What is the approach to prognostication and treatment in septic shock?

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Last updated: September 27, 2025View editorial policy

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Approach to Prognostication and Treatment in Septic Shock

Early prognostication and goal-directed treatment are essential in septic shock management, with goals of care discussions recommended within 72 hours of ICU admission to improve mortality and quality of life outcomes. 1

Prognostic Assessment

Key Prognostic Indicators

  • Serum lactate levels: Higher levels (≥2 mmol/L) indicate tissue hypoperfusion and correlate with mortality 2
  • Vasopressor requirements: Higher norepinephrine doses strongly predict mortality 3
  • Venous-to-arterial carbon dioxide difference (P(v-a)CO2): Elevated levels predict clinical worsening 3

Risk Stratification

Based on the most recent evidence, patients can be classified into three prognostic phenotypes 3:

  • Safe phenotype: Low norepinephrine requirements, normal/near-normal lactate, normal P(v-a)CO2
  • Intermediate phenotype: Moderate vasopressor needs, moderately elevated lactate
  • Unsafe phenotype: High norepinephrine requirements, significantly elevated lactate, abnormal P(v-a)CO2

Additional Mortality Risk Factors

  • Mechanical ventilation (nearly 5× increased risk) 4
  • SAPS II score >60 4
  • Chronic alcoholism 4
  • Age >65 years 4
  • Prothrombin ratio <40% 4
  • PaO₂/FiO₂ ratio <150 4

Treatment Algorithm

Initial Resuscitation (First 3 Hours)

  1. Fluid resuscitation:

    • Administer 30 mL/kg crystalloid within 3 hours 2
    • Preferably use balanced crystalloids (e.g., lactated Ringer's) rather than normal saline 2
    • For sepsis without shock: Start with 1-2 L bolus completed within 60-90 minutes 2
    • Monitor for fluid overload, especially in patients at risk for pulmonary edema 2
  2. Antimicrobial therapy:

    • Obtain at least 2 sets of blood cultures before starting antibiotics 2
    • Administer broad-spectrum antibiotics within 1 hour of recognition for septic shock 2
    • For sepsis without shock, administer within 3 hours of recognition 2
  3. Vasopressor initiation:

    • Start if hypotension persists after fluid administration (SBP <90 mmHg or MAP <65 mmHg) 2, 5
    • Norepinephrine is first-line (starting dose: 0.02 μg/kg/min) 2, 5
    • Target MAP of 65 mmHg 2, 5
    • If MAP remains inadequate despite low-moderate dose norepinephrine (0.1-0.2 μg/kg/min), add vasopressin (0.04 units/min) 2

Ongoing Management (Beyond 6 Hours)

  1. Hemodynamic monitoring:

    • Reassess volume status and tissue perfusion within 6 hours if:
      • Hypotension persists after fluid administration
      • Initial lactate is ≥4 mmol/L 2
    • Monitor MAP, mental status, capillary refill time, urine output, and lactate clearance 2
  2. Source control:

    • Identify the specific anatomic source of infection as rapidly as possible 2
    • Implement source control intervention as soon as medically and logistically practical 2
  3. Nutritional support:

    • Suggest early enteral feeding rather than complete fast or IV glucose only 1
    • Either early trophic/hypocaloric or early full enteral feeding is acceptable 1
    • Advance feeds according to patient tolerance 1
  4. Supportive care:

    • Provide oxygen therapy targeting SpO₂ 92-96% 2
    • Implement VTE prophylaxis using LMWH or UFH 2
    • Consider prokinetic agents for feeding intolerance 1
    • Consider post-pyloric feeding tubes in patients with feeding intolerance or high aspiration risk 1

Goals of Care and Prognostication

  1. Timing of goals of care discussions:

    • Address goals of care as early as feasible, but no later than within 72 hours of ICU admission 1
    • Discuss prognosis with patients and families 1
  2. Integration with treatment planning:

    • Incorporate goals of care into treatment and end-of-life care planning 1
    • Utilize palliative care principles where appropriate 1
  3. Benefits of early goals of care discussions:

    • Promote communication and understanding between family and treating team 1
    • Improve family satisfaction 1
    • Decrease stress, anxiety, and depression in surviving relatives 1
    • Facilitate end-of-life decision-making 1
    • Shorten ICU length of stay for patients who die in the ICU 1

Interventions to Avoid

  • Omega-3 fatty acids as immune supplements (strong recommendation) 1
  • IV selenium (strong recommendation) 1
  • Arginine supplementation (weak recommendation) 1
  • Glutamine supplementation (strong recommendation) 1
  • Routine monitoring of gastric residual volumes (weak recommendation) 1

Common Pitfalls in Septic Shock Management

  • Delaying antimicrobial therapy beyond 1 hour in septic shock
  • Inadequate fluid resuscitation or excessive fluid administration
  • Failure to identify and control the source of infection
  • Delayed initiation of vasopressors when indicated
  • Not reassessing treatment response and adjusting therapy accordingly
  • Overlooking goals of care discussions within the first 72 hours
  • Failing to recognize and address high-risk prognostic factors

By following this structured approach to prognostication and treatment in septic shock, clinicians can optimize patient outcomes while respecting patient preferences through timely goals of care discussions.

References

Guideline

Guideline Directed Topic Overview

Dr.Oracle Medical Advisory Board & Editors, 2025

Guideline

Sepsis Management

Praxis Medical Insights: Practical Summaries of Clinical Guidelines, 2025

Research

Septic Shock: Phenotypes and Outcomes.

Advances in therapy, 2022

Professional Medical Disclaimer

This information is intended for healthcare professionals. Any medical decision-making should rely on clinical judgment and independently verified information. The content provided herein does not replace professional discretion and should be considered supplementary to established clinical guidelines. Healthcare providers should verify all information against primary literature and current practice standards before application in patient care. Dr.Oracle assumes no liability for clinical decisions based on this content.

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