Causes of Raised Procalcitonin
Severe systemic bacterial infections and sepsis are the predominant cause of procalcitonin elevation, with levels rising within 4 hours of bacterial exposure and peaking at 6-8 hours. 1, 2
Primary Infectious Causes
Bacterial Infections
- Severe sepsis and septic shock are the most common causes, with PCT levels reaching 2-10 ng/mL in severe sepsis and exceeding 10 ng/mL in septic shock 1, 3
- Ventilator-associated pneumonia (VAP) in ICU patients causes significant PCT elevation and is the only biomarker that reliably differentiates VAP from non-VAP cases 1
- Nosocomial or secondary bacterial infections in hospitalized patients, particularly in ICU settings, cause serial PCT rises 1
- Local bacterial infections such as pneumonia and pyelonephritis cause moderate PCT elevation 4
- Bacterial meningitis results in marked PCT elevation 4
Parasitic Infections
- Severe falciparum malaria can cause false PCT elevation mimicking bacterial sepsis 1
- Parasitic infections generally trigger PCT production through similar inflammatory pathways as bacterial infections 5
Fungal Infections
- Invasive fungal infections trigger extrathyroidal procalcitonin production through systemic release of proinflammatory cytokines (TNF-α, IL-6, IL-8) 1
- COVID-19-associated pulmonary aspergillosis (CAPA) occurs in 10.2-14.9% of severe COVID-19 patients, though PCT interpretation is confounded by the hyperinflammatory state 6
Non-Infectious Inflammatory Causes
Respiratory Conditions
- Acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS) can cause false PCT elevation without bacterial infection 1
- Chemical pneumonitis may falsely elevate PCT levels 1
Viral Infections (Important Caveat)
- Severe COVID-19 can elevate PCT in approximately 21% of cases without bacterial co-infection due to hyperinflammatory state or cytokine storm, though rarely above 10 ng/mL 1, 2
- Severe influenza can elevate PCT despite absence of bacterial co-infection 1
- The hyperinflammatory state in COVID-19 may result in higher PCT production than other viral pneumonias 1, 6
Critical distinction: Viral infections typically do NOT elevate PCT or cause only moderate elevation, making bacterial infection the primary consideration when PCT is significantly raised. 4, 5
Clinical Interpretation by PCT Level
The Society of Critical Care Medicine and American College of Critical Care Medicine provide the following thresholds 1, 2:
- <0.05 ng/mL: Normal range in healthy individuals
- 0.5-2.0 ng/mL: Systemic inflammatory response syndrome (SIRS)
- 2.0-10 ng/mL: Severe sepsis
- >10 ng/mL: Septic shock
- ≥8 ng/mL: Strongly indicates bacterial sepsis (approximately 160 times higher than normal)
Important Clinical Caveats
Timing Considerations
- Early sampling (<6 hours from admission) may produce false-negative results since PCT requires 2-3 hours to rise and 6-8 hours to peak 1, 6
- PCT rises approximately 4 hours after bacterial exposure, significantly faster than CRP (12-24 hours) 2
Patient-Specific Factors
- Renal function markedly influences PCT levels, and different renal replacement therapy techniques affect measurements 1, 2
- Patients with cirrhosis may have elevated PCT both with and without infection, though persistent elevation indicates poor prognosis 1
Serial Measurements
- Serial measurements are more predictive than single point measurements, especially in ICU patients 1, 6
- A 50% rise in PCT from previous value at any time point is significantly associated with secondary bacterial infection 1
- Decreasing PCT by >25% from peak indicates treatment response and improved outcomes 1, 2
Diagnostic Limitations
- PCT has 77-83% specificity for bacterial infections, meaning a 17-23% false positive rate 1
- No single PCT threshold can reliably distinguish viral from bacterial pneumonia, so PCT should never be used in isolation for antibiotic decisions 1
- Chronic inflammatory states do NOT typically elevate PCT, making it specific for acute processes 1, 2