Is the triglyceride-to-HDL (High Density Lipoprotein) cholesterol ratio a marker for cardiovascular risk?

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Triglyceride-to-HDL Cholesterol Ratio as a Cardiovascular Risk Marker

Yes, the triglyceride-to-HDL cholesterol (TG/HDL) ratio serves as a valuable marker for cardiovascular risk assessment, though it should not be used as a treatment target. 1

Clinical Utility of the TG/HDL Ratio

The TG/HDL ratio reflects the relationship between triglyceride-rich lipoproteins and HDL cholesterol, providing insight into cardiovascular risk beyond traditional lipid measurements alone. 1 This ratio is particularly useful because:

  • The combination of elevated triglycerides and low HDL cholesterol is extremely common in high-risk patients with type 2 diabetes, abdominal obesity, insulin resistance, and physical inactivity, forming part of the atherogenic dyslipidemic triad. 2

  • A lower TG/HDL ratio (such as 0.49) suggests reduced risk of atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD). 1

  • The ratio serves as a marker of insulin resistance, with elevated ratios associated with odds ratios of 9.3 for overweight, 27.5 for obesity, and 4.41 for abdominal obesity in young adults. 3

Evidence Supporting Cardiovascular Risk Prediction

Elevated triglycerides are independently associated with cardiovascular disease risk, even after adjustment for HDL cholesterol. 2 The epidemiologic evidence demonstrates:

  • Nonfasting triglycerides >5 mmol/L (440 mg/dL) versus <1 mmol/L (88 mg/dL) were associated with 17-fold and 5-fold risk of myocardial infarction in women and men, respectively, during 27 years of follow-up. 2

  • Meta-analyses show that elevated triglycerides confer a relative risk of 1.14 in men and 1.37 in women for cardiovascular disease after adjustment for HDL cholesterol. 2

  • Genetic studies provide causal evidence: a 1-mmol/L genetic increase in remnant cholesterol (the cholesterol content of triglyceride-rich lipoproteins) was associated with a 2.8-fold causal risk increase for ischemic heart disease. 2

Critical Interpretation Guidelines

The TG/HDL ratio must be interpreted as part of a complete lipid profile, not in isolation. 1, 4 Key considerations include:

  • Fasting triglycerides >1.7 mmol/L (150 mg/dL) are considered a marker of increased cardiovascular risk, though this is not an evidence-based treatment target. 2

  • HDL cholesterol <1.0 mmol/L (40 mg/dL) in men and <1.2 mmol/L (45 mg/dL) in women indicates increased risk, but there is insufficient evidence to use HDL as a therapeutic goal. 2

  • Even with a favorable TG/HDL ratio, elevated absolute LDL cholesterol levels still warrant appropriate management according to the patient's overall cardiovascular risk category. 1, 4

Mortality and Outcome Data

The TG/HDL ratio predicts coronary heart disease, cardiovascular disease, and all-cause mortality after adjustment for established risk factors and non-HDL cholesterol. 5 Specifically:

  • Men with TG/HDL ratio >3.5 had significantly higher mortality rates from CHD, CVD, and all causes compared to those with lower ratios. 5

  • The combination of LDL/HDL ratio >5 and triglycerides >2.3 mmol/L identified a high-risk subgroup with a relative risk of 3.8 for cardiac events. 6

  • Annual incidence of type 2 diabetes was 2 times higher in men with high TG/HDL ratio compared to those with low ratios. 5

Common Pitfalls to Avoid

Do not use the TG/HDL ratio as a treatment target—European guidelines explicitly state there is insufficient evidence to establish HDL cholesterol values as therapeutic goals. 2, 4 Instead:

  • Focus on absolute LDL cholesterol targets based on overall cardiovascular risk: <1.8 mmol/L (70 mg/dL) for very high-risk patients. 2

  • Consider non-HDL cholesterol (total cholesterol minus HDL cholesterol), which equals LDL plus remnant cholesterol combined and has been emphasized in recent guidelines. 2, 1

  • Confirm fasting status when interpreting the ratio, as triglyceride levels vary significantly between fasting and non-fasting states. 1

  • Assess other cardiovascular risk factors including hypertension, diabetes, smoking, and family history as part of comprehensive risk stratification. 1, 4

References

Guideline

Triglyceride to HDL Ratio Interpretation

Praxis Medical Insights: Practical Summaries of Clinical Guidelines, 2025

Guideline

Guideline Directed Topic Overview

Dr.Oracle Medical Advisory Board & Editors, 2025

Guideline

LDL/HDL Ratio as a Cardiovascular Risk Marker

Praxis Medical Insights: Practical Summaries of Clinical Guidelines, 2025

Research

Triglyceride-to-high-density-lipoprotein-cholesterol ratio is an index of heart disease mortality and of incidence of type 2 diabetes mellitus in men.

Journal of investigative medicine : the official publication of the American Federation for Clinical Research, 2014

Professional Medical Disclaimer

This information is intended for healthcare professionals. Any medical decision-making should rely on clinical judgment and independently verified information. The content provided herein does not replace professional discretion and should be considered supplementary to established clinical guidelines. Healthcare providers should verify all information against primary literature and current practice standards before application in patient care. Dr.Oracle assumes no liability for clinical decisions based on this content.

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