San Francisco Syncope Rule for Risk Stratification
The San Francisco Syncope Rule (SFSR) is a validated clinical decision tool that identifies patients at high risk for serious outcomes within 7 days of syncope presentation, using five key risk factors: abnormal ECG, congestive heart failure, shortness of breath, hematocrit <30%, and systolic blood pressure <90 mmHg.
Components of the San Francisco Syncope Rule
The SFSR uses the mnemonic "CHESS" to identify high-risk patients:
- C: History of Congestive Heart Failure
- H: Hematocrit <30%
- E: Abnormal ECG (new changes or non-sinus rhythm)
- S: Shortness of breath
- S: Systolic blood pressure <90 mmHg at triage
Risk Stratification Performance
According to validation studies, the SFSR demonstrates:
- Sensitivity: 98% in the original validation cohort 1
- Specificity: 56% in the original validation cohort 1
- Negative predictive value: 99% for serious outcomes
However, it's important to note that subsequent external validation studies have shown variable performance:
- A Canadian validation study found sensitivity of 90% and specificity of 33% 2
- Another independent validation study found lower sensitivity (74%) 3
- An Asian population validation showed 94.2% sensitivity 4
Clinical Application
When to Apply the Rule
Apply the SFSR to adult patients presenting with syncope or near-syncope after initial evaluation, excluding patients with:
- Trauma-related loss of consciousness
- Alcohol or drug-associated loss of consciousness
- Definite seizures
- Persistent altered mental status
Decision Making Algorithm
- Perform initial evaluation including history, physical examination, and ECG
- Apply the SFSR by checking for the five risk factors
- Risk stratification:
- High risk: Presence of ANY of the five risk factors
- Low risk: Absence of ALL five risk factors
Management Based on Risk
- High-risk patients (any SFSR criteria present): Consider hospital admission for further evaluation and monitoring
- Low-risk patients (no SFSR criteria present): Consider outpatient management with appropriate follow-up
Integration with Other Risk Stratification Tools
The 2017 ACC/AHA/HRS guidelines for syncope management acknowledge several risk stratification tools including the SFSR 5. Other validated tools include:
- OESIL score
- EGSYS score
- Boston Syncope Rule
- STePS
- ROSE rule
Important Caveats and Pitfalls
ECG interpretation is crucial: The definition of "abnormal ECG" varies across studies but generally includes any rhythm other than normal sinus rhythm, conduction delays, presence of Q waves, ST abnormalities, or prolonged QT interval 5
Validation inconsistencies: Be aware that independent validation studies have shown variable performance, with some showing lower sensitivity than the original validation 3
Admission rate impact: Implementing the SFSR may increase admission rates in some settings (from 12.3% to 69.5% in one Canadian study) 2
Clinical judgment remains essential: The rule should be used as an aid to clinical decision-making, not as the sole determinant of disposition 4
Serious outcomes definition: The rule aims to predict serious outcomes within 7 days including death, myocardial infarction, arrhythmia, pulmonary embolism, stroke, subarachnoid hemorrhage, significant hemorrhage, or any condition causing return ED visit and hospitalization 6
By using the San Francisco Syncope Rule as part of a comprehensive evaluation strategy, clinicians can more effectively identify patients at risk for serious outcomes and make appropriate disposition decisions that balance patient safety with resource utilization.