COVID-19 Tests and New Variants: Effectiveness of Last Year's Tests
Current COVID-19 tests remain effective for detecting new strains, but monitoring for variant-specific performance changes is essential, particularly for antigen tests that target the nucleocapsid protein. 1
Current Testing Landscape
Types of COVID-19 Tests
Nucleic Acid Amplification Tests (NAATs):
- RT-PCR remains the gold standard for diagnosis with highest sensitivity 1
- Target genes include RNA-dependent RNA polymerase (RdRp), open reading frame (ORF1), Envelope (E), and nucleocapsid (N) genes 1
- Laboratory-based tests typically have 6-8 hour turnaround time; rapid versions available in 45-60 minutes 1
Antigen Tests:
Performance with New Variants
The IDSA guidelines (2024) specifically address variant concerns:
Antigen Tests and Variants:
- Most antigen tests detect the nucleocapsid protein, which has less variation than the spike protein 1
- Performance was only slightly reduced with Omicron-BA.1 variant 1
- Some tests may have reduced sensitivity with specific variants (e.g., Omicron-BA.2) 1
- IDSA notes: "As new variants emerge, the performance of Ag tests may change. Therefore, monitoring the performance of Ag tests for diagnosis of new-variant COVID-19 is critical" 1
Molecular Tests (NAATs):
Testing Strategy Recommendations
For Symptomatic Individuals:
First Choice: Standard NAAT (laboratory-based or rapid RT-PCR) 1
- Highest sensitivity to detect infection
- Preferred when results available within 24 hours
Alternative: Antigen testing 1
- When NAAT results would be delayed >24 hours
- Within first 5 days of symptoms for optimal performance
- Negative results should be confirmed with NAAT if clinical suspicion remains high
Testing Algorithm for New Variants:
- For highest accuracy: Use standard NAAT/RT-PCR testing
- For rapid results: Antigen testing is acceptable with understanding of limitations
- For negative antigen tests: Confirm with NAAT if symptoms are consistent with COVID-19
Important Caveats and Pitfalls
False Negatives: Can occur with any test but more common with antigen tests (sensitivity ~89% for symptomatic patients within 5 days) 1
- Causes include: improper sampling, low viral loads, mutations in target regions 1
Timing Matters:
Variant-Specific Concerns:
Alternative Diagnoses:
- Consider other respiratory viruses if COVID-19 tests are negative 1
- Multiple testing may be needed if clinical suspicion remains high
The evidence strongly supports that while most current COVID-19 tests remain effective for detecting new variants, ongoing vigilance and monitoring of test performance is essential as the virus continues to evolve.