What is the percent likelihood of passing a kidney stone based on its location?

Medical Advisory BoardAll articles are reviewed for accuracy by our Medical Advisory Board
Educational purpose only • Exercise caution as content is pending human review
Article Review Status
Submitted
Under Review
Approved

Last updated: June 25, 2025View editorial policy

Personalize

Help us tailor your experience

Which best describes you? Your choice helps us use language that's most understandable for you.

From the Guidelines

The likelihood of passing a kidney stone varies significantly based on its location, with stones in the distal ureter having the highest chance of spontaneous passage at approximately 74%. The location of the kidney stone plays a crucial role in determining the likelihood of its passage.

  • Stones located in the distal ureter have a high chance of spontaneous passage, with a stone-free rate of 74% 1.
  • Stones in the mid ureter have a lower chance of passing without intervention, with a stone-free rate of 73% 1.
  • Stones in the proximal ureter have a stone-free rate of 82% 1. The size of the stone also impacts these percentages significantly, with stones smaller than 10 mm having a higher chance of passing regardless of location.
  • For example, stones in the distal ureter that are less than 10 mm have a stone-free rate of 86% 1.
  • In contrast, stones in the distal ureter that are greater than 10 mm have a lower stone-free rate of 74% 1. During the waiting period for stone passage, pain management and adequate hydration are essential to help flush the stone. If a stone doesn't pass within 4-6 weeks, or if complications develop, urological intervention becomes necessary.

From the Research

Kidney Stone Passage Likelihood Based on Location

The likelihood of passing a kidney stone is influenced by its location, size, and other factors.

  • Studies have shown that the location of the stone in the ureter affects the likelihood of spontaneous passage 2, 3.
  • Stones located in the distal ureter (closer to the bladder) are more likely to pass spontaneously than those in the proximal ureter (closer to the kidney) 3.
  • The size of the stone is also a significant factor, with smaller stones being more likely to pass spontaneously 2, 3.

Percent Likelihood of Passing a Kidney Stone Based on Size and Location

  • For stones 0-2 mm in size, the spontaneous passage rate is around 98% 2.
  • For stones 3 mm in size, the spontaneous passage rate is around 98% 2.
  • For stones 4 mm in size, the spontaneous passage rate is around 81% 2.
  • For stones 5 mm in size, the spontaneous passage rate is around 65% 2.
  • For stones 6 mm in size, the spontaneous passage rate is around 33% 2.
  • For stones ≥6.5 mm in size, the spontaneous passage rate is around 9% 2.
  • A study found that 95% of stones 2 mm or less pass spontaneously within 31 days, while stones 2-4 mm take around 40 days, and stones 4-6 mm take around 39 days 3.

Factors Affecting Kidney Stone Passage

  • Stone size and location are the most important predictors of spontaneous passage 2.
  • The side of the stone (left or right) and the grade of hydronephrosis (swelling of the kidney) can also affect stone passage, but only in specific subgroups 2.
  • The use of alpha-blockers such as tamsulosin may facilitate stone clearance, particularly for larger stones 4, 5.

Professional Medical Disclaimer

This information is intended for healthcare professionals. Any medical decision-making should rely on clinical judgment and independently verified information. The content provided herein does not replace professional discretion and should be considered supplementary to established clinical guidelines. Healthcare providers should verify all information against primary literature and current practice standards before application in patient care. Dr.Oracle assumes no liability for clinical decisions based on this content.

Have a follow-up question?

Our Medical A.I. is used by practicing medical doctors at top research institutions around the world. Ask any follow up question and get world-class guideline-backed answers instantly.