Scoring Systems in Chronic Liver Disease With and Without Alcohol
Universal Scoring Systems (Used for All CLD Etiologies)
For all chronic liver disease regardless of etiology, use Child-Turcotte-Pugh (CTP) and Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) scores as your primary prognostic tools. 1, 2
Child-Turcotte-Pugh (CTP) Score
- CTP incorporates five parameters: encephalopathy (grade 0-3), ascites (absent/mild/moderate), serum bilirubin (mg/dL), serum albumin (g/dL), and prothrombin time/INR 1, 2
- Each parameter receives 1-3 points based on severity thresholds 1
- Classification: Class A (5-6 points), Class B (7-9 points), Class C (10-15 points) 1
- Prognostic stratification: Class A patients have approximately 90% 5-year survival, while Class C patients have >33% mortality within 1 year 1
- Key advantage: Can be performed at bedside and effectively distinguishes compensated (Class A) from decompensated cirrhosis (Classes B and C) 2
- Limitation: Includes subjective clinical assessments (ascites, encephalopathy) which introduce variability 2
Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) Score
- MELD uses three objective laboratory parameters: serum bilirubin, serum creatinine, and INR 1, 2
- Formula: MELD = 3.8 × log(bilirubin mg/dL) + 11.2 × log(INR) + 9.6 × log(creatinine mg/dL) + 6.4 1, 2
- Score range: 6-40, with higher scores indicating worse prognosis 2
- MELD ≥15 is the threshold for liver transplant listing 1, 2
- Key advantage: Uses only objective laboratory values, eliminating observer variability 2
- Unique feature: Incorporates renal function (creatinine), which is an important prognostic marker absent from CTP 2
- Primary use: Superior for liver transplant allocation due to objective mortality risk assessment 1
Comparative Performance: CTP vs MELD
- Both systems share bilirubin and PT/INR as core parameters 2
- In most clinical scenarios, CTP and MELD have similar discriminative ability 3
- For patients not on transplant waiting lists, it remains unclear whether MELD is superior to CTP 2
- MELD has not been validated as a survival predictor in cirrhotic patients not on transplant lists 2
Alcohol-Specific Scoring Systems
For alcoholic hepatitis specifically, use Maddrey Discriminant Function (MDF) as your primary severity stratification tool, supplemented by MELD, Glasgow Alcoholic Hepatitis Score (GAHS), or ABIC score. 4, 5
Maddrey Discriminant Function (Modified)
- Formula: MDF = 4.6 × (Patient's PT - control PT) + total bilirubin (mg/dL) 4
- MDF ≥32 defines severe alcoholic hepatitis with 28-day mortality of 30-50% without treatment 4, 5
- MDF <32 indicates non-severe disease with <10% risk of one-month mortality 4
- This is the most widely used score in clinical practice and clinical trials 4
- Limitation: Although continuous, it functions as a categorical classifier once the threshold of 32 is exceeded 4
MELD Score in Alcoholic Hepatitis
- MELD ≥18 indicates poor prognosis in alcoholic hepatitis 4, 1
- MELD >20 identifies high risk of 90-day mortality 4, 5
- MELD ≥21 provides high sensitivity and specificity for detecting poor prognosis 4
- More useful when ascites or hepatic encephalopathy are present 4
- Combine MELD with Lille score for optimal short and medium-term mortality risk evaluation 5
Glasgow Alcoholic Hepatitis Score (GAHS)
- Incorporates five variables: age, white blood cell count, blood urea nitrogen, PT ratio, and bilirubin 4, 1
- Scoring thresholds: Age <50 vs ≥50; WCC <15 vs ≥15; Urea <5 vs 5-10 vs >10 mmol/L; PT ratio <1.5 vs 1.5-2.0 vs >2.0; Bilirubin <7.3 vs 7.3-14.6 vs >14.6 mg/dL 4
- GAHS ≥8 (or ≥9 in some studies) indicates poor prognosis 4
- Can be calculated on hospital day 1 or day 7 4
- Identifies patients with MDF ≥32 who will benefit from corticosteroids: those with GAHS ≥9 have poor prognosis without steroids and show 84-day survival benefit with treatment 4
ABIC Score
- Components: Age, serum Bilirubin, INR, and serum Creatinine 4, 1
- Stratifies patients into risk categories for mortality prediction 4
- Developed to overcome limitations of other models 4
Lille Score (Dynamic Model)
- Incorporates change in bilirubin from day 0 to day 7 along with age, albumin, creatinine, PT/INR, and bilirubin 4, 5
- Lille score ≥0.45 indicates poor response to corticosteroid therapy with high 6-month mortality 5
- Use after 7 days of corticosteroid treatment to assess response 5
- Represents a dynamic model that incorporates changes over time 4
Acute-on-Chronic Liver Failure (ACLF) Scoring
CLIF-C ACLF Score
- Specifically developed for ACLF patients 1
- Combines CLIF-C Organ Failure score with age and white cell count 1
- Provides more accurate 28-day and 90-day mortality prediction than MELD, MELD-Na, or Child-Pugh in ACLF patients 1
- Use sequentially to provide ongoing prognostic information 1
CLIF-C AD Score
- For acute decompensation of cirrhosis without ACLF 1
- Stratifies patients into risk levels for 3-month mortality 1
Clinical Algorithm for Score Selection
Step 1: Identify the clinical scenario
- Stable cirrhosis (any etiology): Use CTP and MELD 1, 2
- Acute alcoholic hepatitis: Use MDF first, then add MELD, GAHS, or ABIC 4, 5
- ACLF: Use CLIF-C ACLF score 1
- Acute decompensation without ACLF: Use CLIF-C AD score 1
Step 2: For alcoholic hepatitis severity stratification
- Calculate MDF: if ≥32, patient has severe disease requiring treatment consideration 4, 5
- Calculate MELD: if >20, patient has high 90-day mortality risk 4, 5
- If MDF ≥32, calculate GAHS: if ≥9, patient will benefit from corticosteroids 4
Step 3: For treatment response monitoring in alcoholic hepatitis
- Calculate Lille score at day 7 of corticosteroid therapy 5
- If Lille ≥0.45, discontinue steroids due to poor response 5
Step 4: For transplant evaluation
- Use MELD as primary tool for allocation 1
- MELD ≥15 is threshold for listing 1, 2
- For severe alcoholic hepatitis with MELD >26, consider early transplant referral 5
Common Pitfalls to Avoid
- Do not use MELD alone in alcoholic hepatitis without calculating MDF first - MDF remains the standard for defining severe disease 4
- Do not ignore the dynamic nature of alcoholic hepatitis - serial calculations and Lille score at day 7 are essential 5
- Do not apply MELD cutoffs from transplant literature to non-transplant cirrhosis populations - MELD has not been validated for survival prediction in non-waitlisted patients 2
- Do not rely solely on categorical thresholds - recognize that MDF >32 indicates higher risk but doesn't specify exact mortality 4
- Do not overlook renal function - MELD's inclusion of creatinine makes it superior when kidney injury is present 2
- Do not use CTP alone for transplant allocation - MELD is superior due to objective parameters 1