Do HIV‑positive men aged ≥ 40 have an increased risk of prostate cancer compared to HIV‑negative men?

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Last updated: February 26, 2026View editorial policy

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HIV and Prostate Cancer Risk

HIV-positive men have a significantly lower risk of developing prostate cancer compared to HIV-negative men, with approximately 24-50% reduced incidence, though this finding is complicated by differential screening patterns and detection bias. 1, 2

Evidence from Guidelines and Epidemiologic Data

The NCCN guidelines acknowledge that prostate cancer represents 7% of all incident cancers in people living with HIV (PLWH), making it a relevant malignancy in this population despite the overall reduced risk. 3 However, this proportion reflects the cancer distribution among those diagnosed, not the underlying incidence rate compared to HIV-negative populations.

Key Research Findings on Risk Reduction

Magnitude of Risk Reduction

  • A large Kaiser Permanente cohort study of 17,424 HIV-positive and 182,799 HIV-negative men found a 27% reduced prostate cancer risk in HIV-positive men (adjusted rate ratio 0.73), even after controlling for age, race, smoking, alcohol/drug abuse, obesity, and diabetes. 1

  • A 2021 meta-analysis of 27 studies including over 2,780 HIV-positive men with prostate cancer demonstrated a 24% decreased risk (SIR 0.76,95% CI 0.64-0.91). 2

  • Earlier U.S. data from the HIV/AIDS Cancer Match Study showed a 50% risk reduction during the PSA screening era (1992-2007, SIR 0.50), though this was limited to local and regional stage cancers. 4

The Screening Bias Question

The reduced prostate cancer incidence in HIV-positive men appears to be genuine and not fully explained by differential screening:

  • In the Kaiser Permanente Northern California subset, more HIV-positive men (90.8%) than HIV-negative men (86.2%) received PSA testing by age 55, yet HIV-positive men still had lower cancer rates. 1

  • When analysis was restricted only to men who had received PSA testing, the decreased risk persisted (rate ratio 0.55). 1

  • The risk reduction was greater for higher-stage cancers, which are less susceptible to screening detection bias. 1

However, other data suggests screening differences do play a role:

  • The U.S. HIV/AIDS Cancer Match Study found PSA testing was uncommon among HIV-infected men ≥40 years (only 18.7% per year), and the prostate cancer deficit was limited to the PSA era and early-stage cancers. 4

  • In the pre-PSA era (<1992), men with AIDS had the same prostate cancer risk as the general population (SIR 1.00). 4

Clinical Implications for Management

Screening Recommendations

HIV-positive men should receive standard prostate cancer screening according to established guidelines, with shared decision-making beginning at age 50 for average-risk men, age 45 for African American men or those with family history, and age 40 for men with multiple affected relatives. 3, 5, 6

  • The reduced incidence does not justify withholding screening, as HIV-positive men with well-controlled disease on HAART have similar life expectancies and cancer outcomes to HIV-negative men. 7, 8

  • Baseline PSA value is a stronger predictive factor than HIV status alone. 3, 6

Treatment Considerations

When prostate cancer is diagnosed in HIV-positive men, treatment should mirror that offered to HIV-negative patients:

  • A multi-institutional study of 17 HIV-positive men with prostate cancer found that age, PSA levels, clinical presentation, management, and outcomes were not significantly altered by HIV status in men receiving HAART. 7

  • All treated patients achieved complete response (undetectable PSA), with no serious treatment-related side effects. 7

  • Men with well-controlled HIV viremia should be managed identically to HIV-negative counterparts. 7, 8

Important Caveats

  • The significant heterogeneity across studies (I² = 91.6%) indicates that the relationship between HIV and prostate cancer risk may vary by population, HAART era, and screening practices. 2

  • African American men with HIV face dual considerations: their baseline 64% higher prostate cancer incidence and 2.3-fold higher mortality compared to white men must be weighed against the protective effect of HIV. 6

  • Testosterone deficiency is more common in HIV-positive men and may contribute to reduced prostate cancer risk, though adjustment for this factor still shows persistent risk reduction. 1

References

Guideline

Guideline Directed Topic Overview

Dr.Oracle Medical Advisory Board & Editors, 2025

Research

Reduced risk of prostate cancer in U.S. Men with AIDS.

Cancer epidemiology, biomarkers & prevention : a publication of the American Association for Cancer Research, cosponsored by the American Society of Preventive Oncology, 2010

Guideline

Prostate Cancer Risk Factors and Screening Recommendations

Praxis Medical Insights: Practical Summaries of Clinical Guidelines, 2025

Guideline

Prostate Cancer Risk Factors and Screening

Praxis Medical Insights: Practical Summaries of Clinical Guidelines, 2025

Professional Medical Disclaimer

This information is intended for healthcare professionals. Any medical decision-making should rely on clinical judgment and independently verified information. The content provided herein does not replace professional discretion and should be considered supplementary to established clinical guidelines. Healthcare providers should verify all information against primary literature and current practice standards before application in patient care. Dr.Oracle assumes no liability for clinical decisions based on this content.

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