Timing of Dialysis Initiation: Early vs Late
Dialysis should NOT be initiated early (eGFR >10 mL/min/1.73 m²) in asymptomatic patients with ESRD, as early initiation provides no survival benefit and may cause harm. 1
Evidence Against Early Dialysis Initiation
The strongest evidence comes from correcting for lead-time bias, which reveals that early dialysis initiation offers no survival advantage and may actually worsen outcomes. 2 When survival is counted from a common starting point rather than from dialysis initiation, early starters show either no benefit or a survival disadvantage (HR 1.1-1.33). 3
The observational pattern showing frailer patients starting dialysis earlier reflects selection bias, not treatment benefit—sicker patients with more comorbidities initiate at higher eGFR levels but die sooner regardless of when dialysis starts. 2
Between 1996 and 2005, the proportion of US patients starting dialysis with eGFR >10 mL/min/1.73 m² rose from 19% to 45%, yet mortality outcomes did not improve. 4
Recommended GFR Thresholds for Initiation
Conservative Management Targets
- Continue conservative management until eGFR falls below 15 mL/min/1.73 m² unless specific clinical indications exist. 2, 1
- Target eGFR for initiation is approximately 10 mL/min/1.73 m² based on theoretical considerations. 2, 1
- Actual mean eGFR at initiation is 9.8 mL/min/1.73 m², with lower values (7-9 mL/min/1.73 m²) for young and middle-aged adults and higher values (10-10.5 mL/min/1.73 m²) for children and elderly patients. 2, 1
Evidence Supports Even Later Initiation
- Dialysis may be safely deferred to eGFR as low as 5-7 mL/min/1.73 m² in asymptomatic patients with careful clinical follow-up. 5, 3
- One controlled study suggests dialysis could potentially be started even later than eGFR <5.7 mL/min/1.73 m² without compromising survival. 3
Absolute Clinical Indications That Override GFR
Initiate dialysis immediately when any of these are present, regardless of eGFR:
Uremic Complications
- Uremic pericarditis 1, 6
- Uremic encephalopathy (confusion, asterixis, seizures) 1, 6
- Uremic bleeding diathesis 1, 6
Metabolic Emergencies
- Severe hyperkalemia (>6.0 mmol/L) with ECG changes 6
- Severe metabolic acidosis with impaired respiratory compensation 6
- Severe progressive hyperphosphatemia (>6 mg/dL), particularly in tumor lysis syndrome 6
Volume and Cardiovascular
- Refractory pulmonary edema causing respiratory compromise 1, 6
- Volume overload unresponsive to diuretic therapy 1
- Uncontrolled hypertension despite maximal medical management 1
Nutritional Deterioration
- Protein-energy malnutrition that develops or persists despite vigorous attempts to optimize intake, with no apparent cause other than low nutrient intake. 2, 1
- Progressive deterioration: declining edema-free body weight, falling serum albumin, lean body mass <63%. 1
Conditions Allowing Safe Deferral Below eGFR 10
Dialysis may be safely delayed even with eGFR <10 mL/min/1.73 m² if ALL of the following are present:
- Stable or increased edema-free body weight 1
- Adequate nutritional parameters 1
- Complete absence of clinical signs or symptoms attributable to uremia 1
Critical Pitfalls and Caveats
GFR Estimation Limitations
Creatinine-based eGFR formulae are inaccurate in ESRD patients, so decisions should not be based solely on eGFR. 5, 7 In patients with unusual creatinine generation (extremes of muscle mass, dietary protein intake) or altered tubular secretion, measured GFR using 24-hour urine collection for creatinine and urea clearance is more accurate. 1
Risks of Dialysis Itself
- Dialysis is not innocuous and does not replace all kidney functions. 2, 1
- Hemodialysis-related hypotension may accelerate loss of residual kidney function, which is a major contributor to total clearance and positively impacts outcomes. 2, 1, 4
- Vascular access complications, dialysate-related complications, and significant burden on patient, family, and healthcare system. 2, 1
Special Populations
Elderly patients with comorbidities and frailty may experience worse outcomes and quality of life with dialysis initiation, so conservative care should be carefully considered. 5
Initial Dialysis Prescription: "Low and Slow" Approach
When dialysis is initiated, the first treatment MUST use a cautious approach to prevent dialysis disequilibrium syndrome and hemodynamic instability:
- Initial session duration: 2-2.5 hours (not full 4 hours) 1, 8
- Reduced blood flow rates: 200-250 mL/min 1, 8
- Minimal ultrafiltration during first session, focusing on clearance rather than fluid removal 1, 8
- Gradual dose escalation over subsequent sessions as tolerated 1, 8
Rationale for Low and Slow
Rapid removal of urea creates an osmotic gradient causing cerebral edema (dialysis disequilibrium syndrome), with symptoms including headache, nausea, seizures, and potentially coma. 8 Rapid fluid removal causes hypotension, myocardial stunning, and arrhythmias, especially in elderly patients and those with cardiovascular comorbidities. 8
Clinical Decision Framework
The decision to initiate dialysis represents a compromise designed to maximize quality of life by extending the dialysis-free period while avoiding uremic complications. 2, 1
This requires clinical judgment incorporating:
- Age and functional status 2, 1
- Comorbidity burden 2, 1
- Vascular access status 2, 1
- Transplant candidacy 2, 1
- Home dialysis eligibility 2, 1
- Patient preferences and social support 5
Patients need timely referral to nephrology to allow adequate pre-dialysis care and planning, with dialysis initiation as a shared decision between physician, patient, and family members. 5