Intrapartum and Postpartum Predictors of Uterine Rupture
The strongest intrapartum predictor of uterine rupture is sequential labor induction with prostaglandins followed by oxytocin (48-fold increased risk in unscarred uteri, 16-fold in scarred uteri), while the most consistent early warning sign is prolonged, persistent fetal bradycardia. 1, 2
Key Intrapartum Predictors
Clinical Presentation and Warning Signs
Fetal heart rate abnormalities are the most reliable early indicator:
- Prolonged, persistent, and profound fetal bradycardia is the most consistent early sign of uterine rupture 2
- Severe pathologic fetal heart rate patterns combined with unusual pelvic pain should prompt immediate suspicion 3
- Fetal distress occurs in the majority of cases and requires expedited laparotomy 3, 2
Maternal symptoms are typically nonspecific but include:
- Acute abdominal pain (present in 60% of cases) 4
- Maternal tachycardia (50% of cases) 4
- Severe hypotension (20% of cases) 4
- Clinically significant uterine bleeding 2
Labor Management Factors
Pharmacologic interventions dramatically increase rupture risk:
- Sequential induction with prostaglandins then oxytocin: 48-fold risk in unscarred uteri (adjusted OR 48.0,95% CI 20.5-112.3), 16-fold in scarred uteri (adjusted OR 16.1,95% CI 8.6-29.9) 1
- Labor augmentation with oxytocin alone: 22.5-fold risk in unscarred uteri (adjusted OR 22.5,95% CI 10.9-41.2), 4.4-fold in scarred uteri (adjusted OR 4.4,95% CI 2.9-6.6) 1
- Prostaglandin use for induction increases risk substantially 3, 4
Important caveat: Intrauterine pressure catheters and standard labor monitoring do not allow anticipation of rupture diagnosis 3
Obstetric Risk Factors During Labor
Mechanical factors present during labor:
- Fetal macrosomia 3
- Malpresentation (present in 20% of rupture cases) 2, 4
- Obstructed labor 2
- Use of vacuum or forceps (30% of unscarred uterus ruptures) 4
Postpartum Predictors for Future Pregnancies
Imaging Findings
CT findings suggestive of uterine rupture:
- Gas in the myometrial defect extending from endometrium to parametrial tissue 5, 6
- Hemoperitoneum 5
- Bladder flap hematoma >5 cm raises suspicion for uterine dehiscence (precursor to rupture) 5
MRI is superior for detecting structural defects:
- Better soft-tissue contrast for identifying myometrial defects with intact serosal layer 5, 6
- Can distinguish uterine dehiscence from complete rupture 5
Ultrasound findings predict future rupture risk:
- Cesarean section scar defects (niches) present in 24-88% of women with prior cesarean 5, 6, 7
- Contrast-enhanced sonohysterography detects niches in 56-84% of cases 5
Historical Risk Factors for Subsequent Pregnancies
Previous cesarean delivery characteristics:
- Overall rupture prevalence: 22 per 10,000 births (0.22%) with prior cesarean, increasing to 35 per 10,000 (0.35%) when labor occurs 5, 6, 7
- Risk increases with each additional cesarean: ranges from 8 to 68 per 10,000 births depending on country 5
- Classical cesarean section scar significantly increases risk 3, 8
- Previous uterine rupture confers high recurrence risk; repeat cesarean is recommended 3
Inter-pregnancy interval:
- Interval <6 months before next pregnancy increases risk 3
- Interval <16 months increases rupture risk 2.3-fold (adjusted OR 2.3,95% CI 1.1-5.4) 1
- Interval <18 months is a documented risk factor 7
Previous cesarean complications:
- Severe postpartum hemorrhage at prior cesarean increases rupture risk 5.6-fold (adjusted OR 5.6,95% CI 2.4-13.2) 1
- Previous first-trimester miscarriages increase risk 9.6-fold in unscarred uteri (adjusted OR 9.6,95% CI 5.7-17.4) and 5-fold in scarred uteri (adjusted OR 5.0,95% CI 3.4-7.3) 1
Additional Predictive Factors
Protective factor:
- Previous vaginal delivery decreases rupture risk 3
Increased risk factors:
- Grand multiparity 2, 4
- Antepartum fetal death: 15-fold risk in unscarred uteri (adjusted OR 15.0,95% CI 6.2-36.6), 4-fold in scarred uteri (adjusted OR 4.0,95% CI 1.1-14.2) 1
- Multiple previous cesarean sections 3, 2
Critical Clinical Pitfalls
Diagnostic challenges:
- Signs and symptoms are typically nonspecific, making diagnosis difficult 2
- Low correlation exists between clinical and radiologic findings of dehiscence 5
- Do not interpret hypodense edema at cesarean incision site as dehiscence in the first postpartum week 5
Management imperative: