Approach to Prognostication and Treatment in Septic Shock
Early prognostication and goal-directed treatment are essential in septic shock management, with goals of care discussions recommended within 72 hours of ICU admission to improve mortality and quality of life outcomes. 1
Prognostic Assessment
Key Prognostic Indicators
- Serum lactate levels: Higher levels (≥2 mmol/L) indicate tissue hypoperfusion and correlate with mortality 2
- Vasopressor requirements: Higher norepinephrine doses strongly predict mortality 3
- Venous-to-arterial carbon dioxide difference (P(v-a)CO2): Elevated levels predict clinical worsening 3
Risk Stratification
Based on the most recent evidence, patients can be classified into three prognostic phenotypes 3:
- Safe phenotype: Low norepinephrine requirements, normal/near-normal lactate, normal P(v-a)CO2
- Intermediate phenotype: Moderate vasopressor needs, moderately elevated lactate
- Unsafe phenotype: High norepinephrine requirements, significantly elevated lactate, abnormal P(v-a)CO2
Additional Mortality Risk Factors
- Mechanical ventilation (nearly 5× increased risk) 4
- SAPS II score >60 4
- Chronic alcoholism 4
- Age >65 years 4
- Prothrombin ratio <40% 4
- PaO₂/FiO₂ ratio <150 4
Treatment Algorithm
Initial Resuscitation (First 3 Hours)
Fluid resuscitation:
Antimicrobial therapy:
Vasopressor initiation:
- Start if hypotension persists after fluid administration (SBP <90 mmHg or MAP <65 mmHg) 2, 5
- Norepinephrine is first-line (starting dose: 0.02 μg/kg/min) 2, 5
- Target MAP of 65 mmHg 2, 5
- If MAP remains inadequate despite low-moderate dose norepinephrine (0.1-0.2 μg/kg/min), add vasopressin (0.04 units/min) 2
Ongoing Management (Beyond 6 Hours)
Hemodynamic monitoring:
Source control:
Nutritional support:
Supportive care:
Goals of Care and Prognostication
Timing of goals of care discussions:
Integration with treatment planning:
Benefits of early goals of care discussions:
Interventions to Avoid
- Omega-3 fatty acids as immune supplements (strong recommendation) 1
- IV selenium (strong recommendation) 1
- Arginine supplementation (weak recommendation) 1
- Glutamine supplementation (strong recommendation) 1
- Routine monitoring of gastric residual volumes (weak recommendation) 1
Common Pitfalls in Septic Shock Management
- Delaying antimicrobial therapy beyond 1 hour in septic shock
- Inadequate fluid resuscitation or excessive fluid administration
- Failure to identify and control the source of infection
- Delayed initiation of vasopressors when indicated
- Not reassessing treatment response and adjusting therapy accordingly
- Overlooking goals of care discussions within the first 72 hours
- Failing to recognize and address high-risk prognostic factors
By following this structured approach to prognostication and treatment in septic shock, clinicians can optimize patient outcomes while respecting patient preferences through timely goals of care discussions.