GRACE Risk Score and Timing of Angiography in Acute Coronary Syndrome
Direct Recommendation
For patients with NSTE-ACS and a GRACE score >140, perform coronary angiography within 24 hours of hospital admission; for patients with GRACE score ≤140, angiography can be safely delayed beyond 24 hours or managed with a selective invasive approach. 1
Risk Stratification Framework
Very High-Risk Criteria (Immediate Angiography <2 Hours)
Proceed immediately to the catheterization laboratory regardless of GRACE score if any of the following are present: 1, 2
- Hemodynamic instability or cardiogenic shock
- Recurrent or ongoing chest pain refractory to medical treatment
- Life-threatening arrhythmias or cardiac arrest
- Mechanical complications of MI (papillary muscle rupture, ventricular septal defect, free wall rupture)
- Acute heart failure with refractory angina or ST-segment deviation
- Recurrent dynamic ST- or T-wave changes, particularly with intermittent ST-elevation
High-Risk Criteria (Early Angiography <24 Hours)
The GRACE score >140 is the primary determinant for early invasive strategy timing in stabilized patients. 1 Other high-risk features warranting early angiography include: 1
- Rise or fall in cardiac troponin compatible with MI
- Dynamic ST- or T-wave changes (symptomatic or silent)
Evidence Supporting GRACE Score Threshold of 140
The TIMACS trial demonstrated significant heterogeneity in outcomes based on GRACE risk stratification: 1
- Patients with GRACE >140: Early intervention (median 14 hours) reduced the primary ischemic endpoint from 21.0% to 13.9% (HR 0.65,95% CI 0.48-0.89, P=0.006)
- Patients with GRACE ≤140: No benefit from early intervention—outcomes were 6.7% vs 7.6% in delayed vs early groups (HR 1.12,95% CI 0.81-1.56, P=0.48)
The VERDICT trial confirmed this interaction, showing benefit with early invasive strategy only in patients with GRACE >140 (HR 0.81,95% CI 0.67-1.00 vs HR 1.21,95% CI 0.92-1.60 for GRACE ≤140; P for interaction=0.02). 1
Critical Caveats About GRACE Score Calculation
Use the GRACE risk score for in-hospital death when applying the >140 threshold, as this is what the TIMACS and VERDICT trials validated. 1 Different GRACE score versions (6-month, 1-year, 3-year mortality) use different variable weighting and can produce substantially different scores for the same patient, potentially leading to incorrect treatment decisions. 1
The GRACE >140 threshold was validated using conventional troponin or CK-MB, not high-sensitivity troponin. 1 The applicability of this threshold in the high-sensitivity troponin era has not been formally validated, though the score remains accurate for risk stratification. 3
Timing Definitions and Practical Implementation
- Immediate: <2 hours from hospital admission 1
- Early: <24 hours from hospital admission 1
- Delayed: >24 hours from hospital admission 1
There is no evidence that angiography within the first few hours provides incremental benefit over angiography at 12-24 hours in stabilized high-risk patients. 1 The ABOARD trial demonstrated that immediate intervention (median 70 minutes) provided no advantage over delayed intervention (median 21 hours) in unselected NSTE-ACS patients. 1
Low-to-Intermediate Risk Patients (GRACE ≤140)
A selective invasive strategy is appropriate for patients with GRACE ≤140, where angiography is performed only if: 1
- Medical therapy fails to control symptoms
- Objective evidence of ischemia develops on stress testing
- Clinical deterioration occurs during observation
This approach is supported by the lack of benefit from routine early intervention in this population across multiple trials. 1
Additional Benefits of Early Strategy in High-Risk Patients
Beyond mortality reduction, early invasive strategy in GRACE >140 patients significantly reduces: 1
- Refractory ischemia (3.3% vs 1.0%, P<0.001)
- Recurrent MI
- Length of hospital stay
The occurrence of refractory ischemia is associated with a more than 4-fold increase in risk of subsequent MI, making its prevention clinically meaningful. 1
Contemporary Risk Assessment
The GRACE score remains accurate for risk stratification despite improvements in contemporary ACS treatment. 3 Validation studies from 2000-2016 showed consistent discrimination for mortality prediction (AUC 0.75-0.87 for 7-day mortality, 0.79-0.84 for 1-year mortality) across different treatment eras, despite absolute mortality reductions. 3
The GRACE score demonstrates superior discrimination for in-hospital mortality (AUC 0.91) compared to other risk scores and outperforms subjective physician assessment. 1, 4
Integration with High-Sensitivity Troponin
High-sensitivity troponin 0/1-hour algorithms have higher sensitivity (78.1%) for detecting MI than any GRACE score threshold (range 23.8-66.5%). 5 However, combining GRACE scoring with hs-cTn testing provides complementary information: hs-cTn identifies MI presence while GRACE score determines ischemic risk and guides timing. 5
Supplementing the ESC 0/1-hour algorithm with GRACE risk scoring slightly increases MI detection but also increases false positives who would undergo potentially unnecessary early angiography. 5
Special Populations
Apply the same GRACE-based timing strategy in elderly patients (≥75 years) after careful evaluation of comorbidities, frailty, and life expectancy. 1 Elderly patients should be considered for invasive strategy with appropriate risk-benefit assessment. 1
In diabetic patients, use identical GRACE thresholds and timing as non-diabetic patients, as diabetes is already incorporated into the GRACE score calculation. 1