Post-Exposure Prophylaxis (PEP) Effectiveness for HIV Prevention
PEP reduces HIV acquisition by 80-90% when initiated promptly after exposure, making it a highly effective emergency intervention for preventing HIV transmission. 1
Evidence for PEP Efficacy
The effectiveness of PEP is well-established through multiple lines of evidence:
A landmark case-control study demonstrated 81% efficacy for zidovudine monoprophylaxis, and current combination antiretroviral therapy is likely even more effective, though no direct comparative data exist. 1
Modern three-drug PEP regimens achieve 80-90% reduction in HIV acquisition when used appropriately after substantial exposures. 1
The baseline risk of HIV transmission from a single percutaneous needlestick injury with HIV-infected blood is approximately 0.3-0.36% (3-4 per 1,000 exposures), which PEP can reduce by 80-90%. 2, 3
Critical Timing Requirements
PEP must be initiated within 72 hours of exposure, with effectiveness declining dramatically after 24-36 hours. 1, 2, 3
Optimal effectiveness occurs when PEP is started within the first hour after exposure, though benefit persists if initiated within 72 hours. 2, 3
After 72 hours, the diminished potential benefit may not outweigh the risks of antiretroviral medications, and PEP is generally not recommended. 1
Animal studies with PMPA (tenofovir) showed complete protection when initiated within 24 hours but reduced efficacy at 48-72 hours post-exposure. 1
Recommended PEP Regimens
Current guidelines recommend 28-day courses of three-drug combination antiretroviral therapy:
Preferred regimens include bictegravir/emtricitabine/tenofovir alafenamide (single tablet once daily) or dolutegravir plus tenofovir/emtricitabine. 1, 2, 3
The CDC recommends tenofovir/emtricitabine plus twice-daily raltegravir or once-daily dolutegravir as standard options. 1
Alternative acceptable regimens include tenofovir/emtricitabine with boosted darunavir or tenofovir/emtricitabine/cobicistat/elvitegravir. 1
Adherence and Completion
Completing the full 28-day course is essential for PEP efficacy, as shorter durations have proven inadequate in animal models. 1, 2, 3
Adherence is crucial to PEP success, and common side effects like nausea and gastrointestinal symptoms can be managed with antiemetics or anti-diarrheal agents to improve completion rates. 2
Patients should not stop PEP prematurely even if the source is later determined to be HIV-negative, unless this occurs very early in the course. 3
When PEP Should Be Initiated
PEP is recommended for exposures to known HIV-positive sources within 72 hours that represent substantial transmission risk:
Sexual exposures: receptive anal intercourse (highest risk), insertive anal intercourse, receptive vaginal intercourse, insertive vaginal intercourse. 4
Percutaneous injuries with hollow-bore needles containing visible blood, especially if the needle was in a vein or artery. 2, 3
Deep penetrating injuries increase transmission risk compared to superficial exposures. 2, 3
For unknown source status, PEP should be evaluated case-by-case but is reasonable for substantial exposures:
Consider initiating PEP if the source is likely from a high HIV prevalence population (injection drug users, men who have sex with men, commercial sex workers). 1, 4
Start PEP without waiting for source HIV testing results, as the 72-hour window is critical. 2, 3
PEP can be discontinued if the source is rapidly confirmed HIV-negative. 3
Baseline and Follow-Up Testing
Perform rapid HIV testing or laboratory-based antigen/antibody combination test before starting PEP, but do not delay the first dose while awaiting results. 1, 2, 3
Baseline testing should include HIV antibody/antigen testing, sexually transmitted infection screening, pregnancy testing for women, hepatitis B and C serologies, and renal function assessment. 1, 2
Follow-up HIV testing schedule: 4-6 weeks post-exposure and 12 weeks post-exposure (final test). 1, 2, 3
If using fourth-generation assays, shorter serologic follow-up at 3-4 months may be possible. 1
Critical Pitfalls to Avoid
Do not delay PEP initiation beyond 72 hours, as effectiveness drops dramatically with time. 1, 2, 3
Do not use PEP for frequent, recurrent exposures - patients with repeated high-risk behaviors should instead be offered pre-exposure prophylaxis (PrEP) or intensive risk-reduction interventions. 1
Do not stop PEP prematurely - the full 28-day course is essential for efficacy. 1, 2, 3
Do not wait for source HIV testing results before starting the first PEP dose - time is critical. 2, 3
Do not use two-drug regimens for unknown source status - current guidelines favor three-drug regimens for adequate coverage. 3
Special Populations
Pregnant women: Discuss potential benefits and risks to both woman and fetus before initiating PEP, but pregnancy is not a contraindication. 3
Renal impairment: Use tenofovir alafenamide (TAF) instead of tenofovir disoproxil fumarate (TDF) for better renal safety profile. 3
Transgender women on hormone therapy: Exogenous estrogens may reduce tenofovir concentrations by up to 27%, requiring additional adherence support. 1
Limitations and Context
While PEP is highly effective, it is not 100% protective and carries risks of adverse effects and toxicities. 1
PEP cannot replace primary prevention strategies including consistent condom use, sexual abstinence or mutual monogamy with uninfected partners, and sterile injection equipment. 1
For individuals with ongoing high-risk exposures, daily PrEP may be more protective than repeated episodes of PEP. 1