 at 2 hours: Prepare for intubation; failure is highly likely 2
  5. If ROX < 3.47 at 6 hours: Intensify monitoring; consider ICU transfer if not already there 2
  6. If ROX < 3.85 at 12 hours: Strongly consider intubation; continued HFNC carries high failure risk 2
  7. If ROX ≥ 4.88 at any time point (2,6, or 12 hours): Continue HFNC; success is likely 2
  8. Monitor trend: Patients who fail typically show minimal improvement or declining ROX values over the first 12 hours 2

Common Pitfalls and Caveats

Do not delay intubation in patients with ROX < 3.85 at 12 hours simply because they appear subjectively comfortable—the index identifies patients at high risk for sudden decompensation. 2

The ROX index was validated primarily in pneumonia patients; apply different thresholds for COPD (ROX > 6.88 for success) to avoid premature intubation. 3

Ensure accurate FiO₂ measurement—many clinicians mistakenly use the HFNC device setting rather than measured delivered FiO₂, which can vary based on patient inspiratory flow and mouth breathing. 1

The ROX index does not apply to patients requiring HFNC for reasons other than acute hypoxemic respiratory failure (e.g., post-operative prophylaxis, comfort care). 1, 2

Among the index components, SpO₂/FiO₂ carries greater weight than respiratory rate in predicting outcome, but both are necessary for optimal prediction. 2

Evidence Quality

The ROX index was derived and validated in multicenter prospective cohort studies with area under the receiver operating characteristic curves ranging from 0.68-0.76, representing moderate to good discriminatory ability 1, 2. The index has been externally validated across multiple populations, though primarily in pneumonia patients 1, 2. The COPD-specific threshold requires further validation but represents the best available evidence for this population 3.

Professional Medical Disclaimer

This information is intended for healthcare professionals. Any medical decision-making should rely on clinical judgment and independently verified information. The content provided herein does not replace professional discretion and should be considered supplementary to established clinical guidelines. Healthcare providers should verify all information against primary literature and current practice standards before application in patient care. Dr.Oracle assumes no liability for clinical decisions based on this content.

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