What is the recurrence risk of Down syndrome in a second pregnancy for a couple with a 10-year-old child with Down syndrome (Trisomy 21)?

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Last updated: May 28, 2025View editorial policy

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From the Research

The risk of having a second child with Down syndrome depends primarily on maternal age and the specific type of Down syndrome in their first child, with a recurrence risk of approximately 1% above the maternal age-related risk for standard trisomy 21. For most families with a child who has standard trisomy 21 (which accounts for about 95% of Down syndrome cases), the recurrence risk is approximately 1% above the maternal age-related risk, as stated in 1. The maternal age-related risk is a significant factor, with the risk increasing from about 1 in 1,000 at age 30 to about 1 in 100 by age 40, as mentioned in 2. If genetic testing reveals their child has translocation Down syndrome (about 4% of cases), the recurrence risk could be significantly higher (10-15%) if one parent carries a balanced translocation.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Maternal age: The risk of Down syndrome increases with maternal age, as noted in 3.
  • Type of Down syndrome: The specific type of Down syndrome in the first child can impact the recurrence risk, as discussed in 4.
  • Genetic testing: Genetic testing can help determine the type of Down syndrome and identify potential recurrence risks, as explained in 5.

Recommendations

  • I recommend the couple meet with a genetic counselor who can review their specific situation, including the exact type of Down syndrome their child has and the mother's current age.
  • The counselor can provide personalized risk assessment and discuss available prenatal testing options, such as non-invasive prenatal testing (NIPT) or diagnostic tests like amniocentesis or chorionic villus sampling (CVS), as mentioned in 1 and 5.
  • These tests can help the family make informed decisions based on their personal values and circumstances, as noted in 2 and 4.

Professional Medical Disclaimer

This information is intended for healthcare professionals. Any medical decision-making should rely on clinical judgment and independently verified information. The content provided herein does not replace professional discretion and should be considered supplementary to established clinical guidelines. Healthcare providers should verify all information against primary literature and current practice standards before application in patient care. Dr.Oracle assumes no liability for clinical decisions based on this content.

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