Z-Score in Spirometry: Definition and Clinical Significance
The z-score in spirometry is a standardized measure that indicates how many standard deviations an individual's measured lung function value deviates from the predicted mean value for someone of similar age, height, sex, and ethnicity. 1
Definition and Calculation
The z-score is calculated using the following formula:
z-score = (observed value - predicted mean value) / RSD
Where RSD is the residual standard deviation of the reference population 1.
This statistical approach provides several advantages over traditional percent predicted values:
- Z-scores account for the normal distribution of lung function values in a healthy population
- They have a mean of 0 and a standard deviation of 1 in healthy individuals
- They provide probability information about how likely a result is to occur within a normal population
- They indicate how far a result deviates from the predicted mean
Clinical Application and Interpretation
Advantages Over Percent Predicted
The American Thoracic Society and European Respiratory Society recommend using z-scores rather than percent predicted values for several important reasons:
- Z-scores account for the interindividual variability of the normal distribution
- They provide more information than simply categorizing results as "normal" or "abnormal"
- They avoid the false positives that can occur with conventional fixed cutoffs (like 80% of predicted) 1, 2
Normal Range and Clinical Thresholds
- The lower limit of normal (LLN) is typically set at the 5th percentile, equivalent to a z-score of -1.645
- This means 95% of healthy individuals fall within the normal range 1
- Z-scores can be interpreted in probability terms when data are normally distributed
Practical Uses
Z-scores are particularly valuable for:
- Tracking changes in lung function over time
- Comparing various lung function parameters from different techniques
- Evaluating lung function in children and adolescents where normal values change with growth 1
- Providing more accurate assessment across different ages, heights, and ethnicities
Reference Equations
The Global Lung Function Initiative (GLI) 2012 provides multi-ethnic spirometric reference equations that allow calculation of z-scores across a wide age range (3-95 years) 3. These equations:
- Use modern statistical techniques to establish continuous equations for all ages
- Include data from multiple ethnic groups
- Allow for more accurate interpretation of spirometry results
When selecting reference equations, it's important to consider:
- The population from which the equations were derived
- Whether height or age is the main predictor (height is generally preferred)
- The applicability to the specific patient population being tested
Limitations and Considerations
While z-scores provide significant advantages, there are important considerations:
- Some studies suggest that z-score classification may underestimate airflow limitation severity in patients older than 60 years with severe functional impairment 4
- Reference equations may not be equally applicable across all populations, particularly in regions like Sub-Saharan Africa that are underrepresented in reference datasets 5
- Software for calculating z-scores should be provided with commercial equipment to ensure accurate interpretation 1
Clinical Implementation
When implementing z-scores in clinical practice:
- Use appropriate reference equations for your patient population
- Consider validating reference equations by testing healthy local subjects
- Report both z-scores and percent predicted values during transition periods
- Ensure that interpretation software is updated with the most current reference equations
By using z-scores, clinicians can more accurately assess lung function, track changes over time, and make more informed diagnostic and treatment decisions for patients with respiratory conditions.