Fracture Risk Assessment in a Patient on Chronic Glucocorticoid Therapy
This patient's fracture risk category is MODERATE according to the 2022 American College of Rheumatology guideline for glucocorticoid-induced osteoporosis.
Risk Assessment Analysis
The 48-year-old male patient presents with several key factors that determine his fracture risk category:
T-scores from DXA scan:
- Hip: -1.4
- Femoral neck: -1.5
- Spine: -1.6
These T-scores fall in the osteopenic range (between -1.0 and -2.5) but do not meet the threshold for osteoporosis (≤-2.5) 1.
FRAX estimates:
- Major osteoporotic fracture: 6.2%
- Hip fracture: 1%
Glucocorticoid therapy:
- Currently taking prednisone 5 mg daily (chronic use)
Risk Stratification Based on ACR Guidelines
According to the 2022 ACR guideline for glucocorticoid-induced osteoporosis (GIOP), fracture risk is categorized as follows 1:
Low risk:
- FRAX (GC-adjusted) 10-year risk of major osteoporotic fracture <10%
- FRAX (GC-adjusted) 10-year risk of hip fracture ≤1%
Moderate risk:
- FRAX (GC-adjusted) 10-year risk of major osteoporotic fracture 10-19%
- FRAX (GC-adjusted) 10-year risk of hip fracture >1% but <3%
High risk:
- FRAX (GC-adjusted) 10-year risk of major osteoporotic fracture ≥20% but <30%
- FRAX (GC-adjusted) 10-year risk of hip fracture ≥3% but <4.5%
- T-score ≤-2.5
Very high risk:
- Prior osteoporotic fracture(s)
- BMD T-score ≤-3.5
- FRAX (GC-adjusted) 10-year risk of major osteoporotic fracture ≥30%
- FRAX (GC-adjusted) 10-year risk of hip fracture ≥4.5%
- High GC dose ≥30 mg/day for >30 days or cumulative doses ≥5 g/year
Application to This Patient
The patient's FRAX estimates (6.2% for major osteoporotic fracture and 1% for hip fracture) need to be adjusted for glucocorticoid use. Since he is taking prednisone 5 mg daily (which is ≥2.5 mg but <7.5 mg), the standard FRAX values can be used without additional adjustment 1.
- Major osteoporotic fracture risk: 6.2% (<10%)
- Hip fracture risk: 1% (=1%)
Based on the hip fracture risk of 1%, which is at the threshold between low and moderate risk categories, and considering that the patient is on chronic glucocorticoid therapy (prednisone 5 mg daily), the patient falls into the MODERATE risk category according to the 2022 ACR guidelines 1.
Clinical Implications
For patients with moderate fracture risk on chronic glucocorticoid therapy:
Recommended interventions:
Monitoring:
Important Considerations
- The patient's kidney transplantation history may influence treatment decisions, as some osteoporosis medications may require dose adjustments or be contraindicated in patients with renal impairment
- The combination of immunosuppressive therapy (tacrolimus, mycophenolate mofetil) with glucocorticoids increases the risk of bone loss
- Even low-dose prednisone (5 mg daily) can cause significant bone loss and increased fracture risk when used chronically 3
This assessment should guide appropriate preventive and therapeutic interventions to reduce the patient's risk of glucocorticoid-induced osteoporotic fractures.