Are premature atrial contractions (PACs) a risk for developing atrial fibrillation (AFib)?

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Last updated: April 22, 2025View editorial policy

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From the Guidelines

PACs are a risk factor for developing AFib, particularly when they occur frequently, as they can trigger electrical remodeling in the atria, creating an environment conducive to the development of AFib. The relationship between PACs and AFib is supported by the 2023 ACC/AHA/ACCp/HRS guideline for the diagnosis and management of atrial fibrillation, which highlights the importance of modifiable and nonmodifiable risk factors associated with AF, including atrial enlargement and frequent atrial ectopy 1.

Key Points to Consider

  • Frequent PACs can increase the risk of developing AFib, especially in older adults, those with structural heart disease, hypertension, or other cardiovascular risk factors.
  • Management of frequent PACs may include addressing underlying conditions like sleep apnea, reducing caffeine and alcohol intake, and treating hypertension.
  • Medications such as beta-blockers or calcium channel blockers might be prescribed to reduce PAC frequency, though there's limited evidence that this prevents progression to AFib.
  • Regular cardiac monitoring may be recommended for those with frequent PACs to detect early development of AFib.

Additional Considerations

The 2024 ESC guidelines for the management of atrial fibrillation also emphasize the importance of comprehensive risk factor management, including weight loss and treatment of underlying conditions, to reduce the risk of recurrent atrial arrhythmias after AF ablation 1. However, the primary concern is the development of AFib in individuals with PACs, and management should focus on reducing the frequency of PACs and addressing underlying risk factors.

Recommendations for Practice

  • Individuals with frequent PACs should be monitored regularly for signs of AFib.
  • Underlying conditions such as sleep apnea, hypertension, and obesity should be addressed to reduce the risk of developing AFib.
  • Medications may be prescribed to reduce PAC frequency, but the primary goal is to prevent the development of AFib.

From the Research

Association between PACs and AFib

  • Premature atrial contractions (PACs) are associated with an increased risk of atrial fibrillation (AF) and ischemic stroke 2, 3, 4.
  • Studies have shown that frequent PACs are a predictor of AF, with a hazard ratio of 2.96 for developing AF 4.
  • The relationship between PACs and AF is thought to be related to atrial cardiomyopathy, with PACs serving as a marker of underlying cardiac disease 3.

Risk Factors for PACs

  • PAC frequency is independently associated with age, height, history of cardiovascular disease, natriuretic peptide levels, physical activity, and high-density lipoprotein cholesterol 5.
  • Lifestyle risk factors, such as poor physical activity and poor BMI, are associated with higher odds of PACs frequency 2.
  • Hypertension and body mass index are not significantly related to PAC frequency 5.

Clinical Implications

  • Beta blockers have been shown to decrease long-term mortality in patients with PACs, although the effect on new-onset stroke or AF is unclear 6.
  • The presence of frequent PACs on 24-48 hour Holter monitoring is associated with an increased risk of AF, first stroke, and all-cause mortality 4.
  • Further research is needed to determine the underlying mechanisms of the relationship between PACs and AF, as well as the potential benefits of modifying lifestyle risk factors to prevent PACs and AF 2, 3, 4.

References

Guideline

Guideline Directed Topic Overview

Dr.Oracle Medical Advisory Board & Editors, 2025

Research

Frequent premature atrial contractions are associated with atrial fibrillation, brain ischaemia, and mortality: a systematic review and meta-analysis.

Europace : European pacing, arrhythmias, and cardiac electrophysiology : journal of the working groups on cardiac pacing, arrhythmias, and cardiac cellular electrophysiology of the European Society of Cardiology, 2019

Professional Medical Disclaimer

This information is intended for healthcare professionals. Any medical decision-making should rely on clinical judgment and independently verified information. The content provided herein does not replace professional discretion and should be considered supplementary to established clinical guidelines. Healthcare providers should verify all information against primary literature and current practice standards before application in patient care. Dr.Oracle assumes no liability for clinical decisions based on this content.

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