What is the haematocrit (Hct) level considered a warning sign for severe dengue according to the Malaysian Clinical Practice Guidelines (CPG)?

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Last updated: November 13, 2025View editorial policy

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Haematocrit Levels for Dengue According to Malaysian CPG

According to the Malaysian Clinical Practice Guidelines for Dengue Infection in Adults, a rise in haematocrit of ≥20% from baseline (or a haematocrit ≥40% in women and ≥46% in men when baseline is unknown) is considered a warning sign for severe dengue and indicates plasma leakage. 1

Warning Sign Criteria

The Malaysian CPG identifies haematocrit rise with rapid platelet drop as a critical warning sign that significantly predicts severe dengue outcomes:

  • A ≥20% increase in haematocrit from baseline concurrent with rapidly falling platelet count is strongly associated with progression to severe dengue (adjusted OR: 2.74) 2
  • This combination of rising haematocrit with decreasing platelets has the highest predictive value (OR = 5.13) among all warning signs for identifying severe dengue 3

Baseline Haematocrit Thresholds

When baseline values are unavailable, the Malaysian guidelines use these cut-off levels to indicate plasma leakage:

  • Haematocrit ≥40% in women 1
  • Haematocrit ≥46% in men 1

These thresholds have been validated specifically for the Malaysian population 1

Clinical Significance for Monitoring

  • Daily complete blood count monitoring is essential to track both haematocrit and platelet trends, allowing early detection of hemoconcentration 4, 5
  • High baseline haematocrit levels are independently associated with bleeding tendencies and progression to dengue haemorrhagic fever (DHF) and dengue shock syndrome (DSS) 1
  • The presence of haematocrit rise with rapid platelet drop should trigger immediate hospitalization for closer monitoring during the critical phase (typically days 3-7 of illness) 4, 6

Common Pitfalls to Avoid

  • Do not rely on a single haematocrit measurement in isolation—serial measurements are required to detect the critical ≥20% rise that indicates plasma leakage 4
  • Failing to recognize the critical phase when haematocrit rises can lead to delayed intervention, as plasma leakage can rapidly progress to shock 6
  • A normal initial haematocrit does not exclude severe disease; continued monitoring throughout the febrile period is mandatory 4

References

Guideline

Dengue Fever Management Guidelines

Praxis Medical Insights: Practical Summaries of Clinical Guidelines, 2025

Guideline

Management of Dengue Infection with Thrombocytopenia

Praxis Medical Insights: Practical Summaries of Clinical Guidelines, 2025

Guideline

Dengue Treatment Guidelines

Praxis Medical Insights: Practical Summaries of Clinical Guidelines, 2025

Professional Medical Disclaimer

This information is intended for healthcare professionals. Any medical decision-making should rely on clinical judgment and independently verified information. The content provided herein does not replace professional discretion and should be considered supplementary to established clinical guidelines. Healthcare providers should verify all information against primary literature and current practice standards before application in patient care. Dr.Oracle assumes no liability for clinical decisions based on this content.

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