Clinical Scoring Systems in Cirrhosis: Assessment and Prognostic Value
The most important clinical scoring systems used in cirrhosis are the Child-Turcotte-Pugh (CTP) score, Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD), and Acute-on-Chronic Liver Failure (ACLF) scores, which measure liver function, predict mortality, and guide treatment decisions including transplantation eligibility.
Child-Turcotte-Pugh (CTP) Score
The CTP score is one of the oldest and most widely used scoring systems for cirrhosis assessment:
Components: Measures 5 parameters 1:
- Encephalopathy (grade 1-4)
- Ascites (absent/slight/moderate)
- Bilirubin (mg/dL)
- Albumin (g/dL)
- Prothrombin time/INR
Scoring and Classification:
- Class A: 5-6 points (90% 5-year survival)
- Class B: 7-9 points (80% 5-year survival)
- Class C: 10-15 points (<35% 1-year survival without transplant)
Clinical Utility:
- Risk stratification before procedures
- Assessment of disease severity
- Simple bedside calculation
Limitations:
- Includes subjective parameters (encephalopathy, ascites)
- Not formally validated as a prognostic tool 1
- Limited discrimination within classes
Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD)
MELD has become the primary tool for liver transplant allocation:
Components: Objective laboratory values 1, 2:
- Serum bilirubin
- Serum creatinine (capped at 4.0 mg/dL)
- International Normalized Ratio (INR)
Formula: MELD = 3.78 × log(bilirubin mg/dL) + 11.2 × log(INR) + 9.6 × log(creatinine mg/dL) + 6.4 2
Mortality Risk by MELD Score 2:
MELD Score Mortality Risk 6-9 1.9% 10-19 6% 20-29 19.6% 30-39 52.6% 40+ 71.3% Clinical Utility:
- Organ allocation for transplantation
- Prediction of 3-month mortality
- Objective assessment without subjective parameters
- Transplant listing recommended at MELD ≥15 2
Limitations:
- Doesn't account for complications like hepatic encephalopathy
- May not accurately represent certain conditions (HCC, metabolic disorders) 3
MELD-Na (Sodium-modified MELD)
An important modification of the original MELD score:
- Components: Adds serum sodium to the original MELD formula
- Clinical Utility: Better predicts mortality in patients with ascites and hyponatremia
- Advantage: Accounts for the prognostic significance of hyponatremia in cirrhosis
Acute-on-Chronic Liver Failure (ACLF) Scores
These newer scoring systems assess patients with acute decompensation:
CLIF-C Organ Failure (CLIF-C OF) Score
Components: Assesses six organ systems 1:
- Liver
- Kidney
- Brain
- Coagulation
- Circulation
- Respiration
Clinical Utility:
- Diagnosis of ACLF
- Assessment of ACLF severity
- Prediction of 28-day mortality
- Sequential assessment of response to intervention 1
CLIF-C ACLF Score
- Components: Combines CLIF-C OF with age and white blood cell count
- Clinical Utility: More accurate prediction of mortality in ACLF patients
NACSELD ACLF Score
- Components: Assesses four organ systems (brain, kidneys, circulation, respiration) 1
- Limitation: Underestimates mortality risk compared to CLIF-C criteria 1
Disease-Specific Scores
Maddrey Discriminant Function (mDF)
- Components: Bilirubin and prothrombin time 1
- Clinical Utility:
- Identifies severe alcoholic hepatitis (mDF ≥32)
- Guides corticosteroid therapy decisions
Glasgow Alcoholic Hepatitis Score (GAHS)
- Components: Age, bilirubin, blood urea, prothrombin time, and white blood cell count 1
- Clinical Utility: Identifies patients who benefit from corticosteroid treatment (GAHS ≥9)
ABIC Score
- Components: Age, bilirubin, INR, and creatinine 1
- Clinical Utility: Stratifies alcoholic hepatitis patients into low, intermediate, and high risk of death
Clinical Application and Comparative Value
Transplant Evaluation: MELD is the primary tool for organ allocation, with a score ≥15 recommended for listing 2
ACLF Management: CLIF-C scores are recommended for diagnosis and monitoring of ACLF 1
Alcoholic Hepatitis: Multiple specialized scores (Maddrey DF, GAHS, ABIC) provide similar efficacy in predicting short-term survival 1
Sequential Assessment: Regular monitoring of scores is essential as they can change over time, particularly in ACLF where sequential assessment at days 3-7 improves prognostic accuracy 1
Practical Considerations
Timing of Assessment: Regular reassessment is crucial, especially with clinical deterioration
Score Selection: Choose the appropriate score based on clinical context:
- For transplant evaluation: MELD/MELD-Na
- For ACLF: CLIF-C OF/ACLF scores
- For alcoholic hepatitis: Maddrey DF, GAHS, or ABIC
Limitations: No single score captures all aspects of cirrhosis; clinical judgment remains essential
Mortality Prediction: ACLF-specific scores outperform conventional cirrhosis scores (MELD, CTP) for critically ill patients 1
The appropriate use of these scoring systems enables better risk stratification, treatment decisions, and resource allocation for patients with cirrhosis across the spectrum of disease severity.