Is there a single myeloproliferative disease score, or should I use disease‑specific prognostic scoring systems for primary myelofibrosis, essential thrombocythemia, polycythemia vera, and chronic myeloid leukemia?

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Last updated: February 12, 2026View editorial policy

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Myeloproliferative Disease Prognostic Scoring

You should use disease-specific prognostic scoring systems for each myeloproliferative neoplasm subtype rather than a single unified score, because each disease has distinct clinical outcomes, risk factors, and therapeutic implications that require tailored risk stratification. 1, 2

Disease-Specific Scoring Systems

Primary Myelofibrosis (PMF)

Use the International Prognostic Scoring System (IPSS) at diagnosis and Dynamic IPSS (DIPSS) or DIPSS-Plus during disease course. 1

  • IPSS incorporates five adverse prognostic factors: age >65 years, constitutional symptoms, hemoglobin <10 g/dL, white blood cell count >25 × 10⁹/L, and peripheral blood blasts ≥1%. 1

  • DIPSS-Plus adds three additional independent risk factors to DIPSS: unfavorable karyotype, red cell transfusion dependency, and platelet count <100 × 10⁹/L. 1, 3

  • Molecular risk stratification is critical: CALR-positive/ASXL1-negative patients have the longest survival (median 10.4 years), while CALR-negative/ASXL1-positive patients have the shortest (median 2.3 years). 1, 3

  • ASXL1 mutation testing is mandatory for all intermediate-1 risk patients because it independently worsens prognosis and may shift management toward allogeneic stem cell transplantation. 3

  • Patients with median survival <5 years (intermediate-2 or high-risk by DIPSS-Plus, transfusion-dependent, or unfavorable cytogenetics) should be evaluated for allogeneic HSCT, the only curative therapy. 3

Polycythemia Vera (PV)

Risk stratification is based on age and thrombosis history, creating two categories: low-risk (age <60 years and no prior thrombosis) versus high-risk (age ≥60 years or prior thrombosis). 1

  • High-risk patients require phlebotomy to maintain hematocrit <45%, low-dose aspirin (81-100 mg daily), and cytoreductive therapy with hydroxyurea or interferon-α. 1, 4

  • Low-risk patients receive phlebotomy and low-dose aspirin only, with observation for disease progression. 1, 4

  • Leukocyte count is emerging as an additional thrombosis risk factor, though an intermediate-risk category incorporating leukocytosis has not been formally validated. 1

Essential Thrombocythemia (ET)

Use the IPSET-thrombosis scoring system, which incorporates age, prior thrombosis, cardiovascular risk factors, and JAK2V617F mutation status. 1, 5

  • IPSET-thrombosis scoring: age ≥60 years (1 point), prior thrombosis (2 points), JAK2V617F mutation (2 points), cardiovascular risk factors including smoking, diabetes, hypertension, or hypercholesterolemia (1 point). 1, 5

  • Risk categories: low risk (0-1 points), intermediate risk (2 points), high risk (≥3 points). 5

  • High-risk patients (age ≥60 years or prior thrombosis) require cytoreductive therapy with hydroxyurea or interferon-α plus low-dose aspirin. 1, 5

  • Low-risk patients receive low-dose aspirin and observation without cytoreduction. 1, 5

Chronic Myeloid Leukemia (CML)

CML uses distinct molecular monitoring rather than traditional prognostic scores, focusing on BCR-ABL1 transcript levels and cytogenetic response to tyrosine kinase inhibitors. 1

  • Follow-up chromosome analysis should be performed at 3,6, and 12 months post-treatment until complete cytogenetic response is achieved, analyzing at least 20 cells. 1

  • Once complete cytogenetic response is achieved, monitoring can transition to FISH or quantitative PCR using the International Scale. 1

Critical Pitfalls to Avoid

  • Do not use myelodysplastic syndrome (MDS) scoring systems for chronic myelomonocytic leukemia (CMML), which requires disease-specific prognostic models like MDAPS or MDAPS-M1. 1

  • Do not omit bone marrow biopsy in suspected MPN cases, as it is necessary for diagnosis except in PV patients with hemoglobin >18.5 g/dL (males) or >16.5 g/dL (females). 1

  • Do not skip driver mutation screening (JAK2V617F, CALR, MPL) in all suspected Ph-negative MPNs; test JAK2V617F first, then CALR and MPL in ET/MF, or JAK2 exon 12 in JAK2V617F-negative PV. 1

  • Do not initiate JAK inhibitors in asymptomatic low-risk myelofibrosis patients, as these agents are palliative and have not demonstrated disease-modifying effects. 3

  • Iron deficiency can mask PV by lowering hemoglobin below diagnostic thresholds while maintaining elevated red cell mass; check iron studies and MCV. 5

References

Guideline

Guideline Directed Topic Overview

Dr.Oracle Medical Advisory Board & Editors, 2025

Guideline

Management of CALR‑Mutated Intermediate‑1 Risk Myelofibrosis (Cited Evidence)

Praxis Medical Insights: Practical Summaries of Clinical Guidelines, 2026

Guideline

Management of JAK2 V617F Mutation

Praxis Medical Insights: Practical Summaries of Clinical Guidelines, 2026

Guideline

Diagnosis and Management of JAK2 V617F‑Positive Myeloproliferative Neoplasms

Praxis Medical Insights: Practical Summaries of Clinical Guidelines, 2026

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Professional Medical Disclaimer

This information is intended for healthcare professionals. Any medical decision-making should rely on clinical judgment and independently verified information. The content provided herein does not replace professional discretion and should be considered supplementary to established clinical guidelines. Healthcare providers should verify all information against primary literature and current practice standards before application in patient care. Dr.Oracle assumes no liability for clinical decisions based on this content.

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